Result
0:1 penalties
08/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Ecuador - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DSports 4 |
 Ecuador | Teleamazonas |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- Penalties (2 - 4)
- 1, (Pen),
- 1, (Pen),
- 2, (Pen),
- 2, (Pen),
- 3, (Pen),
- 3, (Pen),
- 4, (Pen),
- 4, (Pen),
- 5, (Pen),
Chances of winning
Leones del Norte
32.3% | Draw
32.9% | Emelec
34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leones del Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Emelec might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Emelec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Leones del Norte - Emelec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.89 ↓
(3.03) |
2.83 ↓
(3.17) |
2.67 ↑
(2.11) |
7.4%
(11.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Leones del Norte - Emelec?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Emelec will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Emelec (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Leones del Norte has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Emelec has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Emelec might have a minor edge in this game.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Leones del Norte won against Emelec?
Leones del Norte has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Leones del Norte?
Emelec has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leones del Norte - Emelec were as follows:
Latest results of Leones del Norte
Draw
20251/32-finals| 1 | Club Deportivo Ibarra | San Antonio | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Manta | Bye | |
| 3 | Liga De Macas | Olmedo | 2 : 3 |
| 4 | LDU Quito | Bye | |
| 5 | Ecuagenera | Cumbaya | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Aucas | Bye | |
| 7 | Banos | Huaquillas FC | 3 : 2 |
| 8 | Dep. Cuenca | Bye | |
| 9 | Luz Valdivia | Dep. Santo Domingo | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Delfin | Bye | |
| 11 | San Camilo | Guayaquil City | 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Mushuc Runa | Bye | |
| 13 | Leones del Norte | Sembrando Buenos Campeones | 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Orense | Bye | |
| 15 | Miguel Iturralde | Patria | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Emelec | Bye | |
| 17 | Gualaceo | Mineros | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Vinotinto | Bye | |
| 19 | La Troncal | Imbabura | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Ind. del Valle | Bye | |
| 21 | Ind. Juniors | LDU Portoviejo | 1 : 2 |
| 22 | Macara | Bye | |
| 23 | Rio Aguarico | Loja | 2 : 1 |
| 24 | U. Catolica | Bye | |
| 25 | Atletico Vinotinto | Cuenca Juniors | 2 : 3 |
| 26 | Barcelona SC | Bye | |
| 27 | La Cantera | Montufar | 4 : 1 |
| 28 | Libertad | Bye | |
| 29 | Club Deportivo Panamericana | Nueve de Octubre | 0 : 1 |
| 30 | Tecnico U. | Bye | |
| 31 | Deportivo Coca | 22 de Julio | 0 : 3 |
| 32 | EL Nacional | Bye | |
1/16-finals| 1 | San Antonio | Manta | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Olmedo | LDU Quito | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Ecuagenera | Aucas | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Banos | Dep. Cuenca | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Dep. Santo Domingo | Delfin | 3 : 2 |
| 6 | Guayaquil City | Mushuc Runa | 3 : 1 |
| 7 | Leones del Norte | Orense | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Miguel Iturralde | Emelec | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Gualaceo | Vinotinto | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Imbabura | Ind. del Valle | 0 : 1 |
| 11 | LDU Portoviejo | Macara | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Rio Aguarico | U. Catolica | 0 : 1 |
| 13 | Cuenca Juniors | Barcelona SC | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | La Cantera | Libertad | 1 : 0 |
| 15 | Nueve de Octubre | Tecnico U. | 1 : 0 |
| 16 | 22 de Julio | EL Nacional | 0 : 3 |
1/8-finals| 1 | San Antonio | LDU Quito | 0 : 4 |
| 2 | Aucas | Dep. Cuenca | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Dep. Santo Domingo | Guayaquil City | 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Leones del Norte | Emelec | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Gualaceo | Ind. del Valle | 0 : 6 |
| 6 | LDU Portoviejo | U. Catolica | 1 : 3 |
| 7 | Cuenca Juniors | La Cantera | 6 : 1 |
| 8 | Nueve de Octubre | EL Nacional | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | LDU Quito | Dep. Cuenca | |
| 2 | Guayaquil City | Emelec | |
| 3 | Ind. del Valle | U. Catolica | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Cuenca Juniors | Nueve de Octubre | |
