Result
1:3
22/03/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Campeonato Nacional - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
Chances of winning
Castêlo da Maia
33.4% | Leixões
66.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castêlo da Maia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castêlo da Maia than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Castêlo da Maia - Leixões Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.74 ↓
(2.8) |
|
1.38 ↑
(1.35) |
9.1%
(9.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 178.50
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. Leixoes SC leads series 1-0.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Castêlo da Maia won 1.
- Castêlo da Maia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Leixões is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Leixões could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Castêlo da Maia have a series of guest games.
- Leixões will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Castêlo da Maia won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 35:45 (average 1.8:2.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Castêlo da Maia won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 23:24 (average 2.1:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Castêlo da Maia won against Leixões?
Castêlo da Maia has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leixões won against Castêlo da Maia?
Leixões has won 8 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castêlo da Maia - Leixões were as follows:
15.03.2025
Leixões
-
Castêlo da Maia
3:0
08.03.2025
Castêlo da Maia
-
Leixões
2:3
22.02.2025
Leixões
-
Castêlo da Maia
3:1
30.11.2024
Castêlo da Maia
-
Leixões
3:2
10.03.2024
Leixões
-
Castêlo da Maia
3:1
Latest results of Castêlo da Maia
Latest results of Leixões
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Benfica (1) | Gondomar (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Leixoes SC (4) | Castelo Maia GC (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Sporting CP (2) | Vitoria (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Academica de Espinho (3) | Sporting de Espinho (6) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Benfica (1) | Leixoes SC (4) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Sporting CP (2) | Academica de Espinho (3) | 3 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Benfica (1) | Sporting CP (2) | 2 : 3 |
3rd place| 2 | Academica de Espinho (3) | Leixoes SC (4) | 0 : 2 |
