Libertad Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Paraguayan Primera Division Libertad Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta
Result
1:1
10/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 7
  • Referee: Colman A. (Par)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.130.55
Ball Possession
71%29%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
50
Passes
86% (588/687)67% (190/283)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.130.55
xG on target (xGOT)
1.100.74
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
50
Touches in opposition box
2713
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
59
Passes
86% (588/687)67% (190/283)
Long passes
61% (36/59)31% (18/59)
Passes in final third
69% (135/196)56% (32/57)
Crosses
28% (8/29)40% (4/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.370.55
Throw-ins
3221
Fouls
107
Tackles
55% (12/22)88% (7/8)
Duels won
6042
Clearances
2238
Interceptions
614
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.741.10
Goals prevented
-0.260.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Rojas R. , Cardozo Lucena A. ,
  • 46', Bogarin J. , Melgarejo L. ,
  • 46', Espinoza M. , Troche A. ,
  • 59', 1 - 0, Cardozo Lucena A. ,
  • 68', Morinigo Acosta R. M. , Silva M. ,
  • 68', Guggiari G. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • 68', Sandoval H. , Vargas S. ,
  • 73', 1 - 1, Romero L. , Vargas S. (A),
  • 79', Baez W. , Gonzalez L. ,
  • 80', Franco I. , Santa C. R. ,
  • 82', Campuzano A. 🟨,
  • 90', Ferreira B. , Hernan Perez ,
  • 90+1', Silva A. , Torres I. ,

Chances of winning


Libertad Asuncion
62.9%
Draw
22.7%
Deportivo Recoleta
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.7% 20.5% 14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2% 19.7% 14.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Deportivo Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Libertad Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.43)
    4.07
    (4.5)
    6.45
    (6.25)
    7.9%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Libertad (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 10).
    • Libertad is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Recoleta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Libertad is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Libertad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta were as follows:
    14.04.2025 Deportivo Recoleta - Libertad Asuncion 1:1
    02.02.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta 5:2
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guarani1071226:91722
    2Cerro Porteno1063119:13621
    3Sportivo Trinidense1052315:13217
    4Sp. Luqueno1052313:9417
    5Nacional Asuncion1044211:8316
    6Libertad Asuncion1034311:9213
    7Olimpia Asuncion1033413:16-312
    8Recoleta1033414:15-112
    9General Caballero JLM103257:15-811
    102 de Mayo1024410:15-510
    11Ameliano1022610:18-88
    12Atl. Tembetary1012710:19-95

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