Port Vale vs Rotherham United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Vale Park (Stoke on Trent).

League One - Round 42
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.74	0.67
Ball possession
46%	54%
Total shots
7	10
Shots on target
2	5
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
4	6
Passes
55% (165/299)	66% (224/340)
Yellow cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
0.74	0.67
xG on target (xGOT)
0.60	0.42
Total shots
7	10
Shots on target
2	5
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked shots
2	2
Shots inside the box
3	9
Shots outside the box
4	1
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
16	24
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
4	1
Free kicks
12	15
Passes
55% (165/299)	66% (224/340)
Long passes
23% (20/86)	31% (22/72)
Passes in final third
44% (41/94)	55% (67/121)
Crosses
27% (3/11)	29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.50	0.74
Throw ins
23	35
Fouls
15	12
Tackles
45% (9/20)	46% (6/13)
Duels won
66	49
Clearances
34	27
Interceptions
10	4
Errors leading to shot
1	2
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
5	1
xGOT faced
0.42	0.60
Goals prevented
0.42	-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Croasdale R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Croasdale R. 🟨,
61', Sherif M. ↓, Waine B. ↑,
61', Croasdale R. ↓, Stockley J. ↑,
61', Archer E. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
63', Martha A. ↓, Biancheri G. ↑,
72', Rafferty J. ↓, Hall D. ↑,
77', Watmore D. ↓, Holmes J. ↑,
87', Gordon L. ↓, Hall C. ↑,
88', Hall G. ↓, Campbell E. ↑,

Chances of winning

Port Vale
36.7%

Draw
28.9%

Rotherham United
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

29.1%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

28.1%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Port Vale - Rotherham United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.38)	3.24 ↑ (3.15)	2.73 ↓ (2.84)	6.9% (9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Port Vale - Rotherham United?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Rotherham will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 28.1% – 78.5%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 1.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Rotherham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Port Vale has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Port Vale: Headley J. (Injury)
There will not play in Rotherham: Douglas H. (Injury) Gore D. (Red Card) Hall D. (Hamstring Injury) Hugill J. (Inactive) Kaleta M. (Injury) Kayode J. (Knee Injury) Powell J. (Injury) Spence K. (Knee Injury) Yearwood D. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Port Vale: Byers G. (Injury) Heneghan B. (Injury)
There are questionable in Rotherham: Adegboyega E. (Inactive) Dawson C. (Inactive) McWilliams S. (Inactive)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 3:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Rotherham United?

Port Vale has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Rotherham United won against Port Vale?

Rotherham United has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Rotherham United were as follows:

02.08.2025 Rotherham United - Port Vale 2:1

Latest results of Port Vale

04.04.2026 Chelsea - Port Vale 7:0 ✺

28.03.2026 Wycombe Wanderers - Port Vale 4:0 ✺

24.03.2026 Doncaster Rovers - Port Vale 1:0 ✺

21.03.2026 Port Vale - Bolton Wanderers 1:0 ✺

17.03.2026 Blackpool - Port Vale 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Rotherham United

03.04.2026 Rotherham United - Stevenage Borough 0:0 ✺

21.03.2026 Lincoln City - Rotherham United 3:0 ✺

17.03.2026 Peterborough United - Rotherham United 5:0 ✺

14.03.2026 Rotherham United - Bolton Wanderers 2:2 ✺

07.03.2026 Huddersfield Town - Rotherham United 1:0 ✺

English League One Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln ✔	46	31	10	5	89:41	48	103
2	Cardiff ✔	46	27	10	9	90:50	40	91
3	Stockport County	46	22	11	13	71:58	13	77
4	Bradford City	46	22	11	13	58:51	7	77
5	Bolton ✔	46	19	18	9	70:52	18	75
6	Stevenage	46	21	12	13	49:46	3	75
7	Luton	46	21	11	14	68:56	12	74
8	Plymouth	46	22	7	17	75:63	12	73
9	Huddersfield	46	18	13	15	74:64	10	67
10	Mansfield	46	16	17	13	62:50	12	65
11	Wycombe	46	17	12	17	69:58	11	63
12	Reading	46	16	15	15	64:60	4	63
13	Blackpool	46	17	9	20	54:65	-11	60
14	Doncaster	46	17	9	20	50:69	-19	60
15	Barnsley	46	15	14	17	68:73	-5	59
16	Wigan	46	14	14	18	49:58	-9	56
17	Burton	46	13	15	18	50:60	-10	54
18	Peterborough	46	15	8	23	64:68	-4	53
19	AFC Wimbledon	46	15	8	23	51:72	-21	53
20	Leyton Orient	46	14	10	22	59:71	-12	52
21	Exeter	46	12	13	21	52:61	-9	49
22	Port Vale ✔	46	10	12	24	36:61	-25	42
23	Rotherham ✔	46	10	11	25	41:71	-30	41
24	Northampton ✔	46	9	8	29	39:74	-35	35

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two

Clinched Spots for Teams

Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two