Result
2:3
21/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.92 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (278/355) | 78% (274/350) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 2.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (278/355) | 78% (274/350) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (31/56) | 48% (28/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (91/133) | 60% (52/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.81 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.41 | 0.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.59 | -1.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Morel J. ⚽, Klimowicz M. (A),
- 12', Gimenez G. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 1, Carrizo F. ⚽,
- 45+2', Morel J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Klimowicz M. ↓, Bobadilla C. ↑,
- 58', Perez M. ↓, Dominguez F. ↑,
- 58', Gimenez G. ↓, Peralta F. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 1, Melgarejo L. ⚽,
- 71', Morel J. ↓, Vegetti P. ↑,
- 71', Aliseda I. ↓, Paez E. ↑,
- 78', Espinoza Acosta M. D. ↓, Delvalle S. ↑,
- 78', Carrizo F. ↓, Franco I. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 2, Dominguez F. ⚽,
- 83', Franco I. 🟨,
- 83', Peralta F. 🟨,
- 85', Villalba E. ↓, Aguilar G. ↑,
- 85', Benitez A. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
- 88', Delvalle S. 🟨,
- 90', Molinas A. ↓, Caballero H. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 3, Dominguez C. ⚽, Bobadilla C. (A),
Chances of winning
Libertad Asuncion
31.6% | Draw
31% | Cerro Porteño
37.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Libertad Asuncion - Cerro Porteño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.94 ↓
(2.98) |
2.99 ↓
(3.26) |
2.48 ↑
(2.34) |
7.8%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 1.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Cerro Porteño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:24. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Cerro Porteño?
Libertad Asuncion has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Libertad Asuncion?
Cerro Porteño has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
24.01.2026
Cerro Porteño
-
Libertad Asuncion
1:1
23.11.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Libertad Asuncion
1:0
31.08.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
1:1
05.04.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
1:0
26.01.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Libertad Asuncion
2:2
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 28:12 | 16 | 39 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 26:14 | 12 | 34 |
| 3 | Ameliano | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 22:15 | 7 | 29 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 23:18 | 5 | 26 |
| 6 | Guarani | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 25 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 25:22 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 22 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 14:21 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 18 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14:33 | -19 | 15 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12:36 | -24 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
