Result
0:2
16/05/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 34
- Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Ze Vitor 🟨,
- 31', Rofino V. G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', dos Anjos D. ↓, Mbina O. ↑,
- 59', Xavier ↓, Roberto ↑,
- 68', Amado D. 🟨,
- 69', Ze Vitor ↓, Ferreira T. ↑,
- 69', Manso T. ↓, Maviram E. ↑,
- 69', Alves R. ↓, Cicero ↑,
- 77', Bebeto ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
- 77', Costinha ↓, Cunha N. ↑,
- 78', Resende J. ↓, Branco Ribeiro M. ↑,
- 78', Rofino V. G. ↓, Ryan Guilherme ↑,
- 83', 0 - 1, Miro ⚽, Roberto (A),
- 87', Ribeiro C. ↓, Kaka ↑,
- 90+3', Cunha N. 🟨,
- 90+4', 0 - 2, Roberto ⚽, Pedro Maranhao (A),
- 90+7', Pedro Maranhao 🟨,
Chances of winning
Leiria
23.8% | Draw
26.3% | Tondela
49.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leiria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leiria's form might have worsened.Tondela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tondela's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leiria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tondela, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Leiria - Tondela Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.85 ↑
(3.13) |
3.53 ↑
(3.38) |
1.88 ↓
(2.19) |
7.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Leiria - Tondela?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Leiria (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tondela (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Users Predictions:
Tondela will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Tondela might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leiria won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Leiria won against Tondela?
Leiria has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tondela won against Leiria?
Tondela has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leiria - Tondela were as follows:
04.01.2025
Tondela
-
Leiria
1:4
02.08.2024
Leiria
-
Tondela
2:1
24.02.2024
Tondela
-
Leiria
1:1
01.10.2023
Leiria
-
Tondela
2:2
Latest results of Tondela
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP B | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15:3 | 12 | 18 |
| 2 | Vizela | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Torreense | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Maritimo | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Chaves | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Leiria | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Felgueiras | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Feirense | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 | Portimonense | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | SC Farense | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 10 |
| 12 | Lusitania FC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 | Penafiel | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 | Oliveirense | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 15 | Academico Viseu | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 6 |
| 16 | Pacos Ferreira | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 | FC Porto B | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:15 | -9 | 5 |
| 18 | Benfica B | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
