Result
1:2
24/08/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 2
- Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belarus | Okko Sport |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 6 |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 1.02 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (439/525) | 86% (347/405) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (439/525) | 86% (347/405) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (22/43) | 65% (24/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (99/149) | 73% (55/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (9/31) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.88 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 7', Zouaoui Y. 🟨,
- 9', 0 - 1, Said W. (Pen),
- 25', Samatta A. 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 2, Fofana R. ⚽, Said W. (A),
- 45+3', 1 - 2, Doucoure F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 47', Sangante A. 🟨,
- 59', Sylla F. ↓, Sangare M. ↑,
- 60', Thomasson A. 🟨,
- 63', Doucoure F. ↓, Namli Y. ↑,
- 63', Ndiaye R. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
- 73', Samatta A. ↓, Mambimbi F. ↑,
- 73', Thauvin F. ↓, Sotoca F. ↑,
- 73', Fofana R. ↓, Guilavogui M. ↑,
- 84', Kechta Y. ↓, Kyeremeh G. ↑,
- 84', Sangante A. ↓, Ebonog S. ↑,
- 89', Said W. ↓, Bulatovic A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Le Havre
20.8% | Draw
25.5% | Lens
53.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Le Havre's form might have worsened.Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lens's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Le Havre - Lens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.75 ↑
(3.53) |
3.85 ↑
(3.48) |
1.81 ↓
(1.99) |
2.4%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Le Havre - Lens?
Users Predictions:
54 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 4 - 7.4%). Lens will win (votes: 41 - 75.9%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 64.5% – 87.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lens will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 1.
- Le Havre is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Lens has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Le Havre has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Lens has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Lens is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Le Havre: Delaine T.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Le Havre: Toure A.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Lens: Satriano M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:22. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Le Havre won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 1.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Le Havre won against Lens?
Le Havre has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lens won against Le Havre?
Lens has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Le Havre - Lens were as follows:
01.03.2025
Lens
-
Le Havre
3:4
12.01.2025
Le Havre
-
Lens
1:2
06.04.2024
Lens
-
Le Havre
1:1
20.10.2023
Le Havre
-
Lens
0:0
17.12.2022
Lens
-
Le Havre
3:0
Latest results of Le Havre
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marseille | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21:7 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | PSG | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Lens | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Rennes | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Lorient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Nantes | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Metz | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:20 | -15 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
