Result
3:2
01/05/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 32
- Referee: Guelho S. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | ZAP |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, Gomes Aguiar F. T. ⚽, Carlos Daniel (A),
- 18', 1 - 1, Luccas Paraizo ⚽, Serif N. (A),
- 23', 2 - 1, Serif N. (Own goal),
- 28', Balde A. 🟨,
- 31', Paulinho 🟨,
- 33', Figueiredo L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Paulinho ↓, Fonseca F. ↑,
- 50', 3 - 1, Ibrahima ⚽,
- 62', Rochez B. ↓, Werton ↑,
- 63', Figueiredo L. ↓, Semeu ↑,
- 64', Ibrahima ↓, Danilovic V. ↑,
- 70', Gomes Aguiar F. T. ↓, Pena Zauner E. ↑,
- 70', Raphael Guzzo ↓, Da Rocha Borges R. ↑,
- 71', Xavi Grande ↓, Andrade R. ↑,
- 72', Serif N. 🟨,
- 77', Miguel Sousa ↓, Kanuric B. ↑,
- 78', Butzke A. ↓, Melro J. ↑,
- 79', Agra S. ↓, Paulite ↑,
- 81', Carlos Daniel 🟨,
- 82', 3 - 2, Kanuric B. ⚽,
- 87', Andrade R. 🟨,
- 90+1', Fonseca F. 🟨,
- 90+5', Correia R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Marítimo 45.3% | Draw 28.7% | Leixões 26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Leixões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Marítimo - Leixões Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.03 ↑ (1.86) |
3.25 ↓ (3.42) |
3.6 ↓ (3.98) |
7.9% (8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Marítimo - Leixões?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Marítimo will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Leixões will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Leixões (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leixões (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 2.
- Marítimo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Leixões is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Marítimo is a strong favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marítimo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Marítimo won against Leixões?
Marítimo has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leixões won against Marítimo?
Leixões has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marítimo - Leixões were as follows:
21.12.2025
Leixões
-
Marítimo
1:4
05.04.2025
Marítimo
-
Leixões
1:1
10.11.2024
Leixões
-
Marítimo
2:1
30.03.2024
Marítimo
-
Leixões
0:0
12.11.2023
Leixões
-
Marítimo
0:1
Latest results of Marítimo
Latest results of Leixões
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 49:25 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 56:33 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Torreense | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 37:30 | 7 | 50 |
| 4 | Leiria | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 50:40 | 10 | 49 |
| 5 | Vizela | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 48 |
| 6 | Benfica B | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 43:40 | 3 | 44 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 44 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:48 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 | Feirense | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 42 |
| 10 | FC Porto B | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 42 |
| 11 | Chaves | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 36:34 | 2 | 42 |
| 12 | Sporting CP B | 32 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 41:33 | 8 | 41 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 28:35 | -7 | 40 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 33:34 | -1 | 38 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 36 |
| 16 | Pacos Ferreira | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 30:44 | -14 | 35 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 33 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3