Barakaldo vs Leioa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Barakaldo - Leioa
Result
3:1
11/03/2023 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 24

Chances of winning


Barakaldo
58.1%
Draw
24.5%
Leioa
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.8% 18.7% 13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3% 18% 13.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barakaldo's form might have worsened.
  • Leioa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barakaldo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Barakaldo - Leioa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.35)
    3.64
    (4.9)
    5.12
    (6.75)
    12.1%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Barakaldo won 2.
    • Barakaldo in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Leioa is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match Barakaldo is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Barakaldo to win the game is with odds 1.54.
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Barakaldo won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 26-18.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Barakaldo won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-6.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barakaldo - Leioa were as follows:
    05.11.2022 Leioa - Barakaldo 0:6
    Latest results of Barakaldo
    05.03.2023 Portugalete - Barakaldo 0:1
    26.02.2023 Barakaldo - Pasaia 3:0
    18.02.2023 San Ignacio - Barakaldo 0:1
    12.02.2023 Barakaldo - Vitoria 0:0
    04.02.2023 Basconia - Barakaldo 0:1
    Latest results of Leioa
    04.03.2023 Leioa - Deusto 3:1
    25.02.2023 Touring KE - Leioa 3:0
    04.02.2023 Leioa - Padura 2:1
    28.01.2023 Anaitasuna - Leioa 0:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2