Result
1:2
11/03/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 25
- Referee: Narciso A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Portugal | Sport TV3, Sport TV+ |
Chances of winning
Belenenses 29.8% | Draw 30.2% | Leixões 40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Belenenses's form might have worsened.Leixões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leixões's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belenenses, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leixões, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Belenenses - Leixões Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.11 ↑ (2.5) |
3.1 ↑ (3) |
2.32 ↓ (2.63) |
7.5% (11.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Belenenses - Leixões?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Belenenses will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Leixões will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leixões: 11.9% – 76.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Belenenses is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Leixões is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Belenenses could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Belenenses won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Belenenses won against Leixões?
Belenenses has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leixões won against Belenenses?
Leixões has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Belenenses - Leixões were as follows:
28.10.2023
Leixões
-
Belenenses
1:0
Latest results of Belenenses
Latest results of Leixões
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP B | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15:3 | 12 | 18 |
| 2 | Vizela | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Torreense | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Maritimo | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Chaves | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Leiria | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Felgueiras | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Feirense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | SC Farense | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | Portimonense | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:16 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 10 |
| 12 | Academico Viseu | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Penafiel | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | Lusitania FC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Pacos Ferreira | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 16 | Oliveirense | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 17 | Benfica B | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 | FC Porto B | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:15 | -9 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3