Result
1:3
24/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato Nacional - Round 16
Chances of winning
Castêlo da Maia
15.2% | Sporting Lisbon
84.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castêlo da Maia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Castêlo da Maia - Sporting Lisbon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.08 ↑
(5.4) |
|
1.09 ↓
(1.1) |
8%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 147.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castêlo da Maia won 0.
- Castêlo da Maia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sporting is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Castêlo da Maia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Castêlo da Maia has had a series of home games.
- Recently, Sporting has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Sporting is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Castêlo da Maia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 19 matches, and goals 14:57. (average 0.7:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Castêlo da Maia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:27. (average 1.2:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Castêlo da Maia won against Sporting Lisbon?
Castêlo da Maia has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Castêlo da Maia?
Sporting Lisbon has won 8 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castêlo da Maia - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
16.11.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Castêlo da Maia
3:0
15.02.2025
Castêlo da Maia
-
Sporting Lisbon
2:3
24.11.2024
Sporting Lisbon
-
Castêlo da Maia
3:1
09.03.2024
Castêlo da Maia
-
Sporting Lisbon
0:3
03.02.2024
Sporting Lisbon
-
Castêlo da Maia
3:0
Latest results of Castêlo da Maia
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Sporting CP (1) | Gondomar (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Academica de Espinho (4) | Vitoria (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Benfica (2) | Sporting de Espinho (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Leixoes SC (3) | Mamede (6) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sporting CP (1) | Vitoria (5) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Benfica (2) | Leixoes SC (3) | 3 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Sporting CP (1) | Benfica (2) | 1 : 0 |
3rd place| 2 | Leixoes SC (3) | Vitoria (5) | 1 : 0 |
