Leones Negros 2 vs Mineros de Fresnillo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
25/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Premier Serie A - Round 10

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, ,
  • 22', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 80', 2 - 1, ,
  • 83', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Leones Negros 2
56.7%
Draw
24.5%
Mineros de Fresnillo
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.1% 24.1% 18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59% 24.9% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leones Negros 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • The chances for Mineros de Fresnillo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros 2 than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mineros de Fresnillo than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Leones Negros 2 - Mineros de Fresnillo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.6)
    3.69
    (3.79)
    4.82
    (4.87)
    10.6%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros 2 won 2.
    • Recent performances by Leones Negros 2 have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Mineros de Fresnillo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Mineros de Fresnillo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Leones Negros 2 is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros 2 won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leones Negros 2 won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leones Negros 2 - Mineros de Fresnillo were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Leones Negros 2 - Mineros de Fresnillo 1:2
    08.02.2025 Mineros de Fresnillo - Leones Negros 2 2:1
    05.10.2024 Leones Negros 2 - Mineros de Fresnillo 1:0
    23.03.2024 Mineros de Fresnillo - Leones Negros 2 1:1
    21.10.2023 Leones Negros 2 - Mineros de Fresnillo 3:0
    Latest results of Leones Negros 2
    Mexican Liga Premier Serie A Table
    2025/26

    Group 1
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Alacranes de Durango ✔ 2016010354:1457
    2Cimarrones de Sonora2111160336:1543
    3Tigres de Alica2113020637:2043
    4Tecos2013020544:2843
    5Leones Negros 22112020734:2140
    6Tritones Vallarta2010200827:2436
    7Mineros de Fresnillo218132728:3332
    8Los Cabos2090101030:3129
    9Guerreros de Autlan207041832:3327
    10Ensenada FC2170201222:3925
    11UA Zacatecas1960301020:3422
    12Reboceros de La Piedad2050111326:4418
    13ACF Zapotlanejo2040101529:5714
    14Colima FC2020201616:429


    Group 2
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Apodaca ✔ 2115220240:1754
    2Santiago2010051426:1936
    3Zacatepec219070519:1035
    4Halcones218051735:2534
    5Correcaminos 2218060720:1532
    6Club Calor198061425:2231
    7Lobos ULMX218060725:1930
    8Matamoros208050722:1729
    9Cordobes FC216150923:2225
    10Chilpancingo216070827:3425
    11Zitacuaro214180818:2623
    12Canamy204071826:3421
    13Ciervos2131311316:3816
    14Atletico Hidalgo2031411121:4516


    Group 3
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Racing de Veracruz ✔ 1917020039:757
    2Celaya2011121538:2341
    3Deportiva Venados199141445:2137
    4Inter Playa Del Carmen209231529:2235
    5Chiapas199023530:2232
    6Montaneses198220726:2031
    7Pioneros198111827:2829
    8Tapachula1980011037:3128
    9Chapulineros194160818:2621
    10Heroes de Zaci186021921:3421
    11Neza FC1950201221:5019
    12Dragones Toluca2030301417:3813
    13Canoneros1822111213:3912

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