Marítimo vs Leiria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
30/10/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
125
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
62
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
125
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
71
Corner Kicks
62
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1717
Throw-ins
1430
Fouls
1714

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Bouzaidi S. , Xavi Grande (A),
  • 28', Gomes B. 🟨,
  • 39', Jair da Silva 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Gomes B. , Daniel Borges ,
  • 46', Lottin A. , Baro M. ,
  • 51', Bouzaidi S. 🟨,
  • 52', Baro M. 🟨,
  • 65', Carlos Daniel , Cruz M. ,
  • 66', Xavi Grande , Igor Juliao ,
  • 66', Raphael Guzzo 🟨,
  • 72', 1 - 1, Daniel Borges , Jair da Silva (A),
  • 75', Raphael Guzzo , Gomes Aguiar F. T. ,
  • 76', 1 - 2, Munoz J. , van der Gaag J. (A),
  • 78', Tejon M. , Pena Zauner E. ,
  • 79', Danilovic V. 🟨,
  • 83', Munoz J. , Rodriguez G. ,
  • 88', 1 - 3, Maga , van der Gaag J. (A),
  • 90+2', Maga , Sylla H. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Marítimo
43.8%
Draw
28.8%
Leiria
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 28.7% 32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4% 29.1% 32.1%

Marítimo - Leiria Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.13
(2.4)
3.21
(3.25)
3.34
(2.87)
8.1%
(7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Marítimo - Leiria?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Marítimo will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Leiria will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marítimo: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Marítimo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Marítimo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Marítimo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Marítimo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marítimo - Leiria were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Marítimo - Leiria 1:2
    29.09.2024 Leiria - Marítimo 1:1
    16.03.2024 Marítimo - Leiria 2:0
    10.01.2024 Marítimo - Leiria 0:3
    05.11.2023 Leiria - Marítimo 4:3
    Latest results of Marítimo
    19.10.2025 Porto B - Marítimo 1:0
    20.09.2025 Belenenses - Marítimo 2:0
    14.09.2025 Marítimo - Vizela 1:1
    Latest results of Leiria
    25.10.2025 Leiria - Leixões 1:3
    18.10.2025 Leiria - Alverca 3:2
    11.10.2025 Leiria - Oliveirense 0:0
    04.10.2025 Portimonense - Leiria 1:1
    21.09.2025 Sacavenense - Leiria 2:4
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo1492319:91029
    2Sporting CP B1392224:71729
    3Chaves1465316:9723
    4Academico Viseu1364325:16922
    5Vizela1255218:12620
    6Torreense1362517:15220
    7Leiria1355316:14220
    8Lusitania FC1345417:21-417
    9Penafiel1444614:15-116
    10SC Farense1244413:16-316
    11Oliveirense1336412:14-215
    12Benfica B1335520:21-114
    13FC Porto B1342713:20-714
    14Feirense1335513:14-114
    15Leixoes1441915:29-1413
    16Felgueiras1334613:20-713
    17Pacos Ferreira1326514:18-412
    18Portimonense1333715:24-912

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