Result
1:2
11/03/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 25
- Referee: Narciso A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Portugal | Sport TV3, Sport TV+ |
Chances of winning
Belenenses 29.8% | Draw 30.2% | Leixões 40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Belenenses's form might have worsened.Leixões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leixões's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belenenses, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leixões, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Belenenses - Leixões Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.11 ↑ (2.5) |
3.1 ↑ (3) |
2.32 ↓ (2.63) |
7.5% (11.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Belenenses - Leixões?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Belenenses will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Leixões will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leixões: 11.9% – 76.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Belenenses is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Leixões is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Belenenses could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Belenenses won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Belenenses won against Leixões?
Belenenses has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leixões won against Belenenses?
Leixões has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Belenenses - Leixões were as follows:
28.10.2023
Leixões
-
Belenenses
1:0
Latest results of Belenenses
Latest results of Leixões
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 38:19 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 37:23 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | FC Porto B | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 5 | Torreense | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 6 | Leiria | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Vizela | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Feirense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Chaves | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 28 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | Oliveirense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3