Farense vs Portimonense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
03/01/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV2

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
82
Corner Kicks
124
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
167
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
85
Corner Kicks
124
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
919
Throw-ins
2529
Fouls
189

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 7', Teixeira R. 🟨,
  • 42', D'Agrella L. , Dario Miranda ,
  • 45', Lobato S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Teixeira R. , Menino M. ,
  • 59', 0 - 1, Mamede ,
  • 60', Dorregaray D. , Carter A. ,
  • 66', Lobato S. , Ze Gabriel ,
  • 71', Ndiaye A. 🟨,
  • 71', Derick Poloni , Candeias A. ,
  • 71', Almeida B. , Jaiminho ,
  • 73', Mamede , Djassi D. ,
  • 73', Welinton Junior , Dauda M. ,
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Farense
55.6%
Draw
25%
Portimonense
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 25.7% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 20.6% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Farense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portimonense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Farense - Portimonense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.8)
    3.7
    (3.58)
    4.78
    (4)
    7.9%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Farense - Portimonense?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Farense will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Portimonense will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Farense: 19%81%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Farense will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Farense won 0.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Farense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Farense is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Farense won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 0.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Farense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Farense - Portimonense were as follows:
    02.08.2024 Portimonense - Farense 0:0
    18.05.2024 Farense - Portimonense 1:3
    12.01.2024 Portimonense - Farense 1:0
    Latest results of Farense
    21.12.2025 Farense - Leiria 0:1
    17.12.2025 Farense - Benfica 0:2
    08.12.2025 Farense - Vizela 2:0
    Latest results of Portimonense
    20.12.2025 Chaves - Portimonense 0:1
    14.12.2025 Portimonense - Leixões 1:2
    07.12.2025 Lusitânia - Portimonense 3:2
    30.11.2025 Portimonense - Marítimo 0:2
    23.11.2025 Porto B - Portimonense 1:0
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo32206649:252466
    2Academico Viseu32167956:332355
    3Torreense311551137:30750
    4Leiria321310950:43749
    5Vizela321391038:36248
    6Feirense321291134:36-245
    7Benfica B3211111043:40344
    8Leixoes321351442:53-1144
    9Lusitania FC3211101142:48-643
    10FC Porto B311261337:42-542
    11Chaves321261438:37142
    12Sporting CP B321321741:33841
    13Felgueiras3110101128:35-740
    14SC Farense321091330:35-539
    15Penafiel311081333:34-138
    16Portimonense321061637:48-1136
    17Pacos Ferreira328111331:46-1535
    18Oliveirense327101531:43-1231

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