Leioa vs Durango – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Leioa - Durango
Result
1:3
16/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 31

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 25', 0 - 1, ,
  • 30', 0 - 2, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', 1 - 2, Recio I. ,
  • 56', 1 - 3, ,
  • 75', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Leioa
54.1%
Draw
26.5%
Durango
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.6% 24.9% 17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 24.5% 17.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leioa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durango than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Leioa - Durango Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.58)
    3.46
    (3.66)
    4.72
    (5.19)
    9.2%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Leioa won 3.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Leioa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Leioa is a favorite.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Leioa won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Leioa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leioa - Durango were as follows:
    06.12.2024 Durango - Leioa 0:1
    02.03.2024 Leioa - Durango 2:1
    12.10.2023 Durango - Leioa 2:1
    08.10.2022 Leioa - Durango 1:3
    Latest results of Leioa
    22.03.2025 Leioa - Derio 2:1
    16.03.2025 Santurtzi - Leioa 1:0
    08.03.2025 Leioa - Beasain 1:1
    22.02.2025 Leioa - San Ignacio 3:0
    16.02.2025 Basconia - Leioa 3:0
    Latest results of Durango
    12.04.2025 Durango - Aretxabaleta 3:1
    05.04.2025 San Viator - Durango 0:1
    29.03.2025 Durango - Portugalete 0:1
    23.03.2025 Eibar C - Durango 0:0
    15.03.2025 Durango - Touring KE 0:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2