Leiria vs Sporting Lisbon B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
26/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV4

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
94
Shots on target
63
Corner kicks
53
Yellow cards
12
Total shots
94
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
31
Corner kicks
53
Offsides
30
Free kicks
1017
Throw ins
2222
Fouls
1410

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Anjos L. ,
  • 11', 1 - 1, Ze Pedro , Fernandez P. (A),
  • 18', 2 - 1, Munoz J. , Daniel Borges (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Goncalves F. , Nel R. ,
  • 63', Silva G. , Couto M. ,
  • 63', Rayan Lucas , Tanlongo M. ,
  • 63', Romulus , Bruno Ramos ,
  • 67', Baro M. 🟨,
  • 68', Mendes J. , Rodriguez G. ,
  • 68', Kouassi E. , Pires M. ,
  • 70', Muniz J. 🟨,
  • 71', 3 - 1, Munoz J. ,
  • 81', Silva J. , Dias R. ,
  • 83', Fernandez P. , Gomes B. ,
  • 83', Nel R. 🟨,
  • 88', Martins D. , Lucho Vega ,
  • 88', Munoz J. , Michel D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leiria
46.7%
Draw
28.3%
Sporting Lisbon B
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 27.9% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3% 26% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Sporting Lisbon B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leiria that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Lisbon B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Leiria - Sporting Lisbon B Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2.21)
    3.28
    (3.35)
    3.67
    (3.12)
    7.9%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Leiria - Sporting Lisbon B?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Leiria will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Sporting B will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leiria: 23.1%88.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Leiria (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Leiria (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )).
    • In recent matches, Leiria has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sporting B is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Sporting B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Leiria has had a series of away games.
    • Leiria could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.4:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leiria won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leiria - Sporting Lisbon B were as follows:
    17.08.2025 Sporting Lisbon B - Leiria 1:0
    18.02.2023 Sporting Lisbon B - Leiria 0:1
    06.11.2022 Leiria - Sporting Lisbon B 1:0
    Latest results of Leiria
    21.01.2026 Leiria - Vizela 2:2
    11.01.2026 Torreense - Leiria 3:1
    03.01.2026 Feirense - Leiria 2:2
    21.12.2025 Farense - Leiria 0:1
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon B
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo23145437:162147
    2Academico Viseu23125641:251641
    3Sporting CP B23122937:221538
    4Torreense23113928:24436
    5Lusitania FC2397732:35-334
    6FC Porto B23104928:31-334
    7Leiria2288633:31232
    8Vizela2388727:26132
    9Feirense2387828:27131
    10Benfica B2379732:30230
    11Chaves2386925:21430
    12Leixoes23841126:40-1428
    13Felgueiras2377924:30-628
    14Penafiel23761020:22-227
    15Oliveirense23671026:33-725
    16Portimonense23661125:34-924
    17SC Farense23661120:30-1024
    18Pacos Ferreira2258920:32-1223

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