Result
2:0
09/07/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 65', 1 - 0, Porozo D. ⚽,
- 88', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Leones del Norte
50.9% | Draw
29.8% | Independiente Juniors
19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leones del Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leones del Norte's form might have worsened.Independiente Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Juniors's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (+12.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leones del Norte, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Leones del Norte - Independiente Juniors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.52) |
3.13 ↓
(3.6) |
4.82 ↓
(6.75) |
7.2%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Leones del Norte - Independiente Juniors?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Leones del Norte will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Independiente Jr will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leones del Norte: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Leones del Norte (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 7 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Leones del Norte may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Leones del Norte is a strong favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones del Norte won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leones del Norte won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Leones del Norte won against Independiente Juniors?
Leones del Norte has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Juniors won against Leones del Norte?
Independiente Juniors has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leones del Norte - Independiente Juniors were as follows:
29.04.2025
Independiente Juniors
-
Leones del Norte
1:0
24.10.2024
Independiente Juniors
-
Leones del Norte
1:1
03.09.2024
Leones del Norte
-
Independiente Juniors
0:1
26.06.2024
Independiente Juniors
-
Leones del Norte
2:0
07.05.2024
Leones del Norte
-
Independiente Juniors
1:1
Latest results of Leones del Norte
Latest results of Independiente Juniors
Ecuadorian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Leones del Norte ✔ | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 26:14 | 12 | 40 |
| 2 | Guayaquil City ✔ | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 31:16 | 15 | 37 |
| 3 | Gualaceo ✔ | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 27:26 | 1 | 34 |
| 4 | Nueve de Octubre ✔ | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 20:15 | 5 | 33 |
| 5 | Ind. Juniors ✔ | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 32 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 20:19 | 1 | 31 |
| 7 | Atletico Vinotinto | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 33:26 | 7 | 28 |
| 8 | 22 de Julio ✔ | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 20:31 | -11 | 28 |
| 9 | Vargas Torres ✔ | 22 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 26:22 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Cumbaya ✔ | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:24 | -5 | 26 |
| 11 | Imbabura ✔ | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 23:30 | -7 | 18 |
| 12 | Chacaritas ✔ | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20:43 | -23 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )
Serie B (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Leones del Norte is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )
Guayaquil City is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )
Gualaceo is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )
Nueve de Octubre is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )
Ind. Juniors is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )
22 de Julio is Serie B (Relegation Group )
Vargas Torres is Serie B (Relegation Group )
Cumbaya is Serie B (Relegation Group )
Imbabura is Serie B (Relegation Group )
Chacaritas is Serie B (Relegation Group )
