Belenenses vs Leixões – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Belenenses - Leixões
Result
1:2
11/03/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 25
  • Referee: Narciso A. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV3, Sport TV+

Chances of winning


Belenenses
29.8%
Draw
30.2%
Leixões
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 29.9% 34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 31.7% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Belenenses's form might have worsened.
  • Leixões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leixões's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belenenses, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leixões, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Belenenses - Leixões Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.11
    (2.5)
    3.1
    (3)
    2.32
    (2.63)
    7.5%
    (11.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Belenenses - Leixões?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Belenenses will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Leixões will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leixões: 11.9%76.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Belenenses is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Leixões is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Belenenses could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Belenenses won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belenenses - Leixões were as follows:
    28.10.2023 Leixões - Belenenses 1:0
    Latest results of Belenenses
    05.03.2024 Marítimo - Belenenses 1:1
    25.02.2024 Belenenses - Torreense 0:2
    17.02.2024 Leiria - Belenenses 4:2
    11.02.2024 Belenenses - Tondela 0:0
    02.02.2024 Mafra - Belenenses 1:1
    Latest results of Leixões
    03.03.2024 Leixões - Tondela 1:1
    28.02.2024 Leixões - Nacional 1:1
    24.02.2024 Porto B - Leixões 0:2
    10.02.2024 Benfica B - Leixões 1:1
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Leixoes00000:000
    2Feirense00000:000
    3Penafiel00000:000
    4Portimonense00000:000
    5Vizela00000:000
    6Chaves00000:000
    7Oliveirense00000:000
    8Torreense00000:000
    9Maritimo00000:000
    10Pacos Ferreira00000:000
    11Leiria00000:000
    12Academico Viseu00000:000
    13Lusitania FC00000:000
    14SC Farense00000:000
    15Felgueiras00000:000
    16FC Porto B00000:000
    17Sporting CP B00000:000
    18Benfica B00000:000

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3