Result
0:2
20/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV7 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Simoes T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Tiago Almeida ↓, Carraca ↑,
- 54', Kouassi E. ↓, Pires M. ↑,
- 56', 0 - 1, Daniel Borges ⚽,
- 57', Pires M. 🟨,
- 64', Romero A. ↓, Kiko ↑,
- 64', Rodrigues A. ↓, Joao Teixeira ↑,
- 66', Munoz J. ↓, van der Gaag J. ↑,
- 68', Maga 🟨,
- 76', Baro M. 🟨,
- 79', Maga ↓, Sylla H. ↑,
- 79', Daniel Borges ↓, Lucho Vega ↑,
- 79', Fernandez P. ↓, Lottin A. ↑,
- 81', 0 - 2, Lottin A. ⚽,
- 82', Simoes T. ↓, Alves R. ↑,
- 82', Ktatau ↓, Kusso D. ↑,
- 85', Ze Pedro 🟨,
- 88', Carraca 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chaves
39.1% | Draw
30.9% | Leiria
30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chaves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Chaves - Leiria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↑
(2.13) |
2.97 ↓
(3.09) |
3.13 ↓
(3.5) |
8.2%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Chaves - Leiria?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Chaves will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Leiria will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 5).
- Recent performances by Chaves have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Leiria is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Chaves will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chaves won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Chaves won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Chaves won against Leiria?
Chaves has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leiria won against Chaves?
Leiria has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chaves - Leiria were as follows:
03.11.2025
Leiria
-
Chaves
2:1
10.05.2025
Chaves
-
Leiria
0:2
12.01.2025
Leiria
-
Chaves
1:1
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 43:21 | 22 | 56 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 50:28 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Torreense | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 45 |
| 4 | Vizela | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 36:31 | 5 | 44 |
| 5 | Leiria | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 41 |
| 6 | Sporting CP B | 27 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 39:26 | 13 | 41 |
| 7 | FC Porto B | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 9 | Benfica B | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:32 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Chaves | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 29:26 | 3 | 36 |
| 11 | Feirense | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 35 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 32:49 | -17 | 34 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 24:34 | -10 | 30 |
| 14 | Pacos Ferreira | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 22:26 | -4 | 29 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 29:40 | -11 | 27 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 26:37 | -11 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
