Santurtzi vs Leioa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Santurtzi - Leioa
Result
1:0
16/03/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90+3', 1 - 0, Castillo Marcilla A. ,

Chances of winning


Santurtzi
25.4%
Draw
26.7%
Leioa
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.3% 26.8% 52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20% 28.5% 55.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santurtzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Leioa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santurtzi than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santurtzi that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leioa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Santurtzi - Leioa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.58
    (4.28)
    3.4
    (3.4)
    1.9
    (1.75)
    9.9%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).
    • Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
    • Leioa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Leioa is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Santurtzi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santurtzi - Leioa were as follows:
    31.10.2024 Leioa - Santurtzi 1:1
    Latest results of Santurtzi
    09.03.2025 Aretxabaleta - Santurtzi 1:1
    01.03.2025 Santurtzi - San Viator 5:0
    22.02.2025 Portugalete - Santurtzi 2:2
    16.02.2025 Santurtzi - Eibar C 3:0
    19.01.2025 Santurtzi - Urduliz 2:0
    Latest results of Leioa
    08.03.2025 Leioa - Beasain 1:1
    22.02.2025 Leioa - San Ignacio 3:0
    16.02.2025 Basconia - Leioa 3:0
    09.02.2025 Padura - Leioa 1:2
    01.02.2025 Leioa - Aretxabaleta 2:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2