Real Calepina vs Leon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
22/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group B - Round 25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Oboe M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 90+11', 1 - 1, ,
  • 90+11', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Real Calepina
35%
Draw
29.6%
Leon
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 29.6% 34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4% 29.5% 34.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Calepina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Leon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Calepina than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leon than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Real Calepina - Leon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.5)
    3.07
    (3)
    2.57
    (2.55)
    10%
    (12.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 7).
    • Real Calepina has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Leon is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Real Calepina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Real Calepina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Calepina - Leon were as follows:
    19.10.2025 Leon - Real Calepina 2:0
    Latest results of Real Calepina
    15.02.2026 Casatese - Real Calepina 1:0
    01.02.2026 Pavia - Real Calepina 2:0
    25.01.2026 Real Calepina - Varesina 2:0
    18.01.2026 Vogherese - Real Calepina 1:2
    Latest results of Leon
    15.02.2026 Leon - Sondrio 4:1
    08.02.2026 Oltrepo - Leon 0:1
    01.02.2026 Leon - Folgore Caratese 2:0
    25.01.2026 Caldiero Terme - Leon 3:0
    18.01.2026 Leon - Breno 3:1
    Italian Serie D - Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Folgore Caratese28169346:202657
    2AC Milan U2328137844:321246
    3Chievo281441040:37346
    4Leon28129737:28945
    5Villa Valle281351038:37144
    6USD Casatese281013538:281043
    7Scanzorosciate281012638:261242
    8Brusaporto281261033:29442
    9Ciserano-Bergamo281010824:23140
    10Caldiero Terme28912738:31739
    11Oltrepo281171029:30-137
    12Castellanzese28991035:30536
    13Real Calepina281061237:38-136
    14Breno28791232:42-1030
    15Varesina285131030:36-628
    16Pavia286101228:41-1328
    17Sondrio28651726:55-2923
    18Vogherese ✔ 28281818:48-308

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vogherese is Relegated to