Libertad Loja vs Barcelona Guayaquil – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/11/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne (Loja).

Liga Pro - Championship Group - Round 7
Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)
Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.29	1.09
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
20	8
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
9	3
Passes
83% (280/339)	77% (248/322)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29	1.09
xG on target (xGOT)
1.14	0.50
Total shots
20	8
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
8	3
Blocked Shots
6	2
Shots inside the Box
15	6
Shots outside the Box
5	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
9	3
Touches in opposition box
32	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
6	15
Passes
83% (280/339)	77% (248/322)
Long passes
57% (30/53)	47% (32/68)
Passes in final third
76% (115/151)	64% (51/80)
Crosses
31% (15/48)	27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
2.19	0.82
Throw-ins
16	11
Fouls
15	6
Tackles
60% (6/10)	100% (8/8)
Duels won
40	42
Clearances
18	46
Interceptions
9	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	5
xGOT faced
0.50	1.14
Goals prevented
-0.50	0.14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Arreaga X. ⚽, Carabali B. (A),
40', Zambrano I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Quinonez A. ↓, Caicedo N. ↑,
46', Bravo J. ↓, Humanante J. ↑,
65', Garcia Y. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
65', De Arruabarrena I. 🟨,
69', Caicedo E. 🟨,
72', Parrales M. ↓, Caicedo F. ↑,
72', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ↓, Arroyo D. ↑,
75', Garcia A. 🟨,
77', Caicedo E. ↓, Avila D. ↑,
77', Biojo R. ↓, Bolanos D. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Avila D. ⚽,
90+2', Ayovi W. ↓, Bueno Quinonez S. ↑,
90+4', Corozo J. ↓, Chala A. ↑,

Chances of winning

Libertad Loja
28.5%

Draw
27.3%

Barcelona Guayaquil
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

27.2%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

26.2%

44.4%

Libertad Loja - Barcelona Guayaquil Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (3.1)	3.42 ↓ (3.44)	2.12 ↓ (2.19)	6.8% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Libertad Loja - Barcelona Guayaquil?

Users Predictions: Barcelona Guayaquil will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 0.
Libertad is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Barcelona's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Barcelona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Barcelona might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.9:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 1:3).

How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Barcelona Guayaquil?

Libertad Loja has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona Guayaquil won against Libertad Loja?

Barcelona Guayaquil has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Loja - Barcelona Guayaquil were as follows:

25.10.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - Libertad Loja 1:0

01.03.2025 Libertad Loja - Barcelona Guayaquil 1:4

29.09.2024 Barcelona Guayaquil - Libertad Loja 0:0

14.04.2024 Libertad Loja - Barcelona Guayaquil 0:3

21.10.2023 Barcelona Guayaquil - Libertad Loja 1:0

Latest results of Libertad Loja

21.11.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Libertad Loja 1:1 ✺

08.11.2025 LDU Quito - Libertad Loja 3:1 ✺

03.11.2025 Libertad Loja - Independiente del Valle 1:3 ✺

25.10.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - Libertad Loja 1:0 ✺

19.10.2025 Libertad Loja - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil

23.11.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - LDU Quito 2:2 ✺

09.11.2025 Orense - Barcelona Guayaquil 1:2 ✺

02.11.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Barcelona Guayaquil 1:1 ✺

25.10.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - Libertad Loja 1:0 ✺

17.10.2025 LDU Quito - Barcelona Guayaquil 3:0 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

Placement Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Macara	38	16	11	11	51:34	17	59
8	Aucas	38	15	10	13	58:52	6	55
9	Dep. Cuenca	38	15	8	15	45:40	5	53
10	Emelec	38	14	10	14	36:44	-8	52
11	EL Nacional	38	12	9	17	44:62	-18	45
12	Delfin	38	7	15	16	30:61	-31	36

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