Leiria vs Farense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 32
  • Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV5

Chances of winning


Leiria
47.2%
Draw
27.8%
Farense
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.1% 26.7% 24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 26.9% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leiria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Leiria - Farense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.9)
    3.35
    (3.5)
    3.7
    (3.85)
    7.7%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 15).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Leiria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Leiria is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leiria - Farense were as follows:
    21.12.2025 Farense - Leiria 0:1
    19.07.2025 Farense - Leiria 2:0
    Latest results of Leiria
    25.04.2026 Felgueiras - Leiria 2:1
    18.04.2026 Leiria - Penafiel 4:2
    11.04.2026 Benfica B - Leiria 2:2
    05.04.2026 Leiria - Lusitânia 0:0
    Latest results of Farense
    19.04.2026 Vizela - Farense 0:2
    04.04.2026 Farense - Feirense 0:1
    22.03.2026 Benfica B - Farense 1:0
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo32206649:252466
    2Academico Viseu32167956:332355
    3Torreense311551137:30750
    4Leiria311310850:401049
    5Vizela321391038:36248
    6Benfica B3211111043:40344
    7Leixoes321351442:53-1144
    8Lusitania FC3211101142:48-643
    9Feirense311191132:35-342
    10FC Porto B311261337:42-542
    11Chaves311261336:34242
    12Sporting CP B321321741:33841
    13Felgueiras3110101128:35-740
    14Penafiel311081333:34-138
    15SC Farense31991327:35-836
    16Pacos Ferreira318111230:44-1435
    17Portimonense31961634:46-1233
    18Oliveirense327101531:43-1231

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