Carolina Ascent vs Lexington – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
07/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • USL Super League Women
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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colombiaColombiaDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
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uruguayUruguayDisney+
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.920.99
Ball possession
40%60%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
23
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
45
Passes
75% (262/349)81% (425/522)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
0.920.99
xG on target (xGOT)
0.390.86
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
74
Blocked shots
45
Shots inside the box
99
Shots outside the box
43
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2226
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
00
Free kicks
1212
Passes
75% (262/349)81% (425/522)
Long passes
39% (19/49)56% (36/64)
Passes in final third
56% (58/103)58% (53/91)
Crosses
42% (5/12)38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.521.03
Throw ins
2535
Fouls
1212
Tackles
65% (13/20)83% (20/24)
Duels won
5863
Clearances
3925
Interceptions
189
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
11
xGOT faced
0.860.39
Goals prevented
-1.14-0.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', Weinert M. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Parker R. , Corbin M. (A),
  • 43', 1 - 1, Bourgeois A. , Pantuso A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Moyer S. , Fung T. ,
  • 52', 1 - 2, Weinert M. , Barry C. (A),
  • 58', Groom S. , Harding A. ,
  • 61', Corbin M. , Baisden R. ,
  • 61', Martinez B. , Merrick A. ,
  • 70', Barry C. , White H. ,
  • 70', Ekic E. , Griffith S. ,
  • 73', Aguilera J. 🟨,
  • 74', Parker R. , Cook A. ,
  • 74', Porter T. , Morris E. ,
  • 77', Weinert M. , Johnson H. ,
  • 81', Baisden R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Carolina Ascent
40%
Draw
28%
Lexington
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 27.7% 32.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carolina Ascent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Lexington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Carolina Ascent - Lexington Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.3)
    3.28
    (3.3)
    2.87
    (2.83)
    8.8%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Super League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Super League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals))
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Carolina won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
    • Including home match between the teams, Carolina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carolina Ascent - Lexington were as follows:
    10.10.2025 Lexington - Carolina Ascent 1:1
    23.03.2025 Lexington - Carolina Ascent 0:4
    15.02.2025 Carolina Ascent - Lexington 2:1
    06.10.2024 Lexington - Carolina Ascent 1:1
    Latest results of Carolina Ascent
    Latest results of Lexington
    USL Super League Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Jax W18104435:221334
    2Lexington W1779133:181530
    3Dallas Trinity W1673620:24-424
    4Carolina Ascent W1865722:23-123
    5Spokane Zephyr W1957719:20-122
    6Brooklyn W1747622:24-219
    7Fort Lauderdale W1847723:36-1319
    8DC Power W1647521:20119
    9Tampa Bay Sun W1729619:27-815

          Promotion ~ USL Super League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)