Leones del Norte vs Independiente Juniors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Serie B Leones del Norte - Independiente Juniors
Result
2:0
09/07/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 65', 1 - 0, Porozo D. ,
  • 88', 2 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Leones del Norte
50.9%
Draw
29.8%
Independiente Juniors
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.7% 25.6% 13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63% 26.6% 13.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leones del Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leones del Norte's form might have worsened.
  • Independiente Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Juniors's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leones del Norte, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Leones del Norte - Independiente Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.52)
    3.13
    (3.6)
    4.82
    (6.75)
    7.2%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Leones del Norte - Independiente Juniors?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Leones del Norte will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Independiente Jr will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leones del Norte: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Leones del Norte (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 7 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Leones del Norte may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Leones del Norte is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones del Norte won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leones del Norte won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leones del Norte - Independiente Juniors were as follows:
    29.04.2025 Independiente Juniors - Leones del Norte 1:0
    24.10.2024 Independiente Juniors - Leones del Norte 1:1
    03.09.2024 Leones del Norte - Independiente Juniors 0:1
    26.06.2024 Independiente Juniors - Leones del Norte 2:0
    07.05.2024 Leones del Norte - Independiente Juniors 1:1
    Latest results of Leones del Norte
    Ecuadorian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Leones del Norte1997322:121034
    2Nueve de Octubre1995519:12732
    3Gualaceo1987425:24131
    4Guayaquil City1986529:161330
    5San Antonio1984718:17128
    6Ind. Juniors1984720:20028
    7Cumbaya1975718:20-226
    8Atletico Vinotinto1974831:24725
    9Vargas Torres1959526:21524
    1022 de Julio1957718:29-1122
    11Imbabura ✔ 19361020:26-615
    12Chacaritas ✔ 19261116:41-2512

          Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )
          Serie B (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Imbabura is Serie B (Relegation Group )
    Chacaritas is Serie B (Relegation Group )