Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Ricardo Gregor (Asunción).

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 18
Referee: Lopez D. (Par)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.81	0.95
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
6	7
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
5	5
Passes
79% (340/428)	72% (231/320)
Yellow Cards
2	5
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81	0.95
xG on target (xGOT)
0.59	1.36
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
6	7
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
6	7
Shots outside the Box
7	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	2
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
5	5
Touches in opposition box
19	26
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
19	9
Passes
79% (340/428)	72% (231/320)
Long passes
55% (36/65)	49% (26/53)
Passes in final third
65% (64/99)	65% (70/108)
Crosses
25% (5/20)	33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.07	0.83
Throw-ins
21	31
Fouls
9	19
Tackles
76% (19/25)	83% (19/23)
Duels won
69	55
Clearances
38	35
Interceptions
10	10
Errors leading to shot
2	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	5
xGOT faced
1.36	0.59
Goals prevented
-0.64	-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Villalba R. ⚽, Cardozo Lucena A. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Espinoza M. (Own goal),
35', Pereira M. 🟨,
43', Silva A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Fretes A. ↓, Acuna O. ↑,
51', 1 - 2, Acuna O. ⚽, Villalba R. (A),
56', Fernandez H. 🟨,
60', Espinola J. ↓, Schupp M. ↑,
69', Viera D. 🟨,
72', Cardozo Lucena A. 🟨,
72', Villalba R. ↓, Franco I. ↑,
72', Baez W. ↓, Sandoval H. ↑,
72', Silva A. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
81', Melgarejo L. ↓, Cardozo O. ↑,
82', Cardozo Lucena A. ↓, Fernandez T. ↑,
82', Fernandez H. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
86', Piris I. ↓, Medina B. ↑,
86', Gonzalez L. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
90', Silva M. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 2, Vargas S. ⚽, Lopez M. (A),
90+3', Gimenez N. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Deportivo Recoleta
23.3%

Draw
26.1%

Libertad Asuncion
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

25.4%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

22.4%

46.2%

Deportivo Recoleta - Libertad Asuncion Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↓ (4.24)	3.54 ↓ (3.7)	1.85 ↑ (1.79)	7.3% (6.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 and 10).
Recoleta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Libertad is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Libertad is seen as the favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).
Including home match between the teams, Recoleta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Recoleta won against Libertad Asuncion?

Deportivo Recoleta has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Deportivo Recoleta?

Libertad Asuncion has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Recoleta - Libertad Asuncion were as follows:

10.08.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta 1:1

14.04.2025 Deportivo Recoleta - Libertad Asuncion 1:1

02.02.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta 5:2

Latest results of Deportivo Recoleta

18.10.2025 Guaraní Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta 2:1 ✺

10.10.2025 Deportivo Recoleta - Olimpia Asuncion 1:0 ✺

03.10.2025 Cerro Porteño - Deportivo Recoleta 2:0 ✺

29.09.2025 Sportivo Ameliano - Deportivo Recoleta 1:4 ✺

20.09.2025 Deportivo Recoleta - Atlético Tembetary 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Libertad Asuncion

18.10.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano 1:2 ✺

11.10.2025 Atlético Tembetary - Libertad Asuncion 2:1 ✺

05.10.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense 0:0 ✺

01.10.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion 2:3 ✺

27.09.2025 Nacional Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion 3:1 ✺

Paraguayan Primera Division Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cerro Porteno	21	12	7	2	31:18	13	43
2	Guarani	21	13	3	5	42:19	23	42
3	Nacional Asuncion	22	9	8	5	26:17	9	35
4	Sportivo Trinidense	22	8	9	5	25:21	4	33
5	2 de Mayo	22	9	6	7	28:27	1	33
6	Recoleta	22	9	5	8	35:30	5	32
7	Libertad Asuncion	22	6	8	8	26:24	2	26
8	Olimpia Asuncion	22	6	8	8	33:38	-5	26
9	Sp. Luqueno	21	7	4	10	26:34	-8	25
10	General Caballero JLM	22	6	6	10	22:33	-11	24
11	Ameliano	22	5	4	13	22:40	-18	19
12	Atl. Tembetary	21	3	6	12	20:35	-15	15

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