Barcelona Guayaquil vs Libertad Loja – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro Barcelona Guayaquil - Libertad Loja
28/06/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
usaUsaFanatiz, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.791.05
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
89
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
103
Passes
85% (356/420)75% (188/250)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.791.05
xG on target (xGOT)
1.563.08
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
89
Shots off target
40
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
103
Touches in opposition box
1610
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1220
Passes
85% (356/420)75% (188/250)
Long passes
68% (36/53)27% (12/45)
Passes in final third
73% (70/96)58% (38/66)
Crosses
21% (5/24)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.600.56
Throw-ins
1315
Fouls
2012
Tackles
68% (13/19)76% (13/17)
Duels won
5056
Clearances
1825
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
65
xGOT faced
3.081.56
Goals prevented
0.08-1.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Corozo J. , Gomez J. (A),
  • 18', Ayovi W. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 2 - 0, Corozo J. , Oyola B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 49', 2 - 1, Caicedo E. , Quinonez Y. (A),
  • 55', 2 - 2, Zambrano I. ,
  • 62', Oyola B. , Solano C. ,
  • 62', Gomez J. , Valiente J. ,
  • 62', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. , Souza de Almeida L. ,
  • 68', Arboleda C. , Avila D. ,
  • 68', Ayovi W. , Caicedo N. ,
  • 68', Caicedo E. , Quinonez A. ,
  • 78', 3 - 2, Arreaga X. , Carabali B. (A),
  • 88', Arroyo D. 🟨,
  • 90', Corozo J. , Cortez Casierra G. J. ,
  • 90+1', 3 - 3, Avila D. ,
  • 90+5', Quinonez Y. , Humanante J. ,

Chances of winning


Barcelona Guayaquil
61.1%
Draw
22%
Libertad Loja
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.4% 20.2% 17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6% 19.5% 16.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Barcelona Guayaquil - Libertad Loja Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.49)
    4.11
    (4.58)
    5.37
    (5.36)
    8%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
    • Barcelona is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Libertad's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Libertad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Barcelona has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Barcelona is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona Guayaquil - Libertad Loja were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Libertad Loja - Barcelona Guayaquil 1:4
    29.09.2024 Barcelona Guayaquil - Libertad Loja 0:0
    14.04.2024 Libertad Loja - Barcelona Guayaquil 0:3
    21.10.2023 Barcelona Guayaquil - Libertad Loja 1:0
    13.05.2023 Libertad Loja - Barcelona Guayaquil 2:2
    Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil
    Latest results of Libertad Loja
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    Placement Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    7Dep. Cuenca311371136:32446
    8Emelec311291033:35-245
    9Macara3110111035:32341
    10Aucas311181240:44-441
    11EL Nacional31981434:48-1435
    12Delfin316141128:44-1632

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )