Le Havre vs Lens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
24/08/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 2
  • Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6
austriaAustriaDAZN
belarusBelarusOkko Sport
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Sport 6
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.991.02
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
186
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
70
Passes
84% (439/525)86% (347/405)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.991.02
xG on target (xGOT)
0.921.12
Total shots
186
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
70
Touches in opposition box
3511
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1516
Passes
84% (439/525)86% (347/405)
Long passes
51% (22/43)65% (24/37)
Passes in final third
66% (99/149)73% (55/75)
Crosses
29% (9/31)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.630.40
Throw-ins
288
Fouls
1716
Tackles
43% (6/14)63% (12/19)
Duels won
4553
Clearances
936
Interceptions
1016
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
1.120.92
Goals prevented
-0.88-0.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 7', Zouaoui Y. 🟨,
  • 9', 0 - 1, Said W. (Pen),
  • 25', Samatta A. 🟨,
  • 40', 0 - 2, Fofana R. , Said W. (A),
  • 45+3', 1 - 2, Doucoure F. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 47', Sangante A. 🟨,
  • 59', Sylla F. , Sangare M. ,
  • 60', Thomasson A. 🟨,
  • 63', Doucoure F. , Namli Y. ,
  • 63', Ndiaye R. , Toure A. ,
  • 73', Samatta A. , Mambimbi F. ,
  • 73', Thauvin F. , Sotoca F. ,
  • 73', Fofana R. , Guilavogui M. ,
  • 84', Kechta Y. , Kyeremeh G. ,
  • 84', Sangante A. , Ebonog S. ,
  • 89', Said W. , Bulatovic A. ,

Chances of winning


Le Havre
20.8%
Draw
25.5%
Lens
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.4% 26.8% 46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3% 25.7% 49%

Le Havre - Lens Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.75
(3.53)
3.85
(3.48)
1.81
(1.99)
2.4%
(7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Le Havre - Lens?
  • Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 4 - 7.4%). Lens will win (votes: 41 - 75.9%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 64.5%87.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lens will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 1.
    • Le Havre is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Lens has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Le Havre has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Lens has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Lens is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Le Havre: Delaine T. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Le Havre: Toure A. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lens: Satriano M. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:22. (average 1.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Le Havre won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 1.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Le Havre - Lens were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Lens - Le Havre 3:4
    12.01.2025 Le Havre - Lens 1:2
    06.04.2024 Lens - Le Havre 1:1
    20.10.2023 Le Havre - Lens 0:0
    17.12.2022 Lens - Le Havre 3:0
    Latest results of Le Havre
    16.08.2025 Monaco - Le Havre 3:1
    02.08.2025 Paris FC - Le Havre 1:1
    30.07.2025 Brest - Le Havre 1:0
    26.07.2025 Le Havre - Angers 0:0
    Latest results of Lens
    16.08.2025 Lens - Lyon 0:1
    09.08.2025 Lens - RB Leipzig 2:1
    02.08.2025 Lens - Roma 0:2
    26.07.2025 Lens - Metz 2:1
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens16121328:131537
    2PSG16113235:142136
    3Marseille16102436:152132
    4Lille16102433:201332
    5Lyon1683522:16627
    6Rennes1676327:24327
    7Strasbourg1672725:20523
    8Toulouse1665524:19523
    9Monaco1672726:27-123
    10Angers1664617:18-122
    11Brest1654721:27-619
    12Lorient1646619:28-918
    13Nice1652919:29-1017
    14Paris FC1644821:29-816
    15Le Havre1636713:22-915
    16Auxerre16331014:25-1112
    17Nantes1625914:28-1411
    18Metz16321117:37-2011

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2