Portimonense vs Leixões – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
14/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 14
  • Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
67
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
54
Red Cards
11
Total shots
118
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
51
Corner Kicks
54
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1817
Throw-ins
2729
Fouls
1415

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', Grolli D. 🟨,
  • 29', Mamede 🟨,
  • 31', Welinton Junior 🟨,
  • 43', Figueiredo L. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Joao Reis , Edney (A),
  • 45+1', Figueiredo L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Kanuric B. , Rochez B. ,
  • 46', Werton , Evrard Zag ,
  • 46', Agra S. , Balde A. ,
  • 52', Edney 🟨,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Bica , Rochez B. (A),
  • 66', Grolli D. 🟨,
  • 68', Mamede , Ze Gabriel ,
  • 68', Joao Reis , Dauda M. ,
  • 74', Xavier , Junior M. ,
  • 80', Simaozinho , Serif N. ,
  • 82', Edney , Mateus Sarara ,
  • 82', Lobato S. , Dju M. ,
  • 89', Araujo C. , Paulite ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Paulite , Rochez B. (A),
  • 90+2', Paulite 🟨,
  • 90+4', Stefanovic I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Portimonense
35.3%
Draw
29.1%
Leixões
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 27.7% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7% 27.5% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Leixões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Portimonense - Leixões Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (2.37)
    3.19
    (3.38)
    2.61
    (2.84)
    7.5%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Portimonense - Leixões?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Portimonense will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Leixões will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Portimonense: 4%71%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leixões will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 1.
    • Portimonense has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Leixões is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Leixões may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portimonense won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portimonense - Leixões were as follows:
    02.03.2025 Portimonense - Leixões 2:1
    05.10.2024 Leixões - Portimonense 3:0
    30.07.2023 Leixões - Portimonense 1:0
    Latest results of Portimonense
    07.12.2025 Lusitânia - Portimonense 3:2
    30.11.2025 Portimonense - Marítimo 0:2
    23.11.2025 Porto B - Portimonense 1:0
    08.11.2025 Portimonense - Oliveirense 1:1
    30.10.2025 Portimonense - Torreense 0:1
    Latest results of Leixões
    06.12.2025 Leixões - Porto B 2:4
    29.11.2025 Oliveirense - Leixões 2:0
    23.11.2025 Vila Meã - Leixões 2:1
    16.11.2025 Leixões - Chaves 0:1
    09.11.2025 Leixões - Torreense 1:0
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo29186544:212360
    2Academico Viseu29155953:332050
    3Torreense291441136:30646
    4Leiria291210745:36946
    5Vizela29128937:34344
    6Benfica B291011841:35641
    7Sporting CP B291321441:301141
    8FC Porto B281251136:35141
    9Feirense291181032:32041
    10Chaves291161231:29239
    11Lusitania FC281081037:44-738
    12Leixoes291151335:50-1538
    13Penafiel29981228:30-235
    14Felgueiras298101125:34-934
    15SC Farense29881325:35-1032
    16Pacos Ferreira297111126:39-1332
    17Portimonense29861531:42-1130
    18Oliveirense29691427:41-1427

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3