Portimonense vs Leixões – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
14/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 14
  • Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
67
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
54
Red Cards
11
Total shots
118
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
51
Corner Kicks
54
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1817
Throw-ins
2729
Fouls
1415

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', Grolli D. 🟨,
  • 29', Mamede 🟨,
  • 31', Welinton Junior 🟨,
  • 43', Figueiredo L. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Joao Reis , Edney (A),
  • 45+1', Figueiredo L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Kanuric B. , Rochez B. ,
  • 46', Werton , Evrard Zag ,
  • 46', Agra S. , Balde A. ,
  • 52', Edney 🟨,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Bica , Rochez B. (A),
  • 66', Grolli D. 🟨,
  • 68', Mamede , Ze Gabriel ,
  • 68', Joao Reis , Dauda M. ,
  • 74', Xavier , Junior M. ,
  • 80', Simaozinho , Serif N. ,
  • 82', Edney , Mateus Sarara ,
  • 82', Lobato S. , Dju M. ,
  • 89', Araujo C. , Paulite ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Paulite , Rochez B. (A),
  • 90+2', Paulite 🟨,
  • 90+4', Stefanovic I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Portimonense
35.3%
Draw
29.1%
Leixões
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 27.7% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7% 27.5% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Leixões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Portimonense - Leixões Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (2.37)
    3.19
    (3.38)
    2.61
    (2.84)
    7.5%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Portimonense - Leixões?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Portimonense will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Leixões will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Portimonense: 4%71%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Leixões will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 1.
    • Portimonense has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Leixões is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Leixões may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portimonense won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portimonense - Leixões were as follows:
    02.03.2025 Portimonense - Leixões 2:1
    05.10.2024 Leixões - Portimonense 3:0
    30.07.2023 Leixões - Portimonense 1:0
    Latest results of Portimonense
    07.12.2025 Lusitânia - Portimonense 3:2
    30.11.2025 Portimonense - Marítimo 0:2
    23.11.2025 Porto B - Portimonense 1:0
    08.11.2025 Portimonense - Oliveirense 1:1
    30.10.2025 Portimonense - Torreense 0:1
    Latest results of Leixões
    06.12.2025 Leixões - Porto B 2:4
    29.11.2025 Oliveirense - Leixões 2:0
    23.11.2025 Vila Meã - Leixões 2:1
    16.11.2025 Leixões - Chaves 0:1
    09.11.2025 Leixões - Torreense 1:0
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo27175543:212256
    2Academico Viseu27155750:282250
    3Torreense271431035:27845
    4Vizela27128736:31544
    5Leiria26118741:34741
    6Sporting CP B271321239:261341
    7FC Porto B271151133:35-238
    8Lusitania FC271071037:44-737
    9Benfica B27910837:32537
    10Chaves271061129:26336
    11Feirense27981030:32-235
    12Leixoes271041332:49-1734
    13Felgueiras27791124:34-1030
    14Pacos Ferreira26791026:37-1130
    15Penafiel27781222:26-429
    16SC Farense27781223:33-1029
    17Portimonense27761429:40-1127
    18Oliveirense27691226:37-1127

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3