Freiburg vs Lens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Freiburg - Lens
Result
3:2 ET
22/02/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS
  • Referee: Obrenovic R. (Slo)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Sport
belgiumBelgiumVOOsport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
finlandFinlandViaplay
hungaryHungaryRTL3
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV4
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Chances of winning


Freiburg
36.5%
Draw
29.3%
Lens
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 27.4% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 25.9% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Freiburg's form might have worsened.
  • Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lens's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Freiburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Freiburg - Lens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.17)
    3.28
    (3.52)
    2.81
    (3.43)
    4.3%
    (3.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Freiburg - Lens?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 13 - 43.3%). Lens will win (votes: 6 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 36.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Freiburg: 25.6%61%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.
    • Freiburg is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Lens is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Ginter M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Keitel Y. (Back Injury) Kyereh D. (Knee Injury) Lienhart P. (Groin Injury) Rosenfelder M. (Tendon Injury) Schmidt K. (Abdominal strain)
    • There will not play in Lens: Cabot J. (Knee Injury) Danso K. (Yellow Cards) Machado D. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Lens were as follows:
    15.02.2024 Lens - Freiburg 0:0
    Latest results of Freiburg
    15.02.2024 Lens - Freiburg 0:0
    03.02.2024 Freiburg - Stuttgart 1:3
    27.01.2024 Werder Bremen - Freiburg 3:1
    Latest results of Lens
    18.02.2024 Reims - Lens 1:1
    15.02.2024 Lens - Freiburg 0:0
    10.02.2024 Lens - Strasbourg 3:1
    03.02.2024 Nantes - Lens 0:1
    28.01.2024 Toulouse - Lens 0:2
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1FredrikstadBye
    3MidtjyllandBye
    4ByeHibernian
    5PAOKBye
    8ByeWolfsberger AC
    9Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    10AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    11OstravaBye
    12LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    13LuganoBye
    14PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    15Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16ByeBraga
    17ServetteBye
    19Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    20ByeUtrecht
    21AnderlechtBye
    22TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    24ByeBrann
    25PanathinaikosBye
    27BesiktasBye
    28Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0
    29Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    32ByeNoah
    33RijekaBye
    36ByeShelbourne
    37RFSBye
    40ByeKuPS
    41HamrunBye
    44ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    45ZrinjskiBye
    48ByeBreidablik
    49FCSBBye
    52ByeDrita

    Quarter-finals
    1FredrikstadBye
    2MidtjyllandHibernian2 : 1, 1 : 1
    3PAOKBye
    4ByeWolfsberger AC
    5CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 2, 1 : 1
    6OstravaLegia1 : 2, 2 : 2
    7LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 1, 0 : 0
    8Levski SofiaBraga0 : 1, 0 : 0
    9ServetteBye
    10Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 4, 1 : 3
    11AnderlechtHacken1 : 3, 1 : 0
    12ByeBrann
    13PanathinaikosBye
    14BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk0 : 2, 2 : 4
    15Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    16ByeNoah
    17RijekaBye
    18ByeShelbourne
    19RFSBye
    20ByeKuPS
    21HamrunBye
    22ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    23ZrinjskiBye
    24ByeBreidablik
    25FCSBBye
    26ByeDrita

    Semi-finals
    1FredrikstadMidtjylland
    2PAOKWolfsberger AC
    3AEK LarnacaLegia
    4CFR ClujBraga
    5ServetteUtrecht
    6HackenBrann
    7PanathinaikosShakhtar Donetsk
    8Lincoln Red ImpsNoah
    9RijekaShelbourne
    10RFSKuPS
    11HamrunMaccabi Tel Aviv
    12ZrinjskiBreidablik
    13FCSBDrita