Lens vs Le Havre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Football French Ligue 1 Lens - Le Havre
Result
3:4
01/03/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 24
  • Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
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russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainbeIN Sports
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.971.44
Ball Possession
69%31%
Goal Attempts
198
Shots on Goal
74
Shots off Goal
82
Blocked Shots
42
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
92
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
11
Goalkeeper Saves
04
Free Kicks
1112
Offsides
22
Fouls
1211
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
166
Touches in the Opposition Box
3312
Passes
88% (526/595)80% (207/260)
Passes in the final third
84% (186/222)59% (36/61)
Crosses
44% (14/32)13% (2/15)
Tackles
47% (8/17)65% (11/17)
Clearances Total
1943
Interceptions
28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 3', 1 - 0, El Aynaoui N. (Pen),
  • 19', 2 - 0, Aguilar R. ⚽, Machado D. (A),
  • 22', Toure A. 🟨,
  • 28', 2 - 1, Soumare I. ⚽, Ayew A. (A),
  • 33', 2 - 2, Ayew A. ⚽, Soumare I. (A),
  • 34', Aguilar R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 48', 3 - 2, Sotoca F. ⚽, Machado D. (A),
  • 62', 3 - 3, Casimir J. ⚽,
  • 65', Hassan A. 🟨,
  • 65', Said W. 🟨,
  • 70', El Aynaoui N. ↓, Diouf A. ↑,
  • 71', Zaroury A. ↓, Fulgini A. ↑,
  • 74', Toure A. ↓, Ndiaye R. ↑,
  • 74', Ayew A. ↓, Joujou A. ↑,
  • 79', Said W. ↓, Koyalipou G. ↑,
  • 79', Aguilar R. ↓, Pouilly T. ↑,
  • 90+1', 3 - 4, Hassan A. (Pen),
  • 90+2', Thomasson A. ↓, Fofana R. ↑,
  • 90+4', Casimir J. ↓, Pembele T. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yemn87dz

Chances of winning


Lens
67.8%		Draw
20.1%		Le Havre
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.7% 19.3% 11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4% 18.6% 10.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
    •

    Lens - Le Havre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.42 ↑
    (1.37)    		 4.78 ↓
    (4.95)    		 8.02 ↓
    (8.66)    		 4.1%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS
    •
    What is the prediction for Lens - Le Havre?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Lens will win (votes: 16 - 57.1%). Le Havre will win (votes: 8 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 38.8% – 75.4%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lens won 2.
    • Recent matches Lens is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Le Havre is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Lens is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Lens: Jhoanner Chavez (Ankle Injury) Labeau Lascary R. (Knee Injury) Nzola M. (Red Card) Petric D. (Back Injury) Satriano M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Le Havre: Kuzyaev D. (Ankle Injury) Logbo A. (Shoulder Injury) Mwanga J. (Red Card) Sangante A. (Back Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Lens won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 21:30 (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lens won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:15 (average 1.3:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lens - Le Havre were as follows:
    12.01.2025 Le Havre - Lens 1:2
    06.04.2024 Lens - Le Havre 1:1
    20.10.2023 Le Havre - Lens 0:0
    17.12.2022 Lens - Le Havre 3:0
    Latest results of Lens
    23.02.2025 Nantes - Lens 3:1 ✺
    16.02.2025 Lens - Strasbourg 0:2 ✺
    08.02.2025 Nice - Lens 2:0 ✺
    31.01.2025 Montpellier - Lens 0:2 ✺
    26.01.2025 Lens - Angers 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Le Havre
    23.02.2025 Le Havre - Toulouse 1:4 ✺
    16.02.2025 Le Havre - Nice 1:3 ✺
    08.02.2025 Lille - Le Havre 1:2 ✺
    02.02.2025 Angers - Le Havre 1:1 ✺
    26.01.2025 Le Havre - Brest 0:1 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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