Independiente Juniors vs Leones del Norte – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Serie B Independiente Juniors - Leones del Norte
Result
1:1
03/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Promotion Group - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping

Match Stats

Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 80', 0 - 1, Coppo T. ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Renteria M. ,
  • 90+13', 🟥,
  • 90+13', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Independiente Juniors
30.4%
Draw
35.1%
Leones del Norte
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 33% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 32% 26.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Juniors's form might have worsened.
  • Leones del Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leones del Norte's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leones del Norte, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Independiente Juniors - Leones del Norte Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.07
    (2.32)
    2.65
    (2.81)
    2.7
    (3.43)
    7.3%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
  • What is the prediction for Independiente Juniors - Leones del Norte?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente Jr won 3.
    • Independiente Jr is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Leones del Norte has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Leones del Norte may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Independiente Jr could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Independiente Jr won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente Jr won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Juniors - Leones del Norte were as follows:
    09.07.2025 Leones del Norte - Independiente Juniors 2:0
    29.04.2025 Independiente Juniors - Leones del Norte 1:0
    24.10.2024 Independiente Juniors - Leones del Norte 1:1
    03.09.2024 Leones del Norte - Independiente Juniors 0:1
    26.06.2024 Independiente Juniors - Leones del Norte 2:0
    Latest results of Independiente Juniors
    Latest results of Leones del Norte
    Ecuadorian Serie B Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Leones del Norte24118528:171141
    2Guayaquil City24117633:191440
    3Gualaceo24108630:30038
    4Nueve de Octubre24107725:17837
    5Ind. Juniors24107727:23437
    6San Antonio2496923:25-233

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