Result
0:2
18/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 44
- Referee: Bell J. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.86 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (276/389) | 54% (140/259) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 1.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (276/389) | 54% (140/259) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (22/70) | 29% (25/87) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (50/104) | 51% (50/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.25 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.86 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Gray H. ⚽, Gore D. (A),
- 38', Lee C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Adegboyega E. ↓, Rafferty J. ↑,
- 46', Abdulai A. ↓, Clare S. ↑,
- 46', Perkins S. ↓, Koroma J. ↑,
- 58', Mitchell D. ↓, Levitt D. ↑,
- 59', Wellens C. ↓, Connolly A. ↑,
- 59', Forrester W. ↓, Casey K. ↑,
- 61', Hall D. ↓, Duncan H. ↑,
- 68', Rafferty J. 🟨,
- 73', 0 - 2, Nombe S. ⚽, Clarke J. (A),
- 76', Lee C. ↓, Yearwood D. ↑,
- 78', Martha A. 🟨,
- 84', Martha A. ↓, Holmes J. ↑,
- 85', Morris J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Leyton Orient 62% | Draw 22.7% | Rotherham United 15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leyton Orient's performance.Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rotherham United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-22.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leyton Orient that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+15.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rotherham United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Leyton Orient - Rotherham United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.52 ↓ (1.93) |
4.09 ↑ (3.4) |
6.12 ↑ (3.6) |
6.8% (9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Leyton Orient - Rotherham United?
Users Predictions:
Leyton Orient will win
(16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leyton Orient will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 1.
- Leyton Orient is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Rotherham is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Leyton Orient is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Leyton Orient: Connolly A.
(Surgery)
Edmonds-Green R.
(Knee Injury)
Graham J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Rotherham: Kayode J.
(Knee Injury)
Powell J.
(Injury)
Yearwood D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Archibald T.
(Inactive)
Clare S.
(Injury)
Levitt D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Rotherham: Dawson C.
(Inactive)
Douglas H.
(Inactive)
Kaleta M.
(Injury)
Kelly L.
(Inactive)
McWilliams S.
(Inactive)
Spence K.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leyton Orient won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Leyton Orient won against Rotherham United?
Leyton Orient has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rotherham United won against Leyton Orient?
Rotherham United has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leyton Orient - Rotherham United were as follows:
18.10.2025
Rotherham United
-
Leyton Orient
1:0
04.03.2025
Rotherham United
-
Leyton Orient
1:0
22.10.2024
Leyton Orient
-
Rotherham United
1:0
Latest results of Leyton Orient
Latest results of Rotherham United
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 45 | 30 | 10 | 5 | 87:41 | 46 | 100 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 45 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 91 |
| 3 | Bolton ✔ | 45 | 19 | 18 | 8 | 68:49 | 19 | 75 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 68:57 | 11 | 74 |
| 5 | Bradford City | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 56:50 | 6 | 74 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 72 |
| 7 | Luton | 45 | 20 | 11 | 14 | 65:54 | 11 | 71 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 72:61 | 11 | 70 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 45 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 70:64 | 6 | 64 |
| 10 | Reading | 45 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 64:59 | 5 | 63 |
| 11 | Mansfield | 45 | 15 | 17 | 13 | 57:46 | 11 | 62 |
| 12 | Wycombe | 45 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 66:56 | 10 | 60 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 45 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 67:70 | -3 | 59 |
| 14 | Blackpool | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
| 15 | Doncaster | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 47:68 | -21 | 57 |
| 16 | Wigan | 45 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 56 |
| 17 | Peterborough | 45 | 15 | 8 | 22 | 63:65 | -2 | 53 |
| 18 | Burton | 45 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 48:58 | -10 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 15 | 8 | 22 | 51:68 | -17 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 45 | 14 | 9 | 22 | 57:69 | -12 | 51 |
| 21 | Exeter | 45 | 12 | 13 | 20 | 51:59 | -8 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 45 | 10 | 12 | 23 | 36:59 | -23 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 45 | 10 | 11 | 24 | 39:68 | -29 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 45 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 37:71 | -34 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two