Auxerre vs Lens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Auxerre - Lens
Result
1:2
04/10/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 7
  • Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, StarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeTV5 Monde Europe
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-americaSouth-americaTV5 Monde Amerique Latine
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.580.41
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
187
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
82% (420/514)82% (325/396)
Yellow Cards
37
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.580.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.941.41
Total shots
187
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
92
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
1612
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
2110
Passes
82% (420/514)82% (325/396)
Long passes
42% (28/67)43% (22/51)
Passes in final third
65% (101/155)54% (36/67)
Crosses
37% (7/19)50% (2/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.28
Throw-ins
2511
Fouls
1021
Tackles
37% (7/19)38% (6/16)
Duels won
5654
Clearances
1029
Interceptions
616
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.410.94
Goals prevented
-0.59-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Edouard O. , Thomasson A. (A),
  • 15', Baidoo S. 🟨,
  • 41', Edouard O. , Fofana R. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Ganiou I. 🟨,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Sierralta F. ,
  • 62', Danny Namaso 🟨,
  • 62', Risser R. 🟨,
  • 65', Mensah G. 🟨,
  • 66', Thauvin F. 🟨,
  • 68', Owusu E. 🟨,
  • 69', Sinayoko L. , Osman I. ,
  • 73', Ganiou I. 🟨,
  • 76', Owusu E. , Matondo R. ,
  • 81', Said W. , Guilavogui M. ,
  • 82', Thauvin F. , Sima A. ,
  • 84', Sierralta F. , Sy L. ,
  • 87', Thomasson A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Sarr M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Pelissier C. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 1 - 2, Sima A. , Thomasson A. (A),

Chances of winning


Auxerre
27.1%
Draw
26%
Lens
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.4% 25.1% 48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7% 25.4% 47.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Auxerre - Lens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.55
    (3.66)
    3.65
    (3.85)
    2.04
    (1.99)
    4.5%
    (3.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Auxerre - Lens?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Lens (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 1.
    • Recent form of Auxerre has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lens is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Lens might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury) Coulibaly L. (Shoulder Injury) Diomande S. (Thigh Injury) El Azzouzi O. (Neck Injury) Siwe T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lens: Bermont A. (International duty) Gradit J. (Red Card) Machado D. (Knee Injury) Sylla F. (International duty)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 16:27. (average 0.9:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Auxerre - Lens were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Lens - Auxerre 0:4
    14.12.2024 Auxerre - Lens 2:2
    03.06.2023 Auxerre - Lens 1:3
    14.01.2023 Lens - Auxerre 1:0
    Latest results of Auxerre
    21.09.2025 Auxerre - Toulouse 1:0
    13.09.2025 Auxerre - Monaco 1:2
    30.08.2025 Nantes - Auxerre 1:0
    23.08.2025 Nice - Auxerre 3:1
    Latest results of Lens
    28.09.2025 Rennes - Lens 0:0
    20.09.2025 Lens - Lille 3:0
    14.09.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Lens 2:0
    29.08.2025 Lens - Brest 3:1
    24.08.2025 Le Havre - Lens 1:2
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG751113:5816
    2Marseille750215:51015
    3Strasbourg750214:7715
    4Lyon75029:5415
    5Monaco741216:12413
    6Lens741210:6413
    7Lille732214:10411
    8Paris FC731312:13-110
    9Toulouse731311:12-110
    10Rennes72419:10-110
    11Brest722311:1108
    12Nice72239:12-38
    13Lorient72149:16-77
    14Le Havre71338:10-26
    15Nantes71335:7-26
    16Auxerre72055:10-56
    17Angers71243:11-85
    18Metz70255:16-112

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