Result
1:3
03/05/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 33
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 50', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 76', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 80', 0 - 3, ⚽,
- 87', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Deusto
40.2% | Draw
29.5% | Leioa
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deusto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deusto's performance.Leioa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leioa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deusto than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deusto that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leioa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deusto - Leioa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↓
(3) |
3.14 ↑
(2.9) |
3.05 ↑
(2.12) |
8.1%
(15%) | |
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deusto won 3.
- Deusto has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Leioa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Deusto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Leioa might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Deusto won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1.4:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deusto won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Deusto won against Leioa?
Deusto has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leioa won against Deusto?
Leioa has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deusto - Leioa were as follows:
04.01.2026
Leioa
-
Deusto
3:2
26.04.2025
Deusto
-
Leioa
2:0
14.12.2024
Leioa
-
Deusto
1:0
16.03.2024
Deusto
-
Leioa
3:2
28.10.2023
Leioa
-
Deusto
0:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 33 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 68:28 | 40 | 75 |
| 2 | Leioa | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 48:31 | 17 | 61 |
| 3 | Touring KE | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 46:33 | 13 | 57 |
| 4 | Derio | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 55 |
| 5 | Lagun Onak | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 51:32 | 19 | 54 |
| 6 | Alaves C | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 56:38 | 18 | 53 |
| 7 | Real Sociedad C | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 46:38 | 8 | 52 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 35:26 | 9 | 52 |
| 9 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 40:40 | 0 | 51 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 53:60 | -7 | 42 |
| 11 | Durango | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 31:35 | -4 | 41 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 31:41 | -10 | 39 |
| 13 | Pasaia | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 36 |
| 14 | Anorga | 33 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 36:57 | -21 | 34 |
| 15 | Eibar C | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 41:53 | -12 | 33 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 41:56 | -15 | 33 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 30:59 | -29 | 30 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 25:47 | -22 | 25 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
