Leiria vs Tondela – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Leiria - Tondela
Result
0:2
16/05/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 34
  • Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
59
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
63
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
59
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
05
Corner Kicks
63
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1215
Throw-ins
1819
Fouls
159
Goalkeeper Saves
25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Ze Vitor 🟨,
  • 31', Rofino V. G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', dos Anjos D. , Mbina O. ,
  • 59', Xavier , Roberto ,
  • 68', Amado D. 🟨,
  • 69', Ze Vitor , Ferreira T. ,
  • 69', Manso T. , Maviram E. ,
  • 69', Alves R. , Cicero ,
  • 77', Bebeto , Ramos R. ,
  • 77', Costinha , Cunha N. ,
  • 78', Resende J. , Branco Ribeiro M. ,
  • 78', Rofino V. G. , Ryan Guilherme ,
  • 83', 0 - 1, Miro , Roberto (A),
  • 87', Ribeiro C. , Kaka ,
  • 90+3', Cunha N. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 0 - 2, Roberto , Pedro Maranhao (A),
  • 90+7', Pedro Maranhao 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leiria
23.8%
Draw
26.3%
Tondela
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.8% 27.6% 42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5% 27.9% 43%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leiria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leiria's form might have worsened.
  • Tondela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tondela's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leiria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tondela, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Leiria - Tondela Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.85
    (3.13)
    3.53
    (3.38)
    1.88
    (2.19)
    7.4%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Leiria - Tondela?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Leiria (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tondela (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Users Predictions: Tondela will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Tondela might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 2:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leiria won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leiria - Tondela were as follows:
    04.01.2025 Tondela - Leiria 1:4
    02.08.2024 Leiria - Tondela 2:1
    24.02.2024 Tondela - Leiria 1:1
    01.10.2023 Leiria - Tondela 2:2
    Latest results of Leiria
    10.05.2025 Chaves - Leiria 0:2
    02.05.2025 Leiria - Oliveirense 5:0
    18.04.2025 Leiria - Benfica B 1:3
    11.04.2025 Feirense - Leiria 2:1
    Latest results of Tondela
    11.05.2025 Tondela - Alverca 1:2
    04.05.2025 Tondela - Chaves 2:1
    27.04.2025 Portimonense - Tondela 2:2
    20.04.2025 Tondela - Vizela 0:1
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vizela32107:257
    2Sporting CP B22002:026
    3Torreense32015:236
    4Leixoes21104:134
    5Feirense21104:134
    6Lusitania FC21103:214
    7Leiria31113:304
    8Portimonense31114:6-24
    9Maritimo21011:103
    10Chaves30304:403
    11Benfica B20202:202
    12Oliveirense20201:102
    13Pacos Ferreira30211:2-12
    14Penafiel20111:2-11
    15Academico Viseu30123:5-21
    16SC Farense20111:4-31
    17Felgueiras30121:5-41
    18FC Porto B20110:4-41

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3