Libertad Asuncion vs Tacuary – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Paraguayan Primera Division Libertad Asuncion - Tacuary
Result
1:0
22/09/2024 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PARAGUAY: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports
worldWorldDirecTV Sports

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Goal Attempts
1313
Shots on Goal
53
Shots off Goal
810
Free Kicks
189
Corner Kicks
56
Offsides
17
Throw-ins
1019
Goalkeeper Saves
34
Fouls
79
Yellow Cards
02
Clearances Completed
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+2', Paredes M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Fretes A. , Villalba H. ,
  • 64', Cardozo Lucena A. , Silva A. ,
  • 72', Merlini B. , Fernandez M. ,
  • 72', Santa C. R. , Aguilar G. ,
  • 73', Samudio M. , Pedrozo R. ,
  • 73', Camacho N. , Colman O. ,
  • 80', Victor Ferraz , Romero L. ,
  • 82', Romero L. 🟨,
  • 83', Franco I. , Lezcano R. ,
  • 86', Morinigo N. , Verdun J. ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 0, Villalba H. , Silva A. (A),

Chances of winning


Libertad Asuncion
53%
Draw
26.6%
Tacuary
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.9% 21.9% 13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5% 20.7% 12.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Libertad Asuncion's form might have worsened.
  • Tacuary has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tacuary's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+15.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Libertad Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacuary than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tacuary, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Libertad Asuncion - Tacuary Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.44)
    3.48
    (4.25)
    4.53
    (7.1)
    8.1%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion - Tacuary?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Tacuary will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Libertad: 35.2%92%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 6 and 10).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Libertad won 2.
    • Recent matches Libertad is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Tacuary is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Tacuary could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Libertad is a favorite.
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Libertad won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19-11.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Libertad won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Tacuary were as follows:
    20.07.2024 Tacuary - Libertad Asuncion 2:4
    18.05.2024 Tacuary - Libertad Asuncion 0:0
    26.02.2024 Libertad Asuncion - Tacuary 1:1
    29.11.2023 Libertad Asuncion - Tacuary 1:2
    16.09.2023 Tacuary - Libertad Asuncion 0:4
    Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
    Latest results of Tacuary
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cerro Porteno43107:2510
    2Nacional Asuncion43106:1510
    3Sp. Luqueno42115:327
    4Guarani42114:227
    5Sportivo Trinidense42118:717
    62 de Mayo42115:507
    7Recoleta42029:10-16
    8Olimpia Asuncion41218:715
    9Libertad Asuncion41122:204
    10Ameliano41123:5-24
    11Atl. Tembetary40043:8-50
    12General Caballero JLM40041:9-80

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