Result
1:0
30/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.74 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (300/379) | 83% (297/358) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (300/379) | 83% (297/358) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (17/43) | 45% (21/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (72/120) | 63% (40/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (7/27) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.71 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.97 | -0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Baez W. 🟨,
- 45+6', Ramirez I. 🟨,
- 45+8', Dominguez R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Echeguren Zarza F. A. ↓, Figueredo C. ↑,
- 46', Ramirez I. ↓, Diaz E. ↑,
- 46', Caballero H. ↓, Campuzano A. ↑,
- 58', Wlk A. ↓, Lopez H. ↑,
- 58', Dominguez R. ↓, Espinola J. ↑,
- 61', Martinez H. ↓, Molinas A. ↑,
- 67', Ferreira N. 🟨,
- 71', Sanabria L. ↓, Carrizo F. ↑,
- 77', Baez W. ↓, Falcon J. ↑,
- 77', Franco A. ↓, Orue D. ↑,
- 84', Espinoza Acosta M. D. ↓, Aguilar G. ↑,
- 84', Gonzalez A. ↓, Schupp M. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 0, Melgarejo L. ⚽, Aguilar G. (A),
- 90+4', Diaz E. ↓, Delvalle S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Libertad Asuncion
54.4% | Draw
28.2% | Deportivo Recoleta
17.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Libertad Asuncion's form might have worsened.Deportivo Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Libertad Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Libertad Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.53) |
3.37 ↓
(4.1) |
5.26 ↓
(5.78) |
6.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta?
Users Predictions:
Libertad Asuncion will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 and 7).
- Libertad has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Recoleta's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Libertad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Libertad is the team to beat.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Deportivo Recoleta?
Libertad Asuncion has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Recoleta won against Libertad Asuncion?
Deportivo Recoleta has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta were as follows:
02.02.2026
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Libertad Asuncion
2:1
26.10.2025
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Libertad Asuncion
2:2
10.08.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Deportivo Recoleta
1:1
14.04.2025
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Libertad Asuncion
1:1
02.02.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Deportivo Recoleta
5:2
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Latest results of Deportivo Recoleta
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 24:9 | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Ameliano | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Guarani | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 21 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 15 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11:24 | -13 | 14 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:24 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 10:33 | -23 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
