Almería vs Levante – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
29/03/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 33
  • Referee: Mallo E. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
chileChileDirecTV Sports
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 2
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
portugalPortugalDAZN 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter
worldWorldDirecTV Sports

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.92
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
104
Passes
84% (367/439)80% (267/335)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.92
xG on target (xGOT)
0.850.68
Total shots
149
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
104
Touches in opposition box
1921
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
616
Passes
84% (367/439)80% (267/335)
Long passes
52% (32/61)37% (19/51)
Passes in final third
70% (101/144)60% (50/84)
Crosses
21% (7/33)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.531.81
Fouls
166
Tackles
100% (8/8)50% (6/12)
Duels won
3143
Clearances Total
2131
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.680.85
Goals prevented
0.68-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 36', Lopy D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', Puigmal A. , Arribas S. ,
  • 54', Brugue R. 🟨,
  • 63', Melero G. , Lazaro ,
  • 63', Melamed N. , Leo Baptistao ,
  • 67', Brugue R. , Morales J. ,
  • 80', Miquel I. 🟨,
  • 81', Morales J. 🟨,
  • 81', 1 - 0, Suarez L. (Pen),
  • 85', Romero I. , Fores A. ,
  • 85', Miquel I. , Espi C. ,
  • 90', Langa B. , Centelles A. ,
  • 90', Suarez L. , Kaiky ,
  • 90+5', Kochorashvili G. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/r949sxk2

Chances of winning


Almería
46.9%
Draw
28.6%
Levante
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.9% 30.9% 21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54% 34.8% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almería, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levante than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Levante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Almería - Levante Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (1.97)
    3.26
    (3.05)
    3.83
    (4.42)
    6.6%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Almería - Levante?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Levante will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 35.2%92%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Almería won 1.
    • Recent matches Almería is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Levante in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Levante could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Almería will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Almería: Baba I. (Knee Injury) Chumi (Muscle Injury) Fettal R. (Knee Injury) Leo Baptistao (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Almería: Robertone L. (Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Almería won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:20 (average 1:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Almería won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Levante were as follows:
    29.09.2024 Levante - Almería 4:2
    Latest results of Almería
    21.03.2025 Burgos - Almería 3:1
    15.03.2025 Almería - Zaragoza 4:1
    07.03.2025 Eibar - Almería 1:0
    01.03.2025 Almería - Málaga 2:2
    Latest results of Levante
    23.03.2025 Levante - Castellón 3:2
    09.03.2025 Levante - Cartagena 3:0
    02.03.2025 Eldense - Levante 1:2
    23.02.2025 Levante - Mirandés 1:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander352051072:541865
    2Dep. La Coruna351710853:381561
    3Almeria351871067:521561
    4Malaga35179958:411760
    5Burgos CF35179942:291360
    6Castellon351610958:431558
    7Las Palmas351512845:301557
    8Eibar341591040:31954
    9Andorra3513101251:47449
    10Gijon351471445:44149
    11Ceuta351471442:55-1349
    12Cordoba351391347:52-548
    13Granada CF3511121244:41345
    14Albacete3511111344:47-344
    15Leganes3510121340:38242
    16Real Sociedad B351181645:50-541
    17Valladolid341091539:47-839
    18Cadiz CF351081733:48-1538
    19Zaragoza358101731:47-1634
    20Huesca35891835:53-1833
    21Mirandes35891837:56-1933
    22Cultural Leonesa35881931:56-2532

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation