Leon vs Castellanzese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
30/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group B - Round 14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Castelletto E. ,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Galimberti A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 62', 2 - 1, Bonseri M. ,
  • 69', 2 - 2, Airaghi J. ,

Chances of winning


Leon
40%
Draw
28.4%
Castellanzese
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.2% 26.5% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 27.3% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Castellanzese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leon than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Leon - Castellanzese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.21)
    3.19
    (3.43)
    2.88
    (2.81)
    10.2%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 10).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Latest results of Leon
    23.11.2025 Pavia - Leon 1:2
    16.11.2025 Leon - Varesina 1:1
    09.11.2025 Vogherese - Leon 1:3
    02.11.2025 Leon - Brusaporto 0:1
    26.10.2025 Villa Valle - Leon 1:0
    Latest results of Castellanzese
    23.11.2025 Castellanzese - Casatese 1:2
    09.11.2025 Castellanzese - Pavia 0:0
    02.11.2025 Castellanzese - Varesina 2:1
    26.10.2025 Vogherese - Castellanzese 0:1
    Italian Serie D - Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Folgore Caratese28169346:202657
    2AC Milan U2328137844:321246
    3Chievo281441040:37346
    4Leon28129737:28945
    5Villa Valle281351038:37144
    6USD Casatese281013538:281043
    7Scanzorosciate281012638:261242
    8Brusaporto281261033:29442
    9Ciserano-Bergamo281010824:23140
    10Caldiero Terme28912738:31739
    11Oltrepo281171029:30-137
    12Castellanzese28991035:30536
    13Real Calepina281061237:38-136
    14Breno28791232:42-1030
    15Varesina285131030:36-628
    16Pavia286101228:41-1328
    17Sondrio28651726:55-2923
    18Vogherese ✔ 28281818:48-308

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vogherese is Relegated to