Leonesa vs Mirandés – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
01/11/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 12
  • Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDSports 6
ecuadorEcuadorDSports 6
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Movistar Plus+
uruguayUruguayDSports 6

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.030.85
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
81% (387/476)75% (242/323)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.030.85
xG on target (xGOT)
2.260.82
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
138
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2911
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
81% (387/476)75% (242/323)
Long passes
42% (26/62)27% (18/66)
Passes in final third
69% (85/124)58% (62/106)
Crosses
30% (7/23)35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.66
Throw-ins
2120
Fouls
1113
Tackles
69% (9/13)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4148
Clearances
1433
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.822.26
Goals prevented
-1.18-0.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Chacon L. , Diallo Selu M. (A),
  • 29', Fernandez C. 🟨,
  • 33', Bauza R. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Fernandez C. , Cardero A. (A),
  • 39', Cardero A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Novoa Ramos H. , Tamarit T. ,
  • 62', 2 - 1, Pibe , Calero I. (A),
  • 65', Justo M. , Mboula J. ,
  • 70', 2 - 2, Fernandez C. , Tamarit T. (A),
  • 72', Helguera T. , Martin Luis A. ,
  • 77', Mari A. , Barea Fernandez I. ,
  • 77', Cardero A. , Eto'o E. ,
  • 81', Pibe , Ribeiro L. ,
  • 82', Sobrino R. , Collado D. ,
  • 88', Diallo Selu M. , Gonzalez Y. ,
  • 89', 3 - 2, Ribeiro L. , Calero I. (A),
  • 90', Pica A. , Petit G. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yeytjc5n

Chances of winning


Leonesa
46%
Draw
29.2%
Mirandés
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 29.3% 25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5% 29.6% 26%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Mirandés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Leonesa - Mirandés Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (2.1)
    3.21
    (3.22)
    3.74
    (3.68)
    6.6%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Leonesa - Mirandés?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Mirandés will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mirandés (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 and 21 in the zone Relegation).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Leonesa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Leonesa could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Leonesa: Satrustegui E. (Knee Injury) Tresaco R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Mirandés: Gutierrez J. (Yellow Cards) Lopez P. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mirandés: Martin Luis A. (Injury) Novoa Ramos H. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leonesa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    Latest results of Leonesa
    28.10.2025 Tropezón - Leonesa 1:3
    25.10.2025 Leonesa - Ceuta 0:1
    18.10.2025 Zaragoza - Leonesa 0:5
    13.10.2025 Córdoba - Leonesa 1:0
    Latest results of Mirandés
    18.10.2025 Ceuta - Mirandés 2:0
    11.10.2025 Mirandés - Leganés 0:0
    05.10.2025 Valladolid - Mirandés 1:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander28165756:362053
    2Castellon28147746:291749
    3Almeria28147753:401349
    4Dep. La Coruna28147744:311349
    5Malaga28145941:311047
    6Las Palmas281112534:221245
    7Ceuta281351036:39-344
    8Burgos CF28127930:26443
    9Gijon281261038:36242
    10Cordoba28118938:37141
    11Eibar281081031:30138
    12Andorra28981135:40-535
    13Albacete28981133:39-635
    14Cadiz CF28981129:35-635
    15Leganes288101029:28134
    16Real Sociedad B28971238:39-134
    17Granada CF287111032:33-132
    18Valladolid28881229:38-932
    19Huesca28861426:37-1130
    20Cultural Leonesa28761527:44-1727
    21Mirandes28661628:45-1724
    22Zaragoza28591423:41-1824

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