Result
116:108 OT
24/04/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field goals attempts |
|---|
| 74 | 89 |
| Field goals made |
|---|
| 38 | 41 |
| Field goals % |
|---|
| 51.35% | 46.07% |
| 2-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 43 | 47 |
| 2-point field goals made |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| 2-point field goals % |
|---|
| 55.81% | 53.19% |
| 3-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 31 | 42 |
| 3-point field goals made |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| 3-point field goals % |
|---|
| 45.16% | 38.1% |
| Free throws attempts |
|---|
| 37 | 13 |
| Free throws made |
|---|
| 29 | 10 |
| Free throws % |
|---|
| 78.4% | 76.9% |
| Offensive rebounds |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Defensive rebounds |
|---|
| 36 | 31 |
| Total rebounds |
|---|
| 45 | 46 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 25 | 27 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Personal fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 25 |
Chances of winning
Leones de Ponce 32.5% | Capitanes de Arecibo 67.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leones de Ponce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leones de Ponce's form might have worsened.Capitanes de Arecibo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Capitanes de Arecibo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones de Ponce than the current prediction. (+16.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leones de Ponce, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Capitanes de Arecibo than the current prediction. (-16.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Capitanes de Arecibo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Leones de Ponce - Capitanes de Arecibo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.84 ↑ (2.24) |
|
1.37 ↓ (1.56) |
8% (8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 189.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones de Ponce won 2.
- Leones de Ponce has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Capitanes de Arecibo is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Leones de Ponce may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Capitanes de Arecibo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- We predict that Capitanes de Arecibo will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leones de Ponce won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1787:1904. (average 89.4:95.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leones de Ponce won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 726:729. (average 90.8:91.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Leones de Ponce won against Capitanes de Arecibo?
Leones de Ponce has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Capitanes de Arecibo won against Leones de Ponce?
Capitanes de Arecibo has won 9 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leones de Ponce - Capitanes de Arecibo were as follows:
08.04.2026
Capitanes de Arecibo
-
Leones de Ponce
101:82
31.03.2026
Capitanes de Arecibo
-
Leones de Ponce
110:102
30.04.2025
Leones de Ponce
-
Capitanes de Arecibo
93:71
28.04.2025
Capitanes de Arecibo
-
Leones de Ponce
88:94
23.04.2025
Leones de Ponce
-
Capitanes de Arecibo
82:99
Latest results of Leones de Ponce
Latest results of Capitanes de Arecibo
Puerto Rican BSN Table
2026Group A | | Pl | W | L | | PCT |
| 1 | San German | 13 | 10 | 3 | 1228:1132 | 0.769 |
| 2 | Capitanes de Arecibo | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1167:1148 | 0.667 |
| 3 | Aguada Santeros | 11 | 7 | 4 | 971:992 | 0.636 |
| 4 | Indios de Mayaguez | 13 | 6 | 7 | 1205:1216 | 0.462 |
| 5 | Leones De Ponce | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1320:1319 | 0.429 |
| 6 | Piratas de Quebradillas | 13 | 1 | 12 | 1153:1252 | 0.077 |
Group B | | Pl | W | L | | PCT |
| 1 | Vaqueros de Bayamon | 15 | 9 | 6 | 1321:1248 | 0.600 |
| 2 | Criollos de Caguas | 12 | 7 | 5 | 1188:1149 | 0.583 |
| 3 | Gigantes de Carolina | 11 | 6 | 5 | 1069:1097 | 0.545 |
| 4 | Osos de Manati | 13 | 6 | 7 | 1185:1166 | 0.462 |
| 5 | Mets de Guaynabo | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1223:1309 | 0.429 |
| 6 | Cangrejeros | 13 | 5 | 8 | 1254:1256 | 0.385 |
Promotion ~ BSN (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)