Nice vs Lens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
02/05/2026 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 32
  • Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique
austriaAustriaDAZN
boliviaBoliviaESPN 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilCaze TV, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+, ESPN 3
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 3
europeEuropeTV5 Monde Europe
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
israelIsrael5 STARS Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
mexicoMexicoFOX One, FOX Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
paraguayParaguayESPN 3
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV6
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-americaSouth-americaTV5 Monde Amerique Latine
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 3, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Sport
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.791.09
Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
916
Shots on target
24
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
78
Passes
84% (326/386)85% (395/463)
Yellow cards
23
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
0.791.09
xG on target (xGOT)
0.561.43
Total shots
916
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
26
Blocked shots
56
Shots inside the box
77
Shots outside the box
29
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
78
Touches in opposition box
2116
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1011
Passes
84% (326/386)85% (395/463)
Long passes
43% (17/40)51% (19/37)
Passes in final third
72% (67/93)72% (93/129)
Crosses
11% (2/18)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.440.48
Throw ins
1919
Fouls
1110
Tackles
44% (7/16)41% (12/29)
Duels won
4561
Clearances
2119
Interceptions
1313
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
31
xGOT faced
1.430.56
Goals prevented
0.43-0.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Sarr M. 🟨,
  • 44', Thauvin F. 🟨,
  • 45', Bah J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 60', 0 - 1, Saint-Maximin A. , Thomasson A. (A),
  • 71', Sanson M. , Abdul Samed S. ,
  • 71', Cho M. , Jansson I. ,
  • 71', Boudache K. , Abdi A. ,
  • 77', Edouard O. , Sima A. ,
  • 81', Abdulhamid S. 🟥,
  • 82', Thomasson A. 🟨,
  • 84', 1 - 1, Abdi A. ,
  • 86', Thauvin F. , Aguilar R. ,
  • 90', Bard M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Boudaoui H. , Vanhoutte C. ,
  • 90+1', Diop S. , Kevin ,

Chances of winning


Nice
20.1%
Draw
22.5%
Lens
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.8% 23.1% 53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4% 22.7% 54.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Nice - Lens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.73
    (3.98)
    4.2
    (4.1)
    1.67
    (1.78)
    5%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Nice - Lens?
  • Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 5 - 14.3%). Lens will win (votes: 26 - 74.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 59.8%88.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lens will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 3.
    • In recent matches, Nice has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lens is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Nice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Nice has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Lens is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Pereira E. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Lens: Gradit J. (Thigh Injury) Gurtner R. (Muscle Injury) Masuaku A. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Nice won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nice won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 1.7:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nice - Lens were as follows:
    14.12.2025 Lens - Nice 2:0
    08.02.2025 Nice - Lens 2:0
    28.09.2024 Lens - Nice 0:0
    16.03.2024 Lens - Nice 1:3
    20.12.2023 Nice - Lens 2:0
    Latest results of Nice
    26.04.2026 Olympique Marseille - Nice 1:1
    22.04.2026 Strasbourg - Nice 0:2
    18.04.2026 Lille - Nice 0:0
    12.04.2026 Nice - Le Havre 1:1
    04.04.2026 Strasbourg - Nice 3:1
    Latest results of Lens
    24.04.2026 Brest - Lens 3:3
    21.04.2026 Lens - Toulouse 4:1
    17.04.2026 Lens - Toulouse 3:2
    04.04.2026 Lille - Lens 3:0
    20.03.2026 Lens - Angers 5:1
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG ✔ 31224570:274370
    2Lens31204761:332864
    3Lyon32186852:341860
    4Lille32177851:351658
    5Rennes32168856:461056
    6Monaco321661056:48854
    7Marseille321651159:441553
    8Strasbourg311371150:41946
    9Lorient3210121044:49-542
    10Toulouse321181345:45041
    11Paris FC3210111144:47-341
    12Brest311081341:51-1038
    13Angers32971627:46-1934
    14Le Havre326141230:43-1332
    15Nice327101536:58-2231
    16Auxerre326101630:43-1328
    17Nantes32581929:51-2223
    18Metz32372232:72-4016

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )