Result
1:1
14/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 2.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (271/348) | 84% (465/555) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 2.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 31 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (271/348) | 84% (465/555) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (29/55) | 59% (40/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (61/98) | 63% (111/175) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 39% (11/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.39 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 61 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 56 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | -0.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Garay C. ⚽,
- 21', Ramirez I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Sanabria L. ↓, Cardozo O. ↑,
- 52', Schupp M. ↓, Piris I. ↑,
- 52', Gonzalez A. ↓, Cardozo L. ↑,
- 54', Gimenez N. 🟨,
- 65', Jacquet M. ↓, Campuzano A. ↑,
- 65', Franco I. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 65', Baez W. ↓, Ferreira B. ↑,
- 65', Garay C. ↓, Silva A. ↑,
- 71', Mendoza L. 🟨,
- 75', Mendoza L. ↓, Samudio M. ↑,
- 76', Ferreira B. 🟨,
- 88', 1 - 1, Fernandez M. ⚽, Campuzano A. (A),
- 90', Aguilar G. ↓, Alcaraz A. ↑,
- 90+4', Melgarejo L. ↓, Fretes A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Recoleta
16.1% | Draw
24.6% | Libertad Asuncion
59.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Recoleta's form might have worsened.Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Libertad Asuncion's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Recoleta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-10.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Libertad Asuncion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportivo Recoleta - Libertad Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.69 ↑
(3.7) |
3.74 ↑
(3.45) |
1.6 ↓
(1.86) |
6.9%
(9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Deportivo Recoleta - Libertad Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Recoleta will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Libertad will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Recoleta (votes: 1 - 50%). Libertad (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- Recent matches Recoleta is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Libertad is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Libertad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Libertad have a series of home games.
- In this match Libertad is a favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Recoleta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:5
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Recoleta won against Libertad Asuncion?
Deportivo Recoleta has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Deportivo Recoleta?
Libertad Asuncion has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Recoleta - Libertad Asuncion were as follows:
02.02.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Deportivo Recoleta
5:2
Latest results of Deportivo Recoleta
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13:6 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Sportivo Trinidense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Guarani | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Sp. Luqueno | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | 2 de Mayo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 | Libertad Asuncion | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Recoleta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 10 | Ameliano | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
| 11 | General Caballero JLM | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
