Result
1:2
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 44
- Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 29% | 71% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 45% (96/211) | 81% (429/529) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 45% (96/211) | 81% (429/529) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (17/64) | 34% (24/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 38% (32/85) | 71% (146/206) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 17% (4/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.86 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 75 | 56 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 36 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.71 | 0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Stokes J. ⚽, Loft R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Markanday D. ↓, Agyei D. ↑,
- 46', Williams R. ↓, Jaiyesimi D. ↑,
- 64', Clare S. ↓, Abdulai A. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Kelman C. ⚽,
- 70', Brophy J. 🟨,
- 70', Abdulai A. 🟨,
- 75', Andrew D. ↓, Bennett L. ↑,
- 75', Kaikai S. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 2, Donley J. ⚽, Currie J. (A),
- 81', Gibbons J. ↓, Kachunga E. ↑,
- 81', Digby P. ↓, Ballard D. ↑,
- 83', Loft R. 🟨,
- 85', Kelman C. ↓, Cooper B. ↑,
- 90', Currie J. ↓, O'Neill O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cambridge United
24.4% | Draw
26.5% | Leyton Orient
49% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cambridge United's form might have worsened.Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leyton Orient's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leyton Orient, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cambridge United - Leyton Orient Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.84 ↑
(3.17) |
3.57 ↑
(3.34) |
1.94 ↓
(2.26) |
5.7%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cambridge United - Leyton Orient?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Cambridge (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Leyton Orient (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
Users Predictions:
Leyton Orient will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 2.
- Recent matches Cambridge is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Leyton Orient is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Leyton Orient could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Leyton Orient will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Cambridge: Gardner G.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Jobe M.
(Knee Injury)
Lavery S.
(Inactive)
Malone S.
(Inactive)
Marosi M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Smith K.
(Inactive)
Thomas G.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Leyton Orient: Archibald T.
(Knee Injury)
Graham J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Cambridge: Bishop N.
(Inactive)
Ibsen Rossi Z.
(Inactive)
N'Lundulu D.
(Inactive)
Okedina J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Agyei D.
(Injury)
O'Neill O.
(Inactive)
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17:17 (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cambridge won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Cambridge United won against Leyton Orient?
Cambridge United has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leyton Orient won against Cambridge United?
Leyton Orient has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cambridge United - Leyton Orient were as follows:
29.12.2024
Leyton Orient
-
Cambridge United
2:0
01.01.2024
Cambridge United
-
Leyton Orient
0:2
26.08.2023
Leyton Orient
-
Cambridge United
2:0
Latest results of Cambridge United
Latest results of Leyton Orient
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 68:36 | 32 | 72 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 32 | 71 |
| 3 | Bolton | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 50:34 | 16 | 61 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 47:43 | 4 | 56 |
| 6 | Wycombe | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 50:36 | 14 | 53 |
| 7 | Huddersfield | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 55:46 | 9 | 52 |
| 8 | Reading | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 50:44 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 51 |
| 10 | Luton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:41 | 2 | 47 |
| 11 | Peterborough | 35 | 14 | 4 | 17 | 50:49 | 1 | 46 |
| 12 | Plymouth | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 53:54 | -1 | 44 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 43 |
| 15 | Exeter | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 17 | Burton | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 39:50 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Wigan | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 37 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | -14 | 37 |
| 21 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 36 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 35 |
| 23 | Northampton | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 31:47 | -16 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26:44 | -18 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
