Portimonense vs Lusitânia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
19/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 30
  • Referee: Costa B. J. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV1

Match Stats

Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
75
Shots on target
52
Corner kicks
69
Yellow cards
43
Total shots
75
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
23
Corner kicks
69
Offsides
13
Free kicks
1916
Throw ins
3630
Fouls
1216

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 46', Alhassan I. , Silva J. ,
  • 46', Teixeira M. , Tokinho Doria ,
  • 48', Canario F. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 52', Mamede 🟨,
  • 58', 0 - 1, Faria B. , Silva J. (A),
  • 61', 0 - 2, Rocha L. ,
  • 62', Thauan Lara , Cagro W. ,
  • 62', Canario F. , Welinton Junior ,
  • 65', Pancadas Casimiro J. D. , Dju M. ,
  • 66', Martins R. 🟨,
  • 66', 1 - 2, Dauda M. , Edney (A),
  • 69', Martins R. , Joao Vasco ,
  • 72', Fernandes T. 🟨,
  • 77', Pereira M. 🟨,
  • 79', Cagro W. 🟨,
  • 80', Tokinho Doria 🟨,
  • 84', Fabinho (Penalty Awarded),
  • 85', Faria B. , Collard D. ,
  • 85', Fabinho , Mimito ,
  • 89', Junior M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 2 - 2, Dauda M. , Junior M. (A),
  • 90+12', 3 - 2, Cagro W. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Portimonense
37.8%
Draw
29.1%
Lusitânia
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 29.4% 31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 29.2% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Portimonense - Lusitânia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.38)
    3.21
    (3.15)
    2.82
    (2.93)
    7.4%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Portimonense - Lusitânia?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Portimonense (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Portimonense will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 11).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Lusitânia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Portimonense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portimonense - Lusitânia were as follows:
    07.12.2025 Lusitânia - Portimonense 3:2
    Latest results of Portimonense
    Latest results of Lusitânia
    13.04.2026 Lusitânia - Porto B 1:1
    05.04.2026 Leiria - Lusitânia 0:0
    15.03.2026 Vizela - Lusitânia 4:3
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo32206649:252466
    2Academico Viseu32167956:332355
    3Torreense311551137:30750
    4Leiria321310950:43749
    5Vizela321391038:36248
    6Feirense321291134:36-245
    7Benfica B3211111043:40344
    8Leixoes321351442:53-1144
    9Lusitania FC3211101142:48-643
    10FC Porto B311261337:42-542
    11Chaves321261438:37142
    12Sporting CP B321321741:33841
    13Felgueiras3110101128:35-740
    14SC Farense321091330:35-539
    15Penafiel311081333:34-138
    16Portimonense321061637:48-1136
    17Pacos Ferreira328111331:46-1535
    18Oliveirense327101531:43-1231

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