Result
1:2
14/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 22
- Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 35 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', 1 - 0, Carter A. ⚽, Herrero T. (A),
- 18', Menino M. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 1, Rochez B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Menino M. ↓, Candeias A. ↑,
- 47', Candeias A. 🟥,
- 49', 1 - 2, Bica ⚽,
- 50', Semedo Y. 🟨,
- 64', Dario Miranda ↓, Jaiminho ↑,
- 65', Carter A. ↓, Sangare B. ↑,
- 69', Bica ↓, Luccas Paraizo ↑,
- 70', Agra S. ↓, Barbosa R. ↑,
- 75', Costa R. ↓, Dorregaray D. ↑,
- 80', Claudio Falcao 🟨,
- 84', Alex Pinto ↓, Matias M. ↑,
- 86', Araujo C. ↓, Miguel Sousa ↑,
- 90+4', Rochez B. ↓, Pina R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Farense 46.2% | Draw 29.8% | Leixões 24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Farense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Leixões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Farense - Leixões Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.01 ↑ (1.83) |
3.12 ↓ (3.35) |
3.91 ↓ (4.25) |
7.4% (8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Farense - Leixões?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Farense will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Leixões will win (votes: 3 - 75%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Farense (votes: 1 - 50%). Leixões (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Farense won 3.
- Farense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Leixões is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Leixões may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Farense is a strong favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Farense won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:14. (average 1.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Farense won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 1.5:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Farense won against Leixões?
Farense has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leixões won against Farense?
Leixões has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Farense - Leixões were as follows:
13.09.2025
Leixões
-
Farense
0:2
05.03.2023
Farense
-
Leixões
1:0
09.11.2022
Leixões
-
Farense
3:1
11.09.2022
Leixões
-
Farense
0:1
Latest results of Farense
Latest results of Leixões
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 38:19 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 37:23 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | FC Porto B | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 5 | Torreense | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 6 | Leiria | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Vizela | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Feirense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Chaves | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 28 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | Oliveirense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3