Result
0:3
02/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 17
- Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
Austria | DAZN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
Italy | Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport MIX |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kenya | Gotv |
Mexico | FOX One, Fox Sports |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 2 |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
Portugal | Sport TV4 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
South-africa | SuperSport Variety 4 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (199/269) | 89% (509/573) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 3.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (199/269) | 89% (509/573) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (20/47) | 50% (19/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (44/70) | 82% (136/166) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 32% (8/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.03 | 0.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Emersonn 🟥,
- 30', Nicolaisen R. ↓, Koumbassa S. ↑,
- 38', Edouard O. ↓, Fofana R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 50', Thauvin F. 🟨,
- 57', 0 - 1, Said W. ⚽,
- 57', Cresswell C. 🟨,
- 63', Messali R. ↓, Hidalgo S. ↑,
- 63', Vossah A. ↓, Sauer M. ↑,
- 74', Thauvin F. ↓, Guilavogui M. ↑,
- 77', Donnum A. ↓, Vignolo J. ↑,
- 77', Koumbassa S. ↓, Kamanzi W. ↑,
- 85', 0 - 2, Thomasson A. ⚽,
- 86', Martinez C. 🟨,
- 87', Sauer M. 🟨,
- 88', Bulatovic A. 🟨,
- 90', Bulatovic A. ↓, Sotoca F. ↑,
- 90', Abdulhamid S. ↓, Bermont A. ↑,
- 90+2', Risser R. 🟨,
- 90+5', 0 - 3, Ganiou I. ⚽, Thomasson A. (A),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/bdesvrvn
Chances of winning
Toulouse 36.1% | Draw 29.4% | Lens 34.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Toulouse - Lens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.65 ↓ (2.76) |
3.23 ↓ (3.41) |
2.73 ↑ (2.48) |
5.3% (5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Toulouse - Lens?
Users Predictions:
65 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 10 - 15.4%). Lens will win (votes: 38 - 58.5%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 26.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 46.5% – 70.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Lens (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Lens (2.04) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Lens (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Toulouse (1.40) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Lens (votes: 9 - 75%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 1.
- Toulouse is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lens is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I.
(Knee Injury)
Francis A.
(Broken Leg)
Magri F.
(International duty)
- There will not play in Lens: Aguilar R.
(Muscle Injury)
Gradit J.
(Thigh Injury)
Haidara A.
(International duty)
Jhoanner Chavez
(Thigh Injury)
Sangare M.
(International duty)
- There are questionable in Toulouse: Kamanzi W.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Lens?
Toulouse has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lens won against Toulouse?
Lens has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Lens were as follows:
10.05.2025
Toulouse
-
Lens
1:1
05.01.2025
Lens
-
Toulouse
0:1
28.01.2024
Toulouse
-
Lens
0:2
24.09.2023
Lens
-
Toulouse
2:1
02.05.2023
Toulouse
-
Lens
0:1
Latest results of Toulouse
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lens | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 32:13 | 19 | 43 |
| 2 | PSG | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 40:15 | 25 | 42 |
| 3 | Marseille | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 41:19 | 22 | 35 |
| 4 | Lyon | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 27:18 | 9 | 33 |
| 5 | Lille | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 33:25 | 8 | 32 |
| 6 | Rennes | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 30:25 | 5 | 31 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28:22 | 6 | 27 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 29:23 | 6 | 26 |
| 9 | Monaco | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 28:33 | -5 | 23 |
| 10 | Brest | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 22 |
| 11 | Angers | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20:25 | -5 | 22 |
| 12 | Lorient | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 23:30 | -7 | 22 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 24:32 | -8 | 19 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 19 |
| 15 | Nice | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 21:35 | -14 | 18 |
| 16 | Nantes | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17:30 | -13 | 14 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14:28 | -14 | 12 |
| 18 | Metz | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 19:40 | -21 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2