Result
3:1
11/03/2023 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 24
Chances of winning
Barakaldo
58.1% | Draw
24.5% | Leioa
17.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barakaldo's form might have worsened.Leioa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+12.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barakaldo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Barakaldo - Leioa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↑
(1.35) |
3.64 ↓
(4.9) |
5.12 ↓
(6.75) |
12.1%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Barakaldo won 2.
- Barakaldo in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Leioa is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- In this match Barakaldo is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Barakaldo to win the game is with odds 1.54.
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Barakaldo won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 26-18.
- Including matches at home between the teams Barakaldo won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-6.
How many head-to-head matches has Barakaldo won against Leioa?
Barakaldo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leioa won against Barakaldo?
Leioa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barakaldo - Leioa were as follows:
05.11.2022
Leioa
-
Barakaldo
0:6
Latest results of Barakaldo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 58:17 | 41 | 67 |
| 2 | Leioa | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 40:25 | 15 | 52 |
| 3 | Touring KE | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 47 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 5 | Derio | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:31 | 14 | 46 |
| 6 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 35:31 | 4 | 46 |
| 7 | Alaves C | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 42 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 29:22 | 7 | 42 |
| 9 | UD Aretxabaleta | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 44:44 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | Durango | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29:28 | 1 | 36 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad C | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 29:35 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 27:35 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Pasaia | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 23:31 | -8 | 31 |
| 14 | Eibar C | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Anorga | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 26:49 | -23 | 27 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 30:45 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 22:50 | -28 | 22 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 17:36 | -19 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
