Portimonense vs Leixões – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
14/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 14
  • Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
67
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
54
Red Cards
11
Total shots
118
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
51
Corner Kicks
54
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1817
Throw-ins
2729
Fouls
1415

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', Grolli D. 🟨,
  • 29', Mamede 🟨,
  • 31', Welinton Junior 🟨,
  • 43', Figueiredo L. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Joao Reis , Edney (A),
  • 45+1', Figueiredo L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Kanuric B. , Rochez B. ,
  • 46', Werton , Evrard Zag ,
  • 46', Agra S. , Balde A. ,
  • 52', Edney 🟨,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Bica , Rochez B. (A),
  • 66', Grolli D. 🟨,
  • 68', Mamede , Ze Gabriel ,
  • 68', Joao Reis , Dauda M. ,
  • 74', Xavier , Junior M. ,
  • 80', Simaozinho , Serif N. ,
  • 82', Edney , Mateus Sarara ,
  • 82', Lobato S. , Dju M. ,
  • 89', Araujo C. , Paulite ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Paulite , Rochez B. (A),
  • 90+2', Paulite 🟨,
  • 90+4', Stefanovic I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Portimonense
35.3%
Draw
29.1%
Leixões
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 27.7% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7% 27.5% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Leixões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Portimonense - Leixões Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (2.37)
    3.19
    (3.38)
    2.61
    (2.84)
    7.5%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Portimonense - Leixões?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Portimonense will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Leixões will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Portimonense: 4%71%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Leixões will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 1.
    • Portimonense has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Leixões is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Leixões may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portimonense won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portimonense - Leixões were as follows:
    02.03.2025 Portimonense - Leixões 2:1
    05.10.2024 Leixões - Portimonense 3:0
    30.07.2023 Leixões - Portimonense 1:0
    Latest results of Portimonense
    07.12.2025 Lusitânia - Portimonense 3:2
    30.11.2025 Portimonense - Marítimo 0:2
    23.11.2025 Porto B - Portimonense 1:0
    08.11.2025 Portimonense - Oliveirense 1:1
    30.10.2025 Portimonense - Torreense 0:1
    Latest results of Leixões
    06.12.2025 Leixões - Porto B 2:4
    29.11.2025 Oliveirense - Leixões 2:0
    23.11.2025 Vila Meã - Leixões 2:1
    16.11.2025 Leixões - Chaves 0:1
    09.11.2025 Leixões - Torreense 1:0
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo24145538:191947
    2Academico Viseu24135644:261844
    3Sporting CP B241221037:231438
    4FC Porto B24114931:31037
    5Torreense241131028:27136
    6Leiria2398634:31335
    7Vizela2498730:28235
    8Lusitania FC2497833:37-434
    9Feirense2488828:27132
    10Benfica B24710733:31231
    11Leixoes24941127:40-1331
    12Chaves24861027:24330
    13Felgueiras2478924:30-629
    14Penafiel24771021:23-228
    15SC Farense24761122:31-927
    16Oliveirense24681026:33-726
    17Pacos Ferreira2359920:32-1224
    18Portimonense24661225:35-1024

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3