Leones de Ponce vs Capitanes de Arecibo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
116:108 OT
24/04/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BSN

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
7489
Field goals made
3841
Field goals %
51.35%46.07%
2-point field goals attempts
4347
2-point field goals made
2425
2-point field goals %
55.81%53.19%
3-point field goals attempts
3142
3-point field goals made
1416
3-point field goals %
45.16%38.1%
Free throws attempts
3713
Free throws made
2910
Free throws %
78.4%76.9%
Offensive rebounds
915
Defensive rebounds
3631
Total rebounds
4546
Assists
2527
Blocks
35
Turnovers
99
Steals
65
Personal fouls
1725

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Leones de Ponce
32.5%
Capitanes de Arecibo
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 51.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leones de Ponce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leones de Ponce's form might have worsened.
  • Capitanes de Arecibo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Capitanes de Arecibo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones de Ponce than the current prediction. (+16.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leones de Ponce, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Capitanes de Arecibo than the current prediction. (-16.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Capitanes de Arecibo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Leones de Ponce - Capitanes de Arecibo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.84
    (2.24)

    1.37
    (1.56)
    8%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 189.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones de Ponce won 2.
    • Leones de Ponce has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Capitanes de Arecibo is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Leones de Ponce may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Capitanes de Arecibo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Capitanes de Arecibo will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leones de Ponce won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1787:1904. (average 89.4:95.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leones de Ponce won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 726:729. (average 90.8:91.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leones de Ponce - Capitanes de Arecibo were as follows:
    08.04.2026 Capitanes de Arecibo - Leones de Ponce 101:82
    31.03.2026 Capitanes de Arecibo - Leones de Ponce 110:102
    30.04.2025 Leones de Ponce - Capitanes de Arecibo 93:71
    28.04.2025 Capitanes de Arecibo - Leones de Ponce 88:94
    23.04.2025 Leones de Ponce - Capitanes de Arecibo 82:99
    Latest results of Leones de Ponce
    Puerto Rican BSN Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWLPCT
    1San German131031228:11320.769
    2Capitanes de Arecibo12841167:11480.667
    3Aguada Santeros1174971:9920.636
    4Indios de Mayaguez13671205:12160.462
    5Leones De Ponce14681320:13190.429
    6Piratas de Quebradillas131121153:12520.077


    Group B
    PlWLPCT
    1Vaqueros de Bayamon15961321:12480.600
    2Criollos de Caguas12751188:11490.583
    3Gigantes de Carolina11651069:10970.545
    4Osos de Manati13671185:11660.462
    5Mets de Guaynabo14681223:13090.429
    6Cangrejeros13581254:12560.385

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