Result
2:0
12/04/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 29
- Referee: Malheiro H. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Match Stats
| |
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| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
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| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
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| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 7 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
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| 3 | 0 |
| Red cards |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
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| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Offsides |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Serif N. ⚽, Araujo C. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Joao Adriano ↓, Diallo A. ↑,
- 54', Rochez B. ↓, Luccas Paraizo ↑,
- 55', 2 - 0, Luccas Paraizo ⚽,
- 67', Bruno Silva ↓, Ondoa F. ↑,
- 67', Silva J. ↓, Joanderson ↑,
- 69', Semeu 🟥,
- 74', Bica ↓, Werton ↑,
- 74', Agra S. ↓, Pina R. ↑,
- 77', Araujo C. 🟨,
- 79', Lopes A. ↓, Bastos L. ↑,
- 79', Sabino ↓, Gustavao ↑,
- 80', Stefanovic I. 🟨,
- 90+3', Araujo C. ↓, Miguel Sousa ↑,
- 90+3', Serif N. ↓, Fonseca F. ↑,
- 90+9', Fonseca F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Leixões 53.2% | Draw 25.4% | Oliveirense 21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leixões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (-11.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leixões that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oliveirense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Leixões - Oliveirense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.76 ↓ (1.89) |
3.66 ↑ (3.57) |
4.33 ↑ (3.82) |
7.3% (7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 2.
- Recent performances by Leixões have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Oliveirense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Leixões may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Leixões is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 31:32. (average 1.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leixões won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.6:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Leixões won against Oliveirense?
Leixões has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oliveirense won against Leixões?
Oliveirense has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leixões - Oliveirense were as follows:
29.11.2025
Oliveirense
-
Leixões
2:0
08.02.2025
Leixões
-
Oliveirense
1:2
31.08.2024
Oliveirense
-
Leixões
0:1
19.05.2024
Oliveirense
-
Leixões
1:3
12.01.2024
Leixões
-
Oliveirense
0:2
Latest results of Leixões
Latest results of Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 53:33 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Torreense | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 4 | Leiria | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 45:36 | 9 | 46 |
| 5 | Vizela | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 37:34 | 3 | 44 |
| 6 | Benfica B | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 41 |
| 7 | Sporting CP B | 29 | 13 | 2 | 14 | 41:30 | 11 | 41 |
| 8 | FC Porto B | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 41 |
| 9 | Feirense | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 41 |
| 10 | Chaves | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 31:29 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | Lusitania FC | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 38 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 35:50 | -15 | 38 |
| 13 | Penafiel | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 28:30 | -2 | 35 |
| 14 | Felgueiras | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 34 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 32 |
| 16 | Pacos Ferreira | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 31:42 | -11 | 30 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3