Oltrepo vs Leon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
08/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group B - Round 23

Match Stats

Red cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', 🟥,
  • 41', 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90', 0 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Oltrepo
28.4%
Draw
33.9%
Leon
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.9% 28.7% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5% 27.4% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oltrepo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oltrepo's form might have worsened.
  • Leon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oltrepo than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oltrepo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leon than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Oltrepo - Leon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.33
    (2.55)
    2.78
    (3.1)
    2.5
    (2.45)
    6%
    (12.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 9).
    • Oltrepo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Leon's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Oltrepo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oltrepo - Leon were as follows:
    05.10.2025 Leon - Oltrepo 1:2
    Latest results of Oltrepo
    01.02.2026 Casatese - Oltrepo 0:1
    25.01.2026 Oltrepo - Castellanzese 2:0
    18.01.2026 Pavia - Oltrepo 0:0
    11.01.2026 Oltrepo - Varesina 0:1
    04.01.2026 Vogherese - Oltrepo 0:1
    Latest results of Leon
    01.02.2026 Leon - Folgore Caratese 2:0
    25.01.2026 Caldiero Terme - Leon 3:0
    18.01.2026 Leon - Breno 3:1
    04.01.2026 Leon - Milan Futuro 0:3
    Italian Serie D - Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Folgore Caratese26158342:192353
    2USD Casatese261013337:251243
    3Villa Valle26134937:34343
    4Chievo26134937:35243
    5AC Milan U2326126841:301142
    6Brusaporto26126832:26642
    7Leon26109733:26739
    8Oltrepo26117829:26337
    9Scanzorosciate26812629:25436
    10Ciserano-Bergamo2699821:21036
    11Castellanzese2698933:27635
    12Caldiero Terme26811734:29535
    13Real Calepina26961135:35033
    14Breno26781131:38-729
    15Varesina264121027:34-724
    16Pavia26591227:41-1424
    17Sondrio26541722:52-3019
    18Vogherese26281615:39-248

          Promotion
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          Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
          Relegation