Leonesa vs Granada – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
29/11/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 16
  • Referee: Gonzalez M. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.590.44
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
83% (352/425)83% (292/352)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.590.44
xG on target (xGOT)
0.920.85
Total shots
108
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
62
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
169
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
2211
Passes
83% (352/425)83% (292/352)
Long passes
48% (30/62)51% (29/57)
Passes in final third
63% (57/90)72% (89/123)
Crosses
31% (4/13)9% (2/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.530.56
Throw-ins
228
Fouls
1122
Tackles
59% (10/17)80% (12/15)
Duels won
5039
Clearances
1815
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.850.92
Goals prevented
-0.150.92

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', 0 - 1, Pascual J. , Lama M. (A),
  • 45+1', Arnaiz J. M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Pascual J. 🟨,
  • 61', Aleman P. , Alcaraz R. ,
  • 61', Gonzalez Y. , Bicho ,
  • 61', Mboula J. , Tresaco R. ,
  • 74', Ribeiro L. 🟨,
  • 75', Arnaiz J. M. , Trigueros M. ,
  • 75', Oppong O. , Casadesus P. ,
  • 75', Ribeiro L. , Pibe ,
  • 79', Casadesus P. 🟨,
  • 81', Rodri Suarez , Ribeiro T. ,
  • 81', Justo M. , Collado D. ,
  • 83', Barzic M. 🟨,
  • 86', Faye S. , Rodelas S. ,
  • 86', Pascual J. , Bouldini M. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/7vjhekcp

Chances of winning


Leonesa
35.9%
Draw
30.7%
Granada
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.6% 30.4% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36% 30.9% 33.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Granada aligns with the current prediction.
  • Leonesa - Granada Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.65
    (2.58)
    3.08
    (3.11)
    2.85
    (2.87)
    5.4%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Leonesa - Granada?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Granada (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Granada (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Granada (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
    • Leonesa is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Granada has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Leonesa: Ojeda T. (Yellow Cards) Satrustegui E. (Knee Injury) Sobrino R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Granada: Bouldini M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leonesa: Bicho (Inactive)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leonesa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    Latest results of Leonesa
    23.11.2025 Cádiz - Leonesa 1:2
    17.11.2025 Leonesa - Málaga 1:0
    01.11.2025 Leonesa - Mirandés 3:2
    28.10.2025 Tropezón - Leonesa 1:3
    Latest results of Granada
    22.11.2025 Granada - Córdoba 1:1
    15.11.2025 Racing Santander - Granada 2:2
    09.11.2025 Granada - Zaragoza 3:1
    03.11.2025 Valladolid - Granada 2:1
    28.10.2025 Roda - Granada 1:5
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander31185862:441859
    2Dep. La Coruna31167848:351355
    3Almeria31167859:431655
    4Malaga31166952:371554
    5Las Palmas311312640:241651
    6Burgos CF31148936:261050
    7Castellon30147949:371249
    8Eibar311291033:30345
    9Gijon311361242:39345
    10Ceuta311351339:50-1144
    11Albacete311191139:40-142
    12Cordoba311181241:47-641
    13Real Sociedad B311171344:43140
    14Granada CF319121037:34339
    15Andorra311091237:42-539
    16Cadiz CF311081331:39-838
    17Leganes319101236:34237
    18Valladolid31991336:45-936
    19Huesca31871630:45-1531
    20Zaragoza31791527:43-1630
    21Mirandes31761830:50-2027
    22Cultural Leonesa30761728:49-2127

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