Result
1:1
10/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Super League Women
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Peacock TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (341/436) | 79% (315/397) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (341/436) | 79% (315/397) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (34/63) | 29% (12/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (52/87) | 70% (63/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 35% (7/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (19/32) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.40 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', Mccain A. 🟨,
- 58', Baisden R. 🟨,
- 63', Barry C. ↓, White H. ↑,
- 63', Ekic E. ↓, Moyer S. ↑,
- 72', 0 - 1, Harding A. ⚽,
- 75', Studer S. 🟨,
- 85', Griffith S. ↓, Nguyen A. ↑,
- 89', Martinez B. 🟨,
- 90+1', Baisden R. ↓, Walker A. ↑,
- 90+7', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Lexington
27.4% | Draw
27% | Carolina Ascent
45.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lexington's performance.Carolina Ascent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carolina Ascent might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lexington that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carolina Ascent than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carolina Ascent could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lexington - Carolina Ascent Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.08 ↓
(4.3) |
3.41 ↓
(3.5) |
2.12 ↑
(1.73) |
8.9%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lexington - Carolina Ascent?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Carolina (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Super League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6).
- Lexington is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Carolina has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Carolina has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Carolina is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lexington won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lexington won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against Carolina Ascent?
Lexington has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carolina Ascent won against Lexington?
Carolina Ascent has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lexington - Carolina Ascent were as follows:
23.03.2025
Lexington
-
Carolina Ascent
0:4
15.02.2025
Carolina Ascent
-
Lexington
2:1
06.10.2024
Lexington
-
Carolina Ascent
1:1
Latest results of Lexington
Latest results of Carolina Ascent
USL Super League Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fort Lauderdale W | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Lexington W | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 11 |
| 3 | Dallas Trinity W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:12 | -5 | 10 |
| 4 | Spokane Zephyr W | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Sporting Jax W | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 8 |
| 6 | Carolina Ascent W | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | DC Power W | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Brooklyn W | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 6 |
| 9 | Tampa Bay Sun W | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ USL Super League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
