Leon vs Sondrio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
15/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group B - Round 24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Vasil M. ,
  • 25', 1 - 1, Gervasoni M. ,
  • 45+1', 2 - 1, Bonseri M. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 75', 3 - 1, ,
  • 78', 4 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Leon
48.2%
Draw
27.7%
Sondrio
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.4% 25% 21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1% 24.7% 21.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leon's form might have worsened.
  • Sondrio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leon than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sondrio than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Leon - Sondrio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.7)
    3.28
    (3.63)
    3.77
    (4.2)
    10.1%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Sondrio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Leon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Leon
    08.02.2026 Oltrepo - Leon 0:1
    01.02.2026 Leon - Folgore Caratese 2:0
    25.01.2026 Caldiero Terme - Leon 3:0
    18.01.2026 Leon - Breno 3:1
    Latest results of Sondrio
    01.02.2026 Castellanzese - Sondrio 1:2
    21.01.2026 Sondrio - Scanzorosciate 0:3
    18.01.2026 Varesina - Sondrio 0:2
    06.01.2026 Brusaporto - Sondrio 3:0
    21.12.2025 Sondrio - Folgore Caratese 1:1
    Italian Serie D - Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Folgore Caratese26158342:192353
    2USD Casatese261013337:251243
    3Villa Valle26134937:34343
    4Chievo26134937:35243
    5AC Milan U2326126841:301142
    6Brusaporto26126832:26642
    7Leon26109733:26739
    8Oltrepo26117829:26337
    9Scanzorosciate26812629:25436
    10Ciserano-Bergamo2699821:21036
    11Castellanzese2698933:27635
    12Caldiero Terme26811734:29535
    13Real Calepina26961135:35033
    14Breno26781131:38-729
    15Varesina264121027:34-724
    16Pavia26591227:41-1424
    17Sondrio26541722:52-3019
    18Vogherese26281615:39-248

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
          Relegation