Result
2:4
17/01/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 22
- Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 2.20 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (541/620) | 71% (219/309) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 2.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.30 | 2.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (541/620) | 71% (219/309) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (49/78) | 26% (15/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (127/167) | 68% (67/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (5/33) | 0% (0/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.47 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 40% (6/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.82 | 2.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.18 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 10', 1 - 0, Collado D. ⚽, Tresaco R. (A),
- 12', 1 - 1, Otero J. ⚽, Rosas G. (A),
- 16', 1 - 2, Dubasin J. ⚽,
- 27', Garcia V. ↓, Calero I. ↑,
- 43', 1 - 3, Otero J. ⚽, Olivan B. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Tresaco R. ↓, Sobrino R. ↑,
- 46', Ojeda T. ↓, Chacon L. ↑,
- 58', Ribeiro L. 🟨,
- 58', Olivan B. 🟨,
- 59', Rodriguez M. ↓, Perrin L. ↑,
- 60', 2 - 3, Calero I. ⚽,
- 63', 2 - 4, Vazquez P. ⚽, Corredera A. (A),
- 65', Perrin L. 🟨,
- 75', Collado D. ↓, Justo M. ↑,
- 77', Gelabert Pina C. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
- 83', Olivan B. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
- 83', Nacho Martin ↓, Bernal J. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5568uzdy
Chances of winning
Leonesa
28.8% | Draw
31% | Sporting de Gijón
40.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leonesa's form might have worsened.Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting de Gijón's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leonesa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting de Gijón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Leonesa - Sporting de Gijón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.26 ↑
(2.72) |
3.02 ↓
(3.07) |
2.35 ↓
(2.68) |
6.4%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Leonesa - Sporting de Gijón?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting de Gijón: 30.4% – 86.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Sporting de Gijón (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sporting de Gijón will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting de Gijón (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Leonesa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Leonesa: Barzic M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Loum M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Leonesa: Mboula J.
(Inactive)
Pibe
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leonesa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Leonesa won against Sporting de Gijón?
Leonesa has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting de Gijón won against Leonesa?
Sporting de Gijón has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leonesa - Sporting de Gijón were as follows:
29.08.2025
Sporting de Gijón
-
Leonesa
1:0
06.08.2025
Sporting de Gijón
-
Leonesa
3:2
05.08.2023
Leonesa
-
Sporting de Gijón
1:0
Latest results of Leonesa
Latest results of Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 53:35 | 18 | 50 |
| 2 | Castellon | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 45:26 | 19 | 49 |
| 3 | Almeria | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 52:39 | 13 | 48 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:29 | 12 | 46 |
| 5 | Malaga | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 44 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 9 | 42 |
| 7 | Cordoba | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 41 |
| 8 | Gijon | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 41 |
| 9 | Ceuta | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 35:39 | -4 | 41 |
| 10 | Burgos CF | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 29:26 | 3 | 40 |
| 11 | Eibar | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:29 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Cadiz CF | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:32 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 36:36 | 0 | 34 |
| 14 | Albacete | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:38 | -6 | 34 |
| 15 | Leganes | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 33 |
| 16 | Granada CF | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 32:32 | 0 | 32 |
| 17 | Andorra | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 32 |
| 18 | Huesca | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 26:36 | -10 | 30 |
| 19 | Valladolid | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 28:38 | -10 | 29 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 27 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 28:44 | -16 | 24 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 23:40 | -17 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
