Result
0:1
28/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Añorga
22.1% | Draw
28.6% | Leioa
49.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Añorga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Añorga's form might have worsened.Leioa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leioa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Añorga than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Añorga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leioa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Añorga - Leioa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.11 ↑
(3.27) |
3.18 ↑
(3.06) |
1.85 ↓
(2.13) |
9.9%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).
- Añorga has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Leioa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Leioa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Añorga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:10. (average 0.3:3.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Añorga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Añorga won against Leioa?
Añorga has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leioa won against Añorga?
Leioa has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Añorga - Leioa were as follows:
18.10.2025
Leioa
-
Añorga
7:1
27.03.2024
Añorga
-
Leioa
0:1
11.11.2023
Leioa
-
Añorga
2:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 58:17 | 41 | 67 |
| 2 | Leioa | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 40:25 | 15 | 52 |
| 3 | Touring KE | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 47 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 5 | Derio | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:31 | 14 | 46 |
| 6 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 35:31 | 4 | 46 |
| 7 | Alaves C | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 42 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 27:20 | 7 | 42 |
| 9 | UD Aretxabaleta | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 44:44 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | Durango | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29:28 | 1 | 36 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad C | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 29:35 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 27:35 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Pasaia | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 20:32 | -12 | 28 |
| 14 | Eibar C | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Anorga | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 26:49 | -23 | 27 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:43 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 22:50 | -28 | 22 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18:33 | -15 | 21 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
