Libertad Loja vs Deportivo Cuenca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro Libertad Loja - Deportivo Cuenca
Result
2:1
04/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.880.64
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1813
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
76% (271/356)67% (197/293)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.880.64
xG on target (xGOT)
1.171.33
Total shots
1813
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2319
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
715
Passes
76% (271/356)67% (197/293)
Long passes
51% (29/57)46% (33/71)
Passes in final third
63% (63/100)52% (61/118)
Crosses
42% (11/26)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.180.53
Throw-ins
2434
Fouls
157
Tackles
82% (9/11)62% (13/21)
Duels won
4161
Clearances
3823
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.331.17
Goals prevented
0.330.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', Quinonez Y. 🟨,
  • 37', Bolanos D. 🟨,
  • 39', 0 - 1, Gomez A. , Luna Tobar C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Ayovi W. ,
  • 53', Caicedo E. 🟨,
  • 57', Gomez A. 🟨,
  • 59', Raggio E. , Piedra M. ,
  • 59', Ordonez J. , Mancinelli L. ,
  • 60', 2 - 1, Gomez A. (Own goal),
  • 67', Chacon J. , Leguizamon N. ,
  • 74', Ayovi W. 🟨,
  • 75', Ayovi W. , Quinonez A. ,
  • 75', Caicedo E. , Caicedo N. ,
  • 76', Luna Tobar C. 🟨,
  • 81', Estupinan L. , Maccari M. ,
  • 82', Bolanos D. , Bardales W. ,
  • 82', Monaga J. , Garcia A. ,
  • 90+6', Bravo J. , Humanante J. ,

Chances of winning


Libertad Loja
35.5%
Draw
29.2%
Deportivo Cuenca
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 28.9% 33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 29.5% 32.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Libertad Loja - Deportivo Cuenca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (2.47)
    3.18
    (3.24)
    2.63
    (2.82)
    8.2%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Libertad Loja - Deportivo Cuenca?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Deportivo Cuenca will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Cuenca (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
    • In recent matches, Libertad has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Deportivo Cuenca is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Loja - Deportivo Cuenca were as follows:
    07.03.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - Libertad Loja 0:1
    23.11.2024 Deportivo Cuenca - Libertad Loja 1:1
    27.05.2024 Libertad Loja - Deportivo Cuenca 0:0
    12.08.2023 Deportivo Cuenca - Libertad Loja 2:1
    03.03.2023 Libertad Loja - Deportivo Cuenca 3:1
    Latest results of Libertad Loja
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle21127239:192043
    2Barcelona SC21115533:25838
    3LDU Quito21107437:211637
    4Dep. Cuenca21104726:20634
    5Orense21104724:24034
    6Aucas2195728:26232
    7Libertad2086630:26430
    8U. Catolica2177734:28628
    9Delfin2168720:29-926
    10Emelec2167816:24-825
    11EL Nacional2166924:30-624
    12Vinotinto21651026:29-323
    13Manta2058727:33-623
    14Macara2157919:21-222
    15Mushuc Runa21451224:38-1417
    16Tecnico U21371119:33-1416

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )