Leonesa vs Real Sociedad B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
03/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 20
  • Referee: Muresan S. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
chileChileDirecTV Sports
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.040.84
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
915
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
84% (394/467)74% (243/330)
Yellow Cards
35
Expected Goals (xG)
1.040.84
xG on target (xGOT)
0.300.54
Total shots
915
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
21
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
1628
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
176
Passes
84% (394/467)74% (243/330)
Long passes
58% (33/57)36% (20/55)
Passes in final third
71% (79/111)62% (73/118)
Crosses
9% (1/11)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.490.67
Throw-ins
2319
Fouls
617
Tackles
47% (8/17)60% (12/20)
Duels won
5246
Clearances
2818
Interceptions
717
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
0.540.30
Goals prevented
-0.46-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 8', Carbonell T. 🟨,
  • 19', Carrera G. 🟨,
  • 24', Calderon I. , Unax A. ,
  • 27', Hinojo R. 🟨,
  • 36', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Barzic M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Pibe , Maestre S. ,
  • 46', Hinojo R. , Larios J. ,
  • 49', 0 - 1, Carbonell T. , Rodriguez M. (A),
  • 62', Justo M. , Mboula J. ,
  • 62', Chacon L. , Ribeiro L. ,
  • 71', Rodriguez P. 🟨,
  • 72', Balda J. 🟨,
  • 75', Tresaco R. , Collado D. ,
  • 76', Rodriguez M. , Eceizabarrena J. ,
  • 76', Ochieng J. , Marchal A. ,
  • 79', Bicho 🟨,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Ribeiro L. ,
  • 88', Carrera G. , Diaz D. ,
  • 89', Gorosabel G. , Mariezkurrena A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leonesa
51.5%
Draw
27.5%
Real Sociedad B
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.2% 28.4% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 28.1% 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Leonesa - Real Sociedad B Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.92)
    3.37
    (3.26)
    4.38
    (3.94)
    7.5%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Leonesa - Real Sociedad B?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Real Sociedad B will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad B: 16.1%74.9%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Leonesa (votes: 2 - 50%). Real Sociedad B (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 and 18).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Leonesa is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Leonesa: Satrustegui E. (Knee Injury) Sobrino R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Real Sociedad B: Olasagasti L. (Injury) Orobengoa E. (Knee Injury) Osazuwa S. (International duty) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leonesa: Mboula J. (Illness) Ribeiro T. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leonesa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leonesa - Real Sociedad B were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Real Sociedad B - Leonesa 2:2
    06.09.2024 Leonesa - Real Sociedad B 1:1
    13.04.2024 Leonesa - Real Sociedad B 3:1
    15.10.2023 Real Sociedad B - Leonesa 0:0
    Latest results of Leonesa
    20.12.2025 Las Palmas - Leonesa 4:0
    17.12.2025 Leonesa - Levante 1:0
    12.12.2025 Leonesa - Huesca 0:2
    07.12.2025 Eibar - Leonesa 1:2
    03.12.2025 Leonesa - FC Andorra 4:2
    Latest results of Real Sociedad B
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander372161075:552069
    2Almeria372071074:561867
    3Dep. La Coruna371811857:401765
    4Castellon371810964:461864
    5Las Palmas371712849:311863
    6Burgos CF3717101044:331161
    7Eibar3717101045:321361
    8Malaga371791162:471560
    9Andorra3715101256:47955
    10Cordoba371591352:55-354
    11Gijon371571550:47352
    12Ceuta371491444:57-1351
    13Albacete3712111448:51-347
    14Granada CF3711121447:49-245
    15Valladolid3711101640:48-843
    16Leganes3710121540:44-442
    17Real Sociedad B371181846:54-841
    18Cadiz CF371081934:53-1938
    19Huesca37991937:55-1836
    20Mirandes37991940:60-2036
    21Zaragoza378111833:50-1735
    22Cultural Leonesa37882133:60-2732

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