Result
1:2
04/10/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 7
- Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, StarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique |
Austria | DAZN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Europe | TV5 Monde Europe |
Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | Cignal Play |
Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
South-america | TV5 Monde Amerique Latine |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.58 | 0.41 |
Ball Possession |
---|
57% | 43% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
82% (420/514) | 82% (325/396) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 7 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.58 | 0.41 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.94 | 1.41 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
9 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
9 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
16 | 12 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
21 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
82% (420/514) | 82% (325/396) |
Long passes |
---|
42% (28/67) | 43% (22/51) |
Passes in final third |
---|
65% (101/155) | 54% (36/67) |
Crosses |
---|
37% (7/19) | 50% (2/4) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.04 | 0.28 |
Throw-ins |
---|
25 | 11 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 21 |
Tackles |
---|
37% (7/19) | 38% (6/16) |
Duels won |
---|
56 | 54 |
Clearances |
---|
10 | 29 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 16 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.41 | 0.94 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.59 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Edouard O. ⚽, Thomasson A. (A),
- 15', Baidoo S. 🟨,
- 41', Edouard O. ↓, Fofana R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ganiou I. 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 1, Sierralta F. ⚽,
- 62', Danny Namaso 🟨,
- 62', Risser R. 🟨,
- 65', Mensah G. 🟨,
- 66', Thauvin F. 🟨,
- 68', Owusu E. 🟨,
- 69', Sinayoko L. ↓, Osman I. ↑,
- 73', Ganiou I. 🟨,
- 76', Owusu E. ↓, Matondo R. ↑,
- 81', Said W. ↓, Guilavogui M. ↑,
- 82', Thauvin F. ↓, Sima A. ↑,
- 84', Sierralta F. ↓, Sy L. ↑,
- 87', Thomasson A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Sarr M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Pelissier C. 🟨,
- 90+6', 1 - 2, Sima A. ⚽, Thomasson A. (A),
Chances of winning
Auxerre 27.1% | Draw 26% | Lens 46.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+1%)
Auxerre - Lens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.55 ↓ (3.66) |
3.65 ↓ (3.85) |
2.04 ↑ (1.99) |
4.5% (3.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Auxerre - Lens?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Lens (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 1.
- Recent form of Auxerre has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lens is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lens might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N.
(Knee Injury)
Coulibaly L.
(Shoulder Injury)
Diomande S.
(Thigh Injury)
El Azzouzi O.
(Neck Injury)
Siwe T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Lens: Bermont A.
(International duty)
Gradit J.
(Red Card)
Machado D.
(Knee Injury)
Sylla F.
(International duty)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 16:27. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Auxerre won against Lens?
Auxerre has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lens won against Auxerre?
Lens has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Auxerre - Lens were as follows:
27.04.2025
Lens
-
Auxerre
0:4
14.12.2024
Auxerre
-
Lens
2:2
03.06.2023
Auxerre
-
Lens
1:3
14.01.2023
Lens
-
Auxerre
1:0
Latest results of Auxerre
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | PSG | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Marseille | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15:5 | 10 | 15 |
3 | Strasbourg | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Lyon | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 15 |
5 | Monaco | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 13 |
6 | Lens | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 13 |
7 | Lille | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Paris FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 10 |
9 | Toulouse | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Rennes | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
11 | Brest | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
12 | Nice | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Lorient | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:16 | -7 | 7 |
14 | Le Havre | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
15 | Nantes | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
16 | Auxerre | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
17 | Angers | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:11 | -8 | 5 |
18 | Metz | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:16 | -11 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2