Freiburg vs Lens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2 ET
22/02/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS
  • Referee: Obrenovic R. (Slo)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Sport
belgiumBelgiumVOOsport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
finlandFinlandViaplay
hungaryHungaryRTL3
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV4
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Chances of winning


Freiburg
36.5%
Draw
29.3%
Lens
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 27.4% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 25.9% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Freiburg's form might have worsened.
  • Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lens's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Freiburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Freiburg - Lens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.17)
    3.28
    (3.52)
    2.81
    (3.43)
    4.3%
    (3.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Freiburg - Lens?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 13 - 43.3%). Lens will win (votes: 6 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 36.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Freiburg: 25.6%61%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.
    • Freiburg is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Lens is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Ginter M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Keitel Y. (Back Injury) Kyereh D. (Knee Injury) Lienhart P. (Groin Injury) Rosenfelder M. (Tendon Injury) Schmidt K. (Abdominal strain)
    • There will not play in Lens: Cabot J. (Knee Injury) Danso K. (Yellow Cards) Machado D. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Lens were as follows:
    15.02.2024 Lens - Freiburg 0:0
    Latest results of Freiburg
    15.02.2024 Lens - Freiburg 0:0
    03.02.2024 Freiburg - Stuttgart 1:3
    27.01.2024 Werder Bremen - Freiburg 3:1
    Latest results of Lens
    18.02.2024 Reims - Lens 1:1
    15.02.2024 Lens - Freiburg 0:0
    10.02.2024 Lens - Strasbourg 3:1
    03.02.2024 Nantes - Lens 0:1
    28.01.2024 Toulouse - Lens 0:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Ludogorets (22)Ferencvaros (12)0 : 2, 2 : 1
    2Braga (6)Bye
    3Panathinaikos (20)Plzen (14)2 : 1, 2 : 2
    4Betis (4)Bye
    5Din. Zagreb (23)Genk (9)3 : 3, 1 : 3
    6Freiburg (7)Bye
    7PAOK (17)Celta Vigo (16)0 : 1, 1 : 2
    8Lyon (1)Bye
    9Celtic (21)Stuttgart (11)1 : 0, 1 : 4
    10FC Porto (5)Bye
    11Fenerbahce (19)Nottingham (13)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    12Midtjylland (3)Bye
    13Brann (24)Bologna (10)0 : 1, 0 : 1
    14AS Roma (8)Bye
    15Lille (18)Crvena zvezda (15)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    16Aston Villa (2)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Ferencvaros (12)Braga (6)
    2Panathinaikos (20)Betis (4)
    3Genk (9)Freiburg (7)
    4Celta Vigo (16)Lyon (1)
    5Stuttgart (11)FC Porto (5)
    6Nottingham (13)Midtjylland (3)
    7Bologna (10)AS Roma (8)
    8Lille (18)Aston Villa (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2