Result
2:1
04/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.88 | 0.64 |
Ball Possession |
---|
55% | 45% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
76% (271/356) | 67% (197/293) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.88 | 0.64 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.17 | 1.33 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 19 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
7 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
76% (271/356) | 67% (197/293) |
Long passes |
---|
51% (29/57) | 46% (33/71) |
Passes in final third |
---|
63% (63/100) | 52% (61/118) |
Crosses |
---|
42% (11/26) | 24% (5/21) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.18 | 0.53 |
Throw-ins |
---|
24 | 34 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 7 |
Tackles |
---|
82% (9/11) | 62% (13/21) |
Duels won |
---|
41 | 61 |
Clearances |
---|
38 | 23 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.33 | 1.17 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.33 | 0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', Quinonez Y. 🟨,
- 37', Bolanos D. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 1, Gomez A. ⚽, Luna Tobar C. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 48', 1 - 1, Ayovi W. ⚽,
- 53', Caicedo E. 🟨,
- 57', Gomez A. 🟨,
- 59', Raggio E. ↓, Piedra M. ↑,
- 59', Ordonez J. ↓, Mancinelli L. ↑,
- 60', 2 - 1, Gomez A. (Own goal),
- 67', Chacon J. ↓, Leguizamon N. ↑,
- 74', Ayovi W. 🟨,
- 75', Ayovi W. ↓, Quinonez A. ↑,
- 75', Caicedo E. ↓, Caicedo N. ↑,
- 76', Luna Tobar C. 🟨,
- 81', Estupinan L. ↓, Maccari M. ↑,
- 82', Bolanos D. ↓, Bardales W. ↑,
- 82', Monaga J. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 90+6', Bravo J. ↓, Humanante J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Libertad Loja 35.5% | Draw 29.2% | Deportivo Cuenca 35.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Libertad Loja - Deportivo Cuenca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.58 ↑ (2.47) |
3.18 ↓ (3.24) |
2.63 ↓ (2.82) |
8.2% (6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Libertad Loja - Deportivo Cuenca?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Deportivo Cuenca will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Cuenca (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In recent matches, Libertad has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Deportivo Cuenca is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Deportivo Cuenca?
Libertad Loja has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cuenca won against Libertad Loja?
Deportivo Cuenca has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Loja - Deportivo Cuenca were as follows:
07.03.2025
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Libertad Loja
0:1
23.11.2024
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Libertad Loja
1:1
27.05.2024
Libertad Loja
-
Deportivo Cuenca
0:0
12.08.2023
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Libertad Loja
2:1
03.03.2023
Libertad Loja
-
Deportivo Cuenca
3:1
Latest results of Libertad Loja
Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ind. del Valle | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 39:19 | 20 | 43 |
2 | Barcelona SC | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 33:25 | 8 | 38 |
3 | LDU Quito | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:21 | 16 | 37 |
4 | Dep. Cuenca | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 34 |
5 | Orense | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
6 | Aucas | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
7 | Libertad | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 30:26 | 4 | 30 |
8 | U. Catolica | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 34:28 | 6 | 28 |
9 | Delfin | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
10 | Emelec | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 25 |
11 | EL Nacional | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
12 | Vinotinto | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 23 |
13 | Manta | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 27:33 | -6 | 23 |
14 | Macara | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 19:21 | -2 | 22 |
15 | Mushuc Runa | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 17 |
16 | Tecnico U | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19:33 | -14 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )