Result
0:1
17/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Chile | Zapping Sports |
 Ecuador | Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+ |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.37 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (302/372) | 83% (339/408) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (302/372) | 83% (339/408) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (33/53) | 44% (19/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (62/91) | 73% (88/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 0% (0/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.30 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (17/19) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.51 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45', Moran J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', Griffa E. ↓, Borja R. ↑,
- 54', Gustavino L. 🟨,
- 60', Quinonez R. 🟨,
- 71', Preciado E. ↓, Bolanos R. ↑,
- 76', Portocarrero S. 🟨,
- 77', Porozo S. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
- 78', 0 - 1, Quinonez R. ⚽, Morales S. (A),
- 83', Caramuto M. ↓, Pazmino D. ↑,
- 83', Mairongo J. ↓, Solano C. ↑,
- 83', Aguas A. ↓, Arroyo R. ↑,
- 85', Pepinos E. ↓, Mina K. ↑,
- 90+1', Mena A. ↓, Serpa T. ↑,
- 90+2', Arroyo L. ↓, Olaya V. ↑,
- 90+6', Arroyo R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Leones del Norte
26.4% | Draw
29.8% | SD Aucas
43.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leones del Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leones del Norte's form might have worsened.SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SD Aucas's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leones del Norte, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SD Aucas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Leones del Norte - SD Aucas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.51 ↑
(2.91) |
3.08 ↓
(3.09) |
2.12 ↓
(2.48) |
8%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Leones del Norte - SD Aucas?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aucas (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
SD Aucas will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- Leones del Norte has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Aucas is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Leones del Norte won against SD Aucas?
Leones del Norte has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Leones del Norte?
SD Aucas has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leones del Norte - SD Aucas were as follows:
Latest results of Leones del Norte
Latest results of SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 22:13 | 9 | 28 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 22 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 20 |
| 4 | Aucas | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Guayaquil City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 18 |
| 6 | LDU Quito | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 17 |
| 8 | Mushuc Runa | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | Macara | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 10 | Orense | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Delfin | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 5:6 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 | Emelec | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 14 |
| 13 | Leones del Norte | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Libertad | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 13 |
| 15 | Tecnico U | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 | Manta | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4:14 | -10 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
