Leones vs Real Santander – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
25/08/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera B - Clausura - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
96
Corner Kicks
610
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
129
Shots on target
96
Shots off target
33
Corner Kicks
610
Goalkeeper Saves
58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Ruiz J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 47', Pertuz J. 🟨,
  • 50', Habib J. 🟨,
  • 55', Ararat J. , Salas H. ,
  • 55', Hernandez J. , Garcia J. ,
  • 68', Habib J. , Torres J. ,
  • 68', Diaz M. , Moreno B. ,
  • 70', Arteaga J. , Gomez S. ,
  • 76', Mosquera D. , Ceballos A. ,
  • 76', Martinez J. , Garcia D. ,
  • 76', Rodriguez Cespedes C. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • 81', Londono Mesa E. 🟨,
  • 88', Guzman S. , Rodas B. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 1, Garcia J. ,
  • 90+5', Rivera Mendoza F. I. , Jimenez S. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4j7pmptb

Chances of winning


Leones
36.2%
Draw
28.8%
Real Santander
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.7% 28.2% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 28.3% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leones's form might have worsened.
  • Real Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Santander's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leones, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Santander than the current prediction. (-11%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Santander, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Leones - Real Santander Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.53
    (1.94)
    3.17
    (3.28)
    2.61
    (3.84)
    9.4%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Leones - Real Santander?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Real Santander (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Real Santander will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Santander will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Leones (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Real Santander (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones won 1.
    • Leones is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Real Santander has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Leones may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Leones could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leones won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:17. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leones won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 1.6:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leones - Real Santander were as follows:
    22.07.2024 Leones - Real Santander 2:0
    03.02.2024 Real Santander - Leones 0:0
    09.09.2023 Real Santander - Leones 2:1
    02.04.2023 Leones - Real Santander 1:1
    Latest results of Leones
    18.08.2025 Real Cartagena - Leones 4:0
    11.08.2025 Leones - Tigres 1:1
    04.08.2025 Leones - Barranquilla 2:2
    19.07.2025 Leones - Orsomarso 0:1
    Latest results of Real Santander
    Colombian Primera B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter Palmira760114:5918
    2Quindio751110:4616
    3Cartagena742110:5514
    4U. Magdalena64119:5413
    5Bogota73226:5111
    6Envigado63127:4310
    7Ind. Yumbo72418:6210
    8Barranquilla63037:709
    9Orsomarso72235:6-18
    10Patriotas72235:7-28
    11Real Cundinamarca72145:7-27
    12Tigres71334:7-36
    13Leones81345:13-86
    14Real Santander61234:7-35
    15Boca Juniors71246:10-45
    16Atletico F.C80444:11-74

          Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )