Result
17/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Lens
58.2% | Draw
23.9% | Toulouse
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+2.3%)The ML Model estimate for Toulouse aligns with the current prediction.
Lens - Toulouse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↑
(1.61) |
4.04 ↓
(4.14) |
5.27 ↑
(5.09) |
3.9%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lens - Toulouse?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lens (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Lens will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lens won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Lens is considered a favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lens won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:3. (average 1.7:0.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lens won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lens won against Toulouse?
Lens has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Lens?
Toulouse has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lens - Toulouse were as follows:
02.01.2026
Toulouse
-
Lens
0:3
10.05.2025
Toulouse
-
Lens
1:1
05.01.2025
Lens
-
Toulouse
0:1
28.01.2024
Toulouse
-
Lens
0:2
24.09.2023
Lens
-
Toulouse
2:1
Latest results of Toulouse
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 27 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 61:23 | 38 | 63 |
| 2 | Lens | 28 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 54:27 | 27 | 59 |
| 3 | Lille | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 49:34 | 15 | 53 |
| 4 | Marseille | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 58:38 | 20 | 52 |
| 5 | Lyon | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 43:29 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Rennes | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:41 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Monaco | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 50:43 | 7 | 49 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 46:34 | 12 | 43 |
| 9 | Lorient | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 38:44 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 39:39 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:43 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 37:45 | -8 | 35 |
| 13 | Angers | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 25:39 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 24:37 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 | Nice | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34:56 | -22 | 28 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 24 |
| 17 | Nantes | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 19 |
| 18 | Metz | 29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 26:63 | -37 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
