Leonesa vs Sporting de Gijón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/01/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Reino de León (León).

LaLiga2 - Round 22
Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.53	2.20
Ball possession
67%	33%
Total shots
17	6
Shots on target
8	5
Big chances
2	3
Corner kicks
8	1
Passes
87% (541/620)	71% (219/309)
Yellow cards
1	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.53	2.20
xG on target (xGOT)
2.30	2.82
Total shots
17	6
Shots on target
8	5
Shots off target
4	0
Blocked shots
5	1
Shots inside the box
12	5
Shots outside the box
5	1
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
2	3
Corner kicks
8	1
Touches in opposition box
36	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free kicks
10	8
Passes
87% (541/620)	71% (219/309)
Long passes
63% (49/78)	26% (15/57)
Passes in final third
76% (127/167)	68% (67/98)
Crosses
15% (5/33)	0% (0/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.37	1.47
Throw ins
18	17
Fouls
8	10
Tackles
50% (6/12)	40% (6/15)
Duels won
38	36
Clearances
12	40
Interceptions
8	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	6
xGOT faced
2.82	2.30
Goals prevented
-1.18	0.30

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 3)
10', 1 - 0, Collado D. ⚽, Tresaco R. (A),
12', 1 - 1, Otero J. ⚽, Rosas G. (A),
16', 1 - 2, Dubasin J. ⚽,
27', Garcia V. ↓, Calero I. ↑,
43', 1 - 3, Otero J. ⚽, Olivan B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tresaco R. ↓, Sobrino R. ↑,
46', Ojeda T. ↓, Chacon L. ↑,
58', Ribeiro L. 🟨,
58', Olivan B. 🟨,
59', Rodriguez M. ↓, Perrin L. ↑,
60', 2 - 3, Calero I. ⚽,
63', 2 - 4, Vazquez P. ⚽, Corredera A. (A),
65', Perrin L. 🟨,
75', Collado D. ↓, Justo M. ↑,
77', Gelabert Pina C. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
83', Olivan B. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
83', Nacho Martin ↓, Bernal J. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5568uzdy

Chances of winning

Leonesa
28.8%

Draw
31%

Sporting de Gijón
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

30.5%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

29.1%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leonesa's form might have worsened.

Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting de Gijón's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leonesa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting de Gijón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Leonesa - Sporting de Gijón Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.72)	3.02 ↓ (3.07)	2.35 ↓ (2.68)	6.4% (6.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Leonesa - Sporting de Gijón?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting de Gijón: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Sporting de Gijón (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sporting de Gijón will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting de Gijón (votes: 4 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Leonesa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Leonesa: Barzic M. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Loum M. (Injury)
There are questionable in Leonesa: Mboula J. (Inactive) Pibe (Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.5:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Leonesa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Leonesa won against Sporting de Gijón?

Leonesa has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sporting de Gijón won against Leonesa?

Sporting de Gijón has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Leonesa - Sporting de Gijón were as follows:

29.08.2025 Sporting de Gijón - Leonesa 1:0

06.08.2025 Sporting de Gijón - Leonesa 3:2

05.08.2023 Leonesa - Sporting de Gijón 1:0

Latest results of Leonesa

13.01.2026 Leonesa - Athletic Bilbao 3:4 ✺

10.01.2026 FC Andorra - Leonesa 1:1 ✺

03.01.2026 Leonesa - Real Sociedad B 1:1 ✺

20.12.2025 Las Palmas - Leonesa 4:0 ✺

17.12.2025 Leonesa - Levante 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Sporting de Gijón

09.01.2026 Cádiz - Sporting de Gijón 3:2 ✺

04.01.2026 Sporting de Gijón - Málaga 1:3 ✺

20.12.2025 Leganés - Sporting de Gijón 0:1 ✺

16.12.2025 Sporting de Gijón - Valencia 0:2 ✺

13.12.2025 Sporting de Gijón - Granada 1:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	30	18	5	7	62:40	22	59
2	Dep. La Coruna	30	15	7	8	46:34	12	52
3	Almeria	30	15	7	8	56:42	14	52
4	Malaga	30	15	6	9	49:37	12	51
5	Castellon	30	14	7	9	49:37	12	49
6	Las Palmas	30	12	12	6	39:24	15	48
7	Burgos CF	30	13	8	9	32:26	6	47
8	Gijon	30	13	6	11	42:38	4	45
9	Ceuta	30	13	5	12	37:45	-8	44
10	Eibar	30	11	9	10	32:30	2	42
11	Cordoba	30	11	8	11	41:43	-2	41
12	Real Sociedad B	30	11	7	12	44:41	3	40
13	Andorra	30	10	9	11	37:41	-4	39
14	Albacete	30	10	9	11	35:40	-5	39
15	Cadiz CF	30	10	8	12	31:36	-5	38
16	Granada CF	30	8	12	10	35:34	1	36
17	Valladolid	30	9	9	12	35:43	-8	36
18	Leganes	30	8	10	12	31:32	-1	34
19	Huesca	30	8	7	15	29:42	-13	31
20	Zaragoza	30	7	9	14	26:41	-15	30
21	Cultural Leonesa	30	7	6	17	28:49	-21	27
22	Mirandes	30	6	6	18	28:49	-21	24

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