Toulouse vs Lens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Football French Ligue 1 Toulouse - Lens
Result
1:1
10/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 33
  • Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN 1, DAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 11
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.78
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
912
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
80% (292/365)88% (491/558)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.78
xG on target (xGOT)
1.220.68
Total shots
912
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
2021
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1217
Passes
80% (292/365)88% (491/558)
Long passes
33% (13/40)39% (18/46)
Passes in final third
62% (64/104)64% (55/86)
Crosses
20% (2/10)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.79
Throw-ins
2420
Fouls
1712
Tackles
56% (9/16)53% (9/17)
Duels won
4947
Clearances
2727
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.681.22
Goals prevented
-0.320.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 0, Gboho Y. ⚽, McKenzie M. (A),
  • 51', Thomasson A. 🟨,
  • 57', Medina F. 🟨,
  • 60', Mendy N. 🟨,
  • 61', 1 - 1, El Aynaoui N. ⚽, Thomasson A. (A),
  • 63', Donnum A. 🟨,
  • 68', Machado D. ↓, Zaroury A. ↑,
  • 70', Kamanzi W. ↓, Suazo G. ↑,
  • 70', Magri F. ↓, Aboukhlal Z. ↑,
  • 76', Thomasson A. ↓, Satriano M. ↑,
  • 81', Pouilly T. ↓, Sotoca F. ↑,
  • 81', Koyalipou G. ↓, Said W. ↑,
  • 87', Casseres C. 🟨,
  • 87', Said W. 🟨,
  • 89', Zaroury A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Toulouse
41.9%		Draw
27.1%		Lens
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 26.9% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 27.1% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
    •

    Toulouse - Lens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.28 ↑
    (2.25)    		 3.52 ↓
    (3.56)    		 3.07 ↓
    (3.12)    		 4.8%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Toulouse - Lens?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Lens will win (votes: 9 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 21.7% – 64.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 1 - 25%). Lens (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 1.
    • Toulouse has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lens has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Toulouse will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Toulouse: Cresswell C. (Yellow Cards) Edjouma N. (Red Card) Nicolaisen R. (Calf Injury) Schmidt N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lens: Aguilar R. (Yellow Cards) Aguilar R. (Hamstring Injury) Jhoanner Chavez (Ankle Injury) Labeau Lascary R. (Knee Injury) Petric D. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lens: Nzola M. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 0.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Lens were as follows:
    05.01.2025 Lens - Toulouse 0:1
    28.01.2024 Toulouse - Lens 0:2
    24.09.2023 Lens - Toulouse 2:1
    02.05.2023 Toulouse - Lens 0:1
    28.10.2022 Lens - Toulouse 3:0
    Latest results of Toulouse
    03.05.2025 Toulouse - Rennes 2:1 ✺
    27.04.2025 Nantes - Toulouse 0:0 ✺
    20.04.2025 Reims - Toulouse 1:0 ✺
    12.04.2025 Toulouse - Lille 1:2 ✺
    06.04.2025 Olympique Marseille - Toulouse 3:2 ✺
    Latest results of Lens
    04.05.2025 Lyon - Lens 1:2 ✺
    27.04.2025 Lens - Auxerre 0:4 ✺
    20.04.2025 Brest - Lens 1:3 ✺
    11.04.2025 Lens - Reims 0:2 ✺
    06.04.2025 Lens - Saint-Étienne 1:0 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

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