Libertad Loja vs Barcelona Guayaquil – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/03/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne (Loja).

Liga Pro - Round 5
Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.04	0.22
Ball possession
51%	49%
Total shots
3	3
Shots on target
1	1
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
0	0
Passes
79% (67/85)	79% (66/84)
Yellow cards
5	2
Expected goals (xG)
0.04	0.22
xG on target (xGOT)
0.01	0.00
Total shots
3	3
Shots on target
1	1
Shots off target
2	1
Blocked shots
0	1
Shots inside the box
0	2
Shots outside the box
3	1
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
0	0
Touches in opposition box
3	4
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free kicks
0	1
Passes
79% (67/85)	79% (66/84)
Long passes
38% (5/13)	47% (7/15)
Passes in final third
73% (24/33)	56% (10/18)
Crosses
0% (0/2)	0% (0/1)
Expected assists (xA)
0.14	0.15
Throw ins
2	4
Fouls
1	0
Tackles
50% (1/2)	50% (2/4)
Duels won
4	6
Clearances
6	3
Interceptions
3	2
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
0	1
xGOT faced
0.00	0.01
Goals prevented
0.00	0.01

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Guisamano J. ↓, Batalla H. ↑,
57', Bravo J. ↓, Cortez Casierra G. J. ↑,
64', Celiz M. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
65', Villalba H. ↓, Benedetto D. ↑,
65', Carabali B. ↓, Castillo B. ↑,
66', Sosa L. 🟨,
72', Batalla H. 🟨,
72', Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. 🟨,
80', Perlaza J. ↓, Mina J. ↑,
82', Chere A. ↓, Bueno S. ↑,
89', Zambrano I. 🟨,
90+1', Cortez Casierra G. J. 🟨,
90+3', Gruezo C. 🟨,
90+4', Cano L. ↓, Parrales M. ↑,
90+9', Rangel A. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Libertad Loja
32.4%

Draw
29.6%

Barcelona Guayaquil
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

29.2%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

28.4%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertad Loja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Libertad Loja that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barcelona Guayaquil could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Libertad Loja - Barcelona Guayaquil Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (3.28)	3.11 ↓ (3.13)	2.44 ↑ (2.13)	8.4% (9.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Libertad Loja - Barcelona Guayaquil?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Barcelona will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DNB - Barcelona (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Libertad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.9:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 1:2.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Barcelona Guayaquil?

Libertad Loja has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona Guayaquil won against Libertad Loja?

Barcelona Guayaquil has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Loja - Barcelona Guayaquil were as follows:

29.11.2025 Libertad Loja - Barcelona Guayaquil 1:1

25.10.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - Libertad Loja 1:0

01.03.2025 Libertad Loja - Barcelona Guayaquil 1:4

29.09.2024 Barcelona Guayaquil - Libertad Loja 0:0

14.04.2024 Libertad Loja - Barcelona Guayaquil 0:3

Latest results of Libertad Loja

13.03.2026 Técnico Universitario - Libertad Loja 2:1 ✺

07.03.2026 Libertad Loja - LDU Quito 2:1 ✺

04.03.2026 Deportivo Cuenca - Libertad Loja 3:0 ✺

28.02.2026 Leones del Norte - Libertad Loja 1:1 ✺

23.02.2026 Libertad Loja - Manta 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil

15.03.2026 Guayaquil City - Barcelona Guayaquil 0:0 ✺

10.03.2026 Botafogo RJ - Barcelona Guayaquil 0:1 ✺

07.03.2026 Barcelona Guayaquil - Emelec 1:0 ✺

03.03.2026 Barcelona Guayaquil - Botafogo RJ 1:1 ✺

01.03.2026 Deportivo Cuenca - Barcelona Guayaquil 2:1 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	6	4	1	1	11:6	5	13
2	Macara	6	2	4	0	5:2	3	10
3	LDU Quito	6	3	1	2	7:6	1	10
4	U. Catolica	5	2	3	0	6:2	4	9
5	Libertad	6	2	3	1	5:4	1	9
6	Barcelona SC	6	2	3	1	4:3	1	9
7	Tecnico U	6	2	2	2	6:6	0	8
8	Dep. Cuenca	6	2	2	2	5:5	0	8
9	Delfin	6	2	2	2	3:3	0	8
10	Mushuc Runa	6	1	3	2	6:7	-1	6
11	Guayaquil City	6	1	3	2	2:4	-2	6
12	Orense	5	1	2	2	7:8	-1	5
13	Emelec	5	2	1	2	5:5	0	4
14	Manta	6	1	1	4	2:6	-4	4
15	Leones del Norte	6	0	4	2	2:7	-5	4
16	Aucas	5	0	3	2	4:6	-2	3

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