Result
2:1
21/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 23
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 27', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 79', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Leioa
63.5% | Draw
24.8% | Durango
11.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leioa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leioa's performance.Durango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Durango might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (-14.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leioa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Durango than the current prediction. (+10.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Durango could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Leioa - Durango Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(1.85) |
4.32 ↑
(3.2) |
9.2 ↑
(4.03) |
-6.8%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leioa won 2.
- Leioa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Durango has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Leioa is the team to beat.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Leioa won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leioa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Leioa won against Durango?
Leioa has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Durango won against Leioa?
Durango has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leioa - Durango were as follows:
11.10.2025
Durango
-
Leioa
0:0
16.04.2025
Leioa
-
Durango
1:3
06.12.2024
Durango
-
Leioa
0:1
02.03.2024
Leioa
-
Durango
2:1
12.10.2023
Durango
-
Leioa
2:1
Latest results of Durango
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 58:17 | 41 | 67 |
| 2 | Leioa | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 40:25 | 15 | 52 |
| 3 | Touring KE | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 47 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 5 | Derio | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:31 | 14 | 46 |
| 6 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 35:31 | 4 | 46 |
| 7 | Alaves C | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 42 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 27:20 | 7 | 42 |
| 9 | UD Aretxabaleta | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 44:44 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | Durango | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29:28 | 1 | 36 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad C | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 29:35 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 27:35 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Pasaia | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 20:32 | -12 | 28 |
| 14 | Eibar C | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Anorga | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 26:49 | -23 | 27 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:43 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 22:50 | -28 | 22 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18:33 | -15 | 21 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
