Cancún vs Leones Negros UdeG – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
08/11/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 15
  • Referee: Solorio Arreola H. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAYM Sports

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
45
Corner Kicks
62
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
139
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
94
Corner Kicks
62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', Torres U. 🟨,
  • 17', 0 - 1, De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. ,
  • 42', Montiel S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Fierro C. , Perez J. ,
  • 58', Rivera E. , Camacho Lastra R. E. ,
  • 65', Uscanga P. , Ochoa I. ,
  • 65', Soria E. , Unjanque J. ,
  • 71', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. , Torres D. ,
  • 71', Meza U. , Aguayo J. ,
  • 71', Torres U. , Flores L. ,
  • 79', Campos K. , Solano A. ,
  • 79', Chavez A. , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 79', Montiel S. , Zabala L. ,
  • 90', Trejo C. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Perez J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cancún
46.6%
Draw
28.1%
Leones Negros UdeG
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 26.3% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8% 24.7% 28.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cancún has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Leones Negros UdeG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leones Negros UdeG might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Cancún - Leones Negros UdeG Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2.12)
    3.3
    (3.48)
    3.67
    (2.98)
    7.7%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Cancún is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 1.
    • Cancún is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Leones Negros UdeG has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Cancún is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cancún won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cancún - Leones Negros UdeG were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Leones Negros UdeG - Cancún 1:0
    07.09.2024 Cancún - Leones Negros UdeG 0:1
    09.02.2024 Leones Negros UdeG - Cancún 2:0
    05.10.2023 Cancún - Leones Negros UdeG 2:0
    11.01.2023 Cancún - Leones Negros UdeG 2:2
    Latest results of Cancún
    02.11.2025 Atlante - Cancún 1:1
    25.10.2025 Cancún - Correcaminos UAT 5:0
    10.10.2025 Cancún - Irapuato 0:0
    03.10.2025 Atlético La Paz - Cancún 2:4
    Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tepatitlan de Morelos1163216:7921
    2Atletico La Paz1054118:61219
    3Atl. Morelia1061316:9719
    4Tapatio1052322:17517
    5Atlante1044215:9616
    6Cancun1043315:12315
    7Tlaxcala1043312:12015
    8Zacatecas Mineros1042413:15-214
    9Irapuato1041522:20213
    10Jaiba Brava1041510:12-213
    11Correcaminos1033410:16-612
    12Alebrijes Oaxaca1033415:23-812
    13Venados1022616:20-48
    14Leones Negros1014510:20-107
    15Dorados de Sinaloa1114612:24-127

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)