Result
19/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Leones Negros UdeG
46.6% | Draw
26.9% | Cancún
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leones Negros UdeG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Cancún has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Leones Negros UdeG - Cancún Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↑
(1.89) |
3.42 ↓
(3.54) |
3.47 ↓
(3.59) |
8.8%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros UdeG won 4.
- Leones Negros UdeG has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cancún is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Leones Negros UdeG is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros UdeG won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.1:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leones Negros UdeG won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:1. (average 1.4:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Leones Negros UdeG won against Cancún?
Leones Negros UdeG has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cancún won against Leones Negros UdeG?
Cancún has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leones Negros UdeG - Cancún were as follows:
08.11.2025
Cancún
-
Leones Negros UdeG
0:1
23.02.2025
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Cancún
1:0
07.09.2024
Cancún
-
Leones Negros UdeG
0:1
09.02.2024
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Cancún
2:0
05.10.2023
Cancún
-
Leones Negros UdeG
2:0
Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
