Result
1:0
12/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group B - Round 31
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Chessa M. ⚽,
- 32', Boccadamo S. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Castellanzese
32.3% | Draw
27.1% | Leon
40.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castellanzese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Leon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leon than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Castellanzese - Leon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.82 ↑
(2.74) |
3.36 ↑
(3.18) |
2.24 ↓
(2.36) |
9.8%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).
- Castellanzese is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Leon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Leon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Leon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Castellanzese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Castellanzese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Castellanzese won against Leon?
Castellanzese has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leon won against Castellanzese?
Leon has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castellanzese - Leon were as follows:
30.11.2025
Leon
-
Castellanzese
2:2
Latest results of Castellanzese
Italian Serie D - Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 31 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 51:22 | 29 | 64 |
| 2 | Chievo | 31 | 17 | 4 | 10 | 46:38 | 8 | 55 |
| 3 | USD Casatese | 31 | 13 | 13 | 5 | 44:28 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Leon | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 42:31 | 11 | 51 |
| 5 | AC Milan U23 | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 49:34 | 15 | 50 |
| 6 | Villa Valle | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40:40 | 0 | 46 |
| 7 | Scanzorosciate | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 40:29 | 11 | 45 |
| 8 | Brusaporto | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 45 |
| 9 | Oltrepo | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 33:31 | 2 | 44 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 26:26 | 0 | 42 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 41:37 | 4 | 40 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 39:40 | -1 | 40 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37:33 | 4 | 39 |
| 14 | Breno | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 35:46 | -11 | 34 |
| 15 | Pavia | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 32:44 | -12 | 34 |
| 16 | Varesina | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 33:40 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28:58 | -30 | 25 |
| 18 | Vogherese ✔ | 31 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 19:58 | -39 | 8 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vogherese is Relegated to
