Leones del Norte vs Emelec – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1 penalties
08/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Ecuador - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDSports 4
ecuadorEcuadorTeleamazonas
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (2 - 4)
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),

Chances of winning


Leones del Norte
32.3%
Draw
32.9%
Emelec
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.5% 28.2% 42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2% 27.9% 42.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leones del Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Emelec might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Emelec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Leones del Norte - Emelec Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.89
    (3.03)
    2.83
    (3.17)
    2.67
    (2.11)
    7.4%
    (11.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Leones del Norte - Emelec?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Emelec will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Emelec (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Emelec (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Emelec (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Leones del Norte has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Emelec has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Emelec might have a minor edge in this game.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Leones del Norte
    Latest results of Emelec
    04.10.2025 Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca 3:1
    28.09.2025 Orense - Emelec 0:0
    21.09.2025 Emelec - El Nacional 4:0
    30.08.2025 SD Aucas - Emelec 1:2
    Draw
    2026

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