Leones de Ponce vs Capitanes de Arecibo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Puerto Rican BSN Leones de Ponce - Capitanes de Arecibo
Result
93:71
30/04/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BSN

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
7361
Field Goals Made
3827
Field Goals %
52.1%44.3%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4738
2-Point Field Goals Made
2922
2-Point Field Goals %
61.7%57.9%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2623
3-Point Field Goals Made
95
3-Point Field Goals %
34.6%21.7%
Free Throws Attempted
916
Free Throws Made
812
Free Throws %
88.9%75%
Offensive Rebounds
1010
Defensive Rebounds
2625
Total Rebounds
3635
Assists
2210
Blocks
22
Turnovers
817
Steals
85
Personal Fouls
1517

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Leones de Ponce
42.4%
Capitanes de Arecibo
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 53.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leones de Ponce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leones de Ponce's form might have worsened.
  • Capitanes de Arecibo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Capitanes de Arecibo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones de Ponce than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Capitanes de Arecibo than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Leones de Ponce - Capitanes de Arecibo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (1.84)

    1.61
    (1.83)
    7.9%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 173.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches Leones de Ponce won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Capitanes de Arecibo could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leones de Ponce won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 1756:1907 (average 87.8:95.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams, Leones de Ponce won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 801:839 (average 89:93.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leones de Ponce - Capitanes de Arecibo were as follows:
    28.04.2025 Capitanes de Arecibo - Leones de Ponce 88:94
    23.04.2025 Leones de Ponce - Capitanes de Arecibo 82:99
    07.04.2025 Capitanes de Arecibo - Leones de Ponce 94:91
    10.06.2024 Leones de Ponce - Capitanes de Arecibo 89:100
    19.05.2024 Leones de Ponce - Capitanes de Arecibo 80:91
    Latest results of Leones de Ponce
    Latest results of Capitanes de Arecibo
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Vaqueros de Bayamon (1)Gigantes de Carolina (4)4 : 0
    2Cangrejeros (2)Criollos de Caguas (3)4 : 1
    3Indios de Mayaguez (1)Capitanes de Arecibo (4)4 : 3
    4Piratas de Quebradillas (2)Leones De Ponce (3)2 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1Vaqueros de Bayamon (1)Cangrejeros (2)4 : 3
    2Indios de Mayaguez (1)Leones De Ponce (3)2 : 4

    Final
    1Vaqueros de Bayamon (1)Leones De Ponce (3)4 : 1