Result
0:0
18/03/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Chile | Zapping Sports |
 Ecuador | Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+ |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.22 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (67/85) | 79% (66/84) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (67/85) | 79% (66/84) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 47% (7/15) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (24/33) | 56% (10/18) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 0% (0/1) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 50% (2/4) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Guisamano J. ↓, Batalla H. ↑,
- 57', Bravo J. ↓, Cortez Casierra G. J. ↑,
- 64', Celiz M. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
- 65', Villalba H. ↓, Benedetto D. ↑,
- 65', Carabali B. ↓, Castillo B. ↑,
- 66', Sosa L. 🟨,
- 72', Batalla H. 🟨,
- 72', Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. 🟨,
- 80', Perlaza J. ↓, Mina J. ↑,
- 82', Chere A. ↓, Bueno S. ↑,
- 89', Zambrano I. 🟨,
- 90+1', Cortez Casierra G. J. 🟨,
- 90+3', Gruezo C. 🟨,
- 90+4', Cano L. ↓, Parrales M. ↑,
- 90+9', Rangel A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Libertad Loja
32.4% | Draw
29.6% | Barcelona Guayaquil
38% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Loja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Libertad Loja that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barcelona Guayaquil could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Libertad Loja - Barcelona Guayaquil Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.84 ↓
(3.28) |
3.11 ↓
(3.13) |
2.44 ↑
(2.13) |
8.4%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Libertad Loja - Barcelona Guayaquil?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Barcelona will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Barcelona (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Libertad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.9:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 1:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Barcelona Guayaquil?
Libertad Loja has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona Guayaquil won against Libertad Loja?
Barcelona Guayaquil has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Loja - Barcelona Guayaquil were as follows:
29.11.2025
Libertad Loja
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
1:1
25.10.2025
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Libertad Loja
1:0
01.03.2025
Libertad Loja
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
1:4
29.09.2024
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Libertad Loja
0:0
14.04.2024
Libertad Loja
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
0:3
Latest results of Libertad Loja
Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 19 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Aucas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 6 | Tecnico U | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Delfin | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4:4 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Macara | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | Mushuc Runa | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Libertad | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | LDU Quito | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Guayaquil City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 | Orense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Leones del Norte | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Emelec | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Manta | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2:9 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
