Marítimo vs Leiria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
30/10/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
125
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
62
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
125
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
71
Corner Kicks
62
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1717
Throw-ins
1430
Fouls
1714

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Bouzaidi S. , Xavi Grande (A),
  • 28', Gomes B. 🟨,
  • 39', Jair da Silva 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Gomes B. , Daniel Borges ,
  • 46', Lottin A. , Baro M. ,
  • 51', Bouzaidi S. 🟨,
  • 52', Baro M. 🟨,
  • 65', Carlos Daniel , Cruz M. ,
  • 66', Xavi Grande , Igor Juliao ,
  • 66', Raphael Guzzo 🟨,
  • 72', 1 - 1, Daniel Borges , Jair da Silva (A),
  • 75', Raphael Guzzo , Gomes Aguiar F. T. ,
  • 76', 1 - 2, Munoz J. , van der Gaag J. (A),
  • 78', Tejon M. , Pena Zauner E. ,
  • 79', Danilovic V. 🟨,
  • 83', Munoz J. , Rodriguez G. ,
  • 88', 1 - 3, Maga , van der Gaag J. (A),
  • 90+2', Maga , Sylla H. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Marítimo
43.8%
Draw
28.8%
Leiria
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 28.7% 32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4% 29.1% 32.1%

Marítimo - Leiria Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.13
(2.4)
3.21
(3.25)
3.34
(2.87)
8.1%
(7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Marítimo - Leiria?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Marítimo will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Leiria will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marítimo: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Marítimo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Marítimo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Marítimo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Marítimo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marítimo - Leiria were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Marítimo - Leiria 1:2
    29.09.2024 Leiria - Marítimo 1:1
    16.03.2024 Marítimo - Leiria 2:0
    10.01.2024 Marítimo - Leiria 0:3
    05.11.2023 Leiria - Marítimo 4:3
    Latest results of Marítimo
    19.10.2025 Porto B - Marítimo 1:0
    20.09.2025 Belenenses - Marítimo 2:0
    14.09.2025 Marítimo - Vizela 1:1
    Latest results of Leiria
    25.10.2025 Leiria - Leixões 1:3
    18.10.2025 Leiria - Alverca 3:2
    11.10.2025 Leiria - Oliveirense 0:0
    04.10.2025 Portimonense - Leiria 1:1
    21.09.2025 Sacavenense - Leiria 2:4
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo21125433:161741
    2Academico Viseu21105636:241235
    3Sporting CP B21112833:181535
    4Torreense21102927:24332
    5Lusitania FC2187631:33-231
    6FC Porto B2193925:29-430
    7Vizela2178625:22329
    8Feirense2177727:26128
    9Leiria2077627:27028
    10Felgueiras2176822:26-427
    11Benfica B2169628:27127
    12Chaves2176823:20327
    13Oliveirense2167823:25-225
    14Leixoes21741023:37-1425
    15Portimonense2166922:29-724
    16SC Farense2166919:26-724
    17Penafiel21651018:22-423
    18Pacos Ferreira2057820:31-1122

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3