Result
1:0
11/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Super League Women
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Peacock TV Premium, Peacock |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.20 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (241/300) | 86% (521/605) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (241/300) | 86% (521/605) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (19/46) | 41% (17/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (26/48) | 74% (111/150) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 18% (4/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 1.04 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 72% (21/29) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Pantuso A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Nabet L. 🟨,
- 59', Corbin M. 🟨,
- 61', Bourgeois A. 🟨,
- 69', Corbin M. ↓, Porter T. ↑,
- 69', Nabet L. ↓, Morris E. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 0, Morris E. ⚽, Groom S. (A),
- 76', Groom S. ↓, Cook A. ↑,
- 81', Weinert M. ↓, Johnson H. ↑,
- 81', Griffith S. ↓, White H. ↑,
- 82', Elizabeth Brown A. ↓, Sharts H. ↑,
- 88', Merrick A. ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Carolina Ascent
36.4% | Draw
29% | Lexington
34.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carolina Ascent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carolina Ascent's performance.Lexington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lexington might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carolina Ascent than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carolina Ascent that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lexington could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Carolina Ascent - Lexington Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↓
(3.05) |
3.16 ↓
(3.25) |
2.65 ↑
(2.16) |
9.2%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Carolina is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Lexington is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lexington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carolina won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Carolina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Carolina Ascent won against Lexington?
Carolina Ascent has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against Carolina Ascent?
Lexington has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carolina Ascent - Lexington were as follows:
07.02.2026
Carolina Ascent
-
Lexington
1:2
10.10.2025
Lexington
-
Carolina Ascent
1:1
23.03.2025
Lexington
-
Carolina Ascent
0:4
15.02.2025
Carolina Ascent
-
Lexington
2:1
06.10.2024
Lexington
-
Carolina Ascent
1:1
Latest results of Carolina Ascent
Latest results of Lexington
USL Super League Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Jax W | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 48:24 | 24 | 47 |
| 2 | Lexington W | 23 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 40:22 | 18 | 40 |
| 3 | Carolina Ascent W | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 30:25 | 5 | 39 |
| 4 | Dallas Trinity W | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 28:37 | -9 | 32 |
| 5 | DC Power W | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 29:29 | 0 | 29 |
| 6 | Spokane Zephyr W | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 24:26 | -2 | 26 |
| 7 | Brooklyn W | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 25 |
| 8 | Fort Lauderdale W | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28:46 | -18 | 23 |
| 9 | Tampa Bay Sun W | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 24:36 | -12 | 21 |
Promotion ~ USL Super League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
